Should China respect sanctions on Iran?

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
This is all smoke and mirrors. If the West was serious about stopping Iran from getting nukes, then why do they focus on China? You can read the media themselves write about how all of Iran's nuclear power plants are from Russia. China's energy deals with Iran that would make it their no1 customer are at its infancy. Until they mature Japan's Iranian deals are no.1. You don't hear about Japan supporting evil regimes, do you?

The most realistic potential is Israel striking Iran on its own and destabilizing Western economies much further because of what it'll do to Middle East politics and world oil markets. Concentrating on China is a side benefit. If China goes along with sanctions and it doesn't work, China will lose the most from it. If it does work, the West benefits because they believe they'll get a pro-West government that works to their interests which will be against China's. This is about how Western countries will suffer the most if the most likely scenario of Israel striking Iran happens. China going along with sanctions doesn't guarantee that will stop it from happening.

It's clear that the West wants to stifle Chinese competition in all facets. It's like with the tsunami that struck Southeast Asia. Western countries and their allies laughed at China's inability to bring in emergency humanitarian aid relief. Now China has been sending warships to the Gulf of Aden, a sign of China overcoming logistical challenges that include emergency aid relief. But they're alarmed at that too. There were also a couple stories from the media that said there were those in the US government that were outraged that China landed in Haiti with a rescue team before the US.

They don't want China to sell J-10s to Iran... why? If you want to believe all the machismo, J-10s are just target practice for the West. Don't they want Iran to waste money on inferior Chinese fighters they can easily handle? And Israel should beat them even more because it's their Lavi. The contradictions put a big question mark to all the grand talk. China has to overcome the prejudice of their products. Just imagine if a J-10 shoots down just one modern Western fighter in the hands of one of their customers. Russian fighters in the hands of one of their customers up against a Western fighter don't have a good record. That's a game changer. That's why they don't want China to sell any J-10s to anyone. A fighter that can shoot down a modern Western fighter at half the cost of the competition's... You'll have Western allies buying J-10s.

There's a story that some Western diplomat privately asked the Chinese unofficially what would it take for China to go along with sanctions on Iran. The Chinese responded, "Find us another source for oil." Since we haven't seen any oil deal with China from the West and their allies, they apparently are unable or won't follow through. Just as the West is heavily influence by the geo-politics of oil, so is China. But of course China is not allowed to make the same excuses, so they instead paint China as in league with extremist unstable elements in the world bent on changing it to their diabolical favor.

Iran for China is a big question mark too but not for that same reasons as the West. The opposition stirring up trouble for the present Iranian regime has expressed its anti-China sentiments for congratulating Ahmadinejad in the last election. Makes you wonder if the recent cyberattack on a Chinese media website by self-proclaimed Iranian nationalists was ochestrated by outside forces to get China to be suspicious of Iran.

The fact is what the West wants to be done to Iran is what many Westerners want to do to China. So why help advance a war of attrition that eventually will come around to being waged on China? You can forget about good will gestures and mutual respect. The Chinese will never get it from the West. So if the West wants China to follow along, then you pay up. It's that simple. But the problem is the West overvalues itself. Because Obama delayed a meeting with the Dalai Lama and did not mention human rights on his trip to China somehow China is suppose to give blind obedience in return including going along with sanctions on Iran. They think that's an equal or even a generous trade in China's favor. The Western media depicts a carried-out threat of a pull out of Google from China will follow with the collapse of China. If that's true, why haven't they done this earlier? The West doesn't even offer some of the most superficial things that apparently Beijing values like a partnership in the International Space Station. China can build its own space station and get more value from it in the end but Beijing too falls into the trap of status symbols. But some won't give up the things that others want just to believe they're in power. That's why it won't be offered especially when they need something from China in exchange.

So if Iranian sanctions were that important, wouldn't they offer something better other than not saying anything bad about China for a day or two in exchange?
 
