I had more time to think about this and here is my take.
My very first thought is identical to many on this board that this is a huge step back, during the long and epic of Chinese history, it had its good share of 1. Incompetent emperor that lived for too long, 2. Tyrant emperor that lived for too long 3. Good emperor that grow tired and later became incompetent that lived for too long, that Xi might seek to became one of them.
The further more I think about this the more I discover there are several logical error with this train of thought.
1. Emperor means someone who have absolute power, and Xi does not, he is still part of the 1/7 member of the PSC and 1/32 members of the politburo that makes the decision for China. So this change alone make it far from Xi being the unchallenged person in China, if he decides to do something so obviously stupid like Mao's GLP, I'm pretty sure the rest of the politburo member is going to stop him.
2. Xi actually wants to became an emperor/dictatorship with absolute power. From what I see about Xi's first 5 year so far, I just don't see Xi with this kinda of narcissistic personality to want absolute power, he looks to be the opposite of Trump, not boastful, no delusion of grandeur. What really makes him standout from past leaders is that he is a pretty hardcore member member of the CCP, he really do believe in the party's power and it would guide China to its rejuvenation. One of the ways of his reform is emphasis on the rule of law and institutionalizes the decision within the government, and this literally goes up against Emperorhood.
Lastly Xi knows by doing this he will take on a lot of heat from everyone, but yet he still made the decision to do this so why? I think we can discount the reason of him being ignorant of the outcome. So that means he still made the decision in spite of this bad press for a reason.
My theory is that he was indeed sending out a message, but the primary recipient was not the ordinary people but his own fellow CCP bureaucrats. He spend all of his effort during his first term on reform but I have a feeling his end goal of what he wants to achieve is lagging far behind his own schedule, and at the rate he won't finish it in 5 years or even if he can it would be so weak that the next leader would undo all of what he have done would be for nothing, just like what Trump is doing to Obama's legacy. Or his fellow party members would easily just wait him out another 5 more years until he steps down and business as usual.
I think Xi foresaw this and he wants to make a permanent change is nothing short of a complete overhaul of the CCP once and for all and this needs time. He is sending out a message to rest of the party members that you can't wait me out, I'm here, get on with the program or get out. I think this is the primary reason for why is he doing this.
So for now, I don't think Xi have imperial ambition, however I do not discount with the possibility that as time goes on Xi might develop imperial ambition, because power itself changes a person so there is a chance he might grow custom to it and not waiting to let go, and if this happens it would be the real tragedy for China, and this would be the worst case scenario
The best case scenario outcome is that in his 3rd or 4th term he would have completely overhaul the party into a very competent organization with deep respect for law and institution, very responsive to the needs of the people and at same time well adopted to the changes for the future, and by then it would go without a saying that an emperor/dictatorship role would have no place in its design and Xi would step down on his own like the way he planned it.
There are 2 things to watch for disprove my theory.
1. Xi wants to make structural changes to the government structure like disband the politburo, or start to mass purge his fellow politburo members and replace everyone with his own yes man.
2. Xi start to grew more defensive/paranoid in personality. Stops his reform on the emphasis of law and clean government, if this is the case, he won't last long pass 3rd term anyway.
My very first thought is identical to many on this board that this is a huge step back, during the long and epic of Chinese history, it had its good share of 1. Incompetent emperor that lived for too long, 2. Tyrant emperor that lived for too long 3. Good emperor that grow tired and later became incompetent that lived for too long, that Xi might seek to became one of them.
The further more I think about this the more I discover there are several logical error with this train of thought.
1. Emperor means someone who have absolute power, and Xi does not, he is still part of the 1/7 member of the PSC and 1/32 members of the politburo that makes the decision for China. So this change alone make it far from Xi being the unchallenged person in China, if he decides to do something so obviously stupid like Mao's GLP, I'm pretty sure the rest of the politburo member is going to stop him.
2. Xi actually wants to became an emperor/dictatorship with absolute power. From what I see about Xi's first 5 year so far, I just don't see Xi with this kinda of narcissistic personality to want absolute power, he looks to be the opposite of Trump, not boastful, no delusion of grandeur. What really makes him standout from past leaders is that he is a pretty hardcore member member of the CCP, he really do believe in the party's power and it would guide China to its rejuvenation. One of the ways of his reform is emphasis on the rule of law and institutionalizes the decision within the government, and this literally goes up against Emperorhood.
Lastly Xi knows by doing this he will take on a lot of heat from everyone, but yet he still made the decision to do this so why? I think we can discount the reason of him being ignorant of the outcome. So that means he still made the decision in spite of this bad press for a reason.
My theory is that he was indeed sending out a message, but the primary recipient was not the ordinary people but his own fellow CCP bureaucrats. He spend all of his effort during his first term on reform but I have a feeling his end goal of what he wants to achieve is lagging far behind his own schedule, and at the rate he won't finish it in 5 years or even if he can it would be so weak that the next leader would undo all of what he have done would be for nothing, just like what Trump is doing to Obama's legacy. Or his fellow party members would easily just wait him out another 5 more years until he steps down and business as usual.
I think Xi foresaw this and he wants to make a permanent change is nothing short of a complete overhaul of the CCP once and for all and this needs time. He is sending out a message to rest of the party members that you can't wait me out, I'm here, get on with the program or get out. I think this is the primary reason for why is he doing this.
So for now, I don't think Xi have imperial ambition, however I do not discount with the possibility that as time goes on Xi might develop imperial ambition, because power itself changes a person so there is a chance he might grow custom to it and not waiting to let go, and if this happens it would be the real tragedy for China, and this would be the worst case scenario
The best case scenario outcome is that in his 3rd or 4th term he would have completely overhaul the party into a very competent organization with deep respect for law and institution, very responsive to the needs of the people and at same time well adopted to the changes for the future, and by then it would go without a saying that an emperor/dictatorship role would have no place in its design and Xi would step down on his own like the way he planned it.
There are 2 things to watch for disprove my theory.
1. Xi wants to make structural changes to the government structure like disband the politburo, or start to mass purge his fellow politburo members and replace everyone with his own yes man.
2. Xi start to grew more defensive/paranoid in personality. Stops his reform on the emphasis of law and clean government, if this is the case, he won't last long pass 3rd term anyway.