I'm not serious, please ignore my previous reply.How to lure with soldiers trained 4 months
I'm not serious, please ignore my previous reply.How to lure with soldiers trained 4 months
If you want to minimize risk the best choice for time of war is simply never. At the rate of spending splurges by US government it will almost certainly get bankrupt losing its financial center status before 2035. The problem is that if you decide not to actively pursue unification, Taiwan will be effectively lost forever in this generation's time.I'm not serious, please ignore my previous reply.![]()
Disagree. Moderate political coercion with strong military backing can do the trick just like it did for nominally taking back HK. The bar is just much higher because Taiwan is larger, richer, and more valuable to the West due to lobbying, chips, investment, and bribes.If you want to minimize risk the best choice for time of war is simply never. At the rate of spending splurges by US government it will almost certainly get bankrupt losing its financial center status before 2035. The problem is that if you decide not to actively pursue unification, Taiwan will be effectively lost forever in this generation's time.
Taiwan was never richer than Hong Kong. Ignoring the ridiculous housing prices, Hong Kong is arguably one of the highest living standard places on the planet. Its just that Taiwan is actively pursuing the path to become spiritual Japanese and after another decade the costs with reunification will become unbearably high.Disagree. Moderate political coercion with strong military backing can do the trick just like it did for nominally taking back HK. The bar is just much higher because Taiwan is larger, richer, and more valuable to the West due to lobbying, chips, investment, and bribes.
You're talking about per capita income/wealth. I'm talking about aggregate income/wealth on a national level, which is the one that has strategic bearing.Taiwan was never richer than Hong Kong. Ignoring the ridiculous housing prices, Hong Kong is arguably one of the highest living standard places on the planet. Its just that Taiwan is actively pursuing the path to become spiritual Japanese and after another decade the costs with reunification will become unbearably high.
Yeah, the best time to invade is never. China doesn't want war with Taiwan, and has no real reason for one either. While I've seen a lot of Western thinkers talk about the unfinished civil war, I don't think it holds much water any more. The Communists have won, and have done so very decisively; it's just a matter of picking up the pieces. The main reason remaining for the push for reunification is that Taiwan is the last piece of of the repudiation of the Century of Humiliation. This is literally the main reason for the PRC's existence and so it's an absolute core interest.The West accuses China of having a 2027 target date for invading Taiwan. This is really just a confession that Western analysis suggests 2027 is the inflection point beyond which a Western war with China over Taiwan is statistically guaranteed to be catastrophically lost in any plausible scenario. I base this on the various military think tank leaks of American war gaming results that made waves before mainstream media staged rigged war games with fake results as damage control.
There are two main reasons for Taiwanese opposition: economic and political. A lot of Taiwanese still believe that China is a poor and technologically backward country that is still under highly oppressive government control. The Pan-Green media loves to play up these messages, and the kinds of things they say can be hilarious. But because it's not based on reality, it's impossible to keep up the charade forever. Sure, the Taiwanese attitude towards reunification isn't going to shift overnight, but China is nothing if not patient, and it's almost certain to happen eventually.If you want to minimize risk the best choice for time of war is simply never. At the rate of spending splurges by US government it will almost certainly get bankrupt losing its financial center status before 2035. The problem is that if you decide not to actively pursue unification, Taiwan will be effectively lost forever in this generation's time.
I wonder if this is an information trap set by Taiwan to deliberately lure the enemy and show weakness. You should know that Taiwan has been guided and trained by the US military all year round, and it is unlikely that the army is really a show.