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Finn McCool

Captain
Registered Member
The fact is what the West wants to be done to Iran is what many Westerners want to do to China. So why help advance a war of attrition that eventually will come around to being waged on China? You can forget about good will gestures and mutual respect. The Chinese will never get it from the West. So if the West wants China to follow along, then you pay up. It's that simple. But the problem is the West overvalues itself. Because Obama delayed a meeting with the Dalai Lama and did not mention human rights on his trip to China somehow China is suppose to give blind obedience in return including going along with sanctions on Iran. They think that's an equal or even a generous trade in China's favor. The Western media depicts a carried-out threat of a pull out of Google from China will follow with the collapse of China. If that's true, why haven't they done this earlier? The West doesn't even offer some of the most superficial things that apparently Bejing values like a partnership in the International Space Station. China can build its own space station and get more value from it in the end but Beijing too falls into the trap of status symbols. But some won't give up the things that others want just to believe they're in power. That's why it won't be offered especially when they need something from China in exchanged.

So if Iranians sanctions were that important, wouldn't they offer something better other than not saying anything bad about China for a day or two in exchange?

I agree with that wholeheartedly. The West has offered China no good reason to cooperate on Iran on really anything for that matter. The US wants to have it's cake and eat it too; they want to have China's cooperation and still take a high-minded moral line on human rights and Tibet, and still wants to support Taiwan. The US might have to "make a deal with the Devil" so to speak and agree to stop throwing bones to the Dalai Lama and cancel the current round of Taiwan arms sales. At least that's what I would put on the table if I were president.
 

jantxv

New Member
To expect the West to compromise on values, like Iranian sanctions, is as short-sighted as to expect the PRC to compromise on their own stated values. The disagreements are known and it is less than likely that either side will budge.

Instead of focusing on the disagreements and sanctions, perhaps the stakeholders should be agreeing to actions that will definitely NOT be taken. Agreements such as a guarantee of non-interference if Iran and Israel do go to war. Agreements not to interfere, one way or the other, in the internal overthrow of third party governments.

Perhaps such talk is naive. Perhaps it is time once again to let the peoples of the world feel their oats. As Einstein once said, ""I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones."
 

pla101prc

Senior Member
iran is a great card for energy security, you are wondering why Sinopec keeps on getting those deals on iraqi oil, sometimes beating British oil companies to it, its because the US knows that China needs oil from iran. so they figured if China gets a good deal in iraq, maybe it'll support the west in iran.

but if you look at this another way, if the world has come to a consensus on a super-strict sanction, is it really gonna make everyone safer? no its gonna close up all the channels of dialogue, and threaten the delicate situation in the middle east. you are only gonna radicalize these ppl. if anything, netanyahu's recent statements regarding lebanon is an indication that the US and israel do not want anything that would destabilize the region.
 
This is all smoke and mirrors. If the West was serious about stopping Iran from getting nukes, then why do they focus on China? You can read the media themselves write about how all of Iran's nuclear power plants are from Russia. China's energy deals with Iran that would make it their no1 customer are at its infancy. Until they mature Japan's Iranian deals are no.1. You don't hear about Japan supporting evil regimes, do you?

The most realistic potential is Israel striking Iran on its own and destabilizing Western economies much further because of what it'll do to Middle East politics and world oil markets. Concentrating on China is a side benefit. If China goes along with sanctions and it doesn't work, China will lose the most from it. If it does work, the West benefits because they believe they'll get a pro-West government that works to their interests which will be against China's. This is about how Western countries will suffer the most if the most likely scenario of Israel striking Iran happens. China going along with sanctions doesn't guarantee that will stop it from happening.

It's clear that the West wants to stifle Chinese competition in all facets. It's like with the tsunami that struck Southeast Asia. Western countries and their allies laughed at China's inability to bring in emergency humanitarian aid relief. Now China has been sending warships to the Gulf of Aden, a sign of China overcoming logistical challenges that include emergency aid relief. But they're alarmed at that too. There were also a couple stories from the media that said there were those in the US government that were outraged that China landed in Haiti with a rescue team before the US.

