Taiwan Military News, Reports, Data, etc.

CMP said:

The West accuses China of having a 2027 target date for invading Taiwan. This is really just a confession that Western analysis suggests 2027 is the inflection point beyond which a Western war with China over Taiwan is statistically guaranteed to be catastrophically lost in any plausible scenario. I base this on the various military think tank leaks of American war gaming results that made waves before mainstream media staged rigged war games with fake results as damage control.

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4Tran said:

Yeah, the best time to invade is never. China doesn't want war with Taiwan, and has no real reason for one either. While I've seen a lot of Western thinkers talk about the unfinished civil war, I don't think it holds much water any more. The Communists have won, and have done so very decisively; it's just a matter of picking up the pieces. The main reason remaining for the push for reunification is that Taiwan is the last piece of of the repudiation of the Century of Humiliation. This is literally the main reason for the PRC's existence and so it's an absolute core interest.

But because of what it represents politically (and perhaps spiritually), the value of a peaceful reunification is vastly higher than a military one. And this is before we even consider that an invasion carries a lot of risk, and has very serious economic and political consequences. What all this adds up to is that, as long as there's even a chance of a political solution, China has no reason to resort to a military one. This is especially true as China's position only gets more advantageous year by year.


There are two main reasons for Taiwanese opposition: economic and political. A lot of Taiwanese still believe that China is a poor and technologically backward country that is still under highly oppressive government control. The Pan-Green media loves to play up these messages, and the kinds of things they say can be hilarious. But because it's not based on reality, it's impossible to keep up the charade forever. Sure, the Taiwanese attitude towards reunification isn't going to shift overnight, but China is nothing if not patient, and it's almost certain to happen eventually.

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CMP said:

The West accuses China of having a 2027 target date for invading Taiwan. This is really just a confession that Western analysis suggests 2027 is the inflection point beyond which a Western war with China over Taiwan is statistically guaranteed to be catastrophically lost in any plausible scenario. I base this on the various military think tank leaks of American war gaming results that made waves before mainstream media staged rigged war games with fake results as damage control.

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PLAwatcher12 said:

Some more photos. About the SAM according to Joseph weng they aren’t sufficient enough to defend against DF-17 full quote is “10 years ago, it was sufficient, but now it's far from enough because of Yuan Huo and DF-17. The national military does not have equipment capable of effectively intercepting Yuan Huo, and facing DF-17 is an unknown. This is without even considering drones, electronic warfare, and the competition for information control.”

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Neurosmith said:

What is this "Yuan Huo"? They are not talking about the Huoyan satellites, are they?

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no_name said:

Isn't 2027 when Xi's 3rd term is up? Maybe that's why because they removed the 2 term limit implicitly for resolving the Taiwan issue.

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gelgoog said:

That is really doubtful. Xi was put into power to clean up internal corruption, he is staying there to fortify the economy against US sabotage. I think Taiwan factors little into this.

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tamsen_ikard said:

China isn't invading until mainland GDP per capita surpasses Taiwan. By then, they won't have to invade and a likely KMT govt will make a hong kong style deal with China. Atleast that's the long term.

If something happened before then, like too many provocations from DPP and US. Then it could happen this year or anytime its needed to prevent permanent independence of Taiwan.

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