They don't want China to sell J-10s to Iran... why? If you want to believe all the machismo, J-10s are just target practice for the West. Don't they want Iran to waste money on inferior Chinese fighters they can easily handle? And Israel should beat them even more because it's their Lavi. The contradictions put a big question mark to all the grand talk. China has to overcome the prejudice of their products. Just imagine if a J-10 shoots down just one modern Western fighter in the hands of one of their customers. Russian fighters in the hands of one of their customers up against a Western fighter don't have a good record. That's a game changer. That's why they don't want China to sell any J-10s to anyone. A fighter that can shoot down a modern Western fighter at half the cost of the competition's... You'll have Western allies buying J-10s.

There's a story that some Western diplomat privately asked the Chinese unofficially what would it take for China to go along with sanctions on Iran. The Chinese responded, "Find us another source for oil." Since we haven't seen any oil deal with China from the West and their allies, they apparently are unable or won't follow through. Just as the West is heavily influence by the geo-politics of oil, so is China. But of course China is not allowed to make the same excuses, so they instead paint China as in league with extremist unstable elements in the world bent on changing it to their diabolical favor.

Iran for China is a big question mark too but not for that same reasons as the West. The opposition stirring up trouble for the present Iranian regime has expressed its anti-China sentiments for congratulating Ahmadinejad in the last election. Makes you wonder if the recent cyberattack on a Chinese media website by self-proclaimed Iranian nationalists was ochestrated by outside forces to get China to be suspicious of Iran.

The fact is what the West wants to be done to Iran is what many Westerners want to do to China. So why help advance a war of attrition that eventually will come around to being waged on China? You can forget about good will gestures and mutual respect. The Chinese will never get it from the West. So if the West wants China to follow along, then you pay up. It's that simple. But the problem is the West overvalues itself. Because Obama delayed a meeting with the Dalai Lama and did not mention human rights on his trip to China somehow China is suppose to give blind obedience in return including going along with sanctions on Iran. They think that's an equal or even a generous trade in China's favor. The Western media depicts a carried-out threat of a pull out of Google from China will follow with the collapse of China. If that's true, why haven't they done this earlier? The West doesn't even offer some of the most superficial things that apparently Beijing values like a partnership in the International Space Station. China can build its own space station and get more value from it in the end but Beijing too falls into the trap of status symbols. But some won't give up the things that others want just to believe they're in power. That's why it won't be offered especially when they need something from China in exchange.

So if Iranian sanctions were that important, wouldn't they offer something better other than not saying anything bad about China for a day or two in exchange?

Agreed. accepting sanctions on Iran on its legitimate right to develop nuclear energy can come back to bite China's ass later. As long as the there is no clear proof that Iran has or is developing nuclear weapons, there is no legitimacy in any sanctions. simple as that.

The west wants to keep the power status quo and it may one day call for sanctions on China on similar illegimate grounds. Who is to say the west will not call on sanctions to punish China for reunification with Taiwan, control riots on Tibet, defend the Paracel and Spartley island on the China sea. These are all sovereign and legitimate rights that needs to be defended. We must also not forget that until the late 70's, the same western powers had sanctions in place against China,
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
iran is a great card for energy security, you are wondering why Sinopec keeps on getting those deals on iraqi oil, sometimes beating British oil companies to it, its because the US knows that China needs oil from iran. so they figured if China gets a good deal in iraq, maybe it'll support the west in iran.

I think the reason why China is getting Iraqi oil deals is much like why China makes inroads into Africa. China will go places that no Westerner will. No Western company could get enough people at home they need to go places that can prove to be dangerous. There was some hoopla in the US about China getting Iraqi oil deals when it was their people who died in Iraq. Remember how Cheney sold the war saying Iraqi oil was going to pay for it? I'm sure if everything went according to the delusions of Cheney, his predictions would come true. But the fact is the US would've had to place a soldier for every 10ft of pipeline to protect it throughout the country especially if the US was taking Iraqi oil and keeping the profits for themselves. Right now the US will settle for the Iraqis getting back into the oil business so they can pay for their own bills instead of the American tax payer doing it. So for now they will accept Chinese oil deals with Iraq.
 

pla101prc

Senior Member
I think the reason why China is getting Iraqi oil deals is much like why China makes inroads into Africa. China will go places that no Westerner will. No Western company could get enough people at home they need to go places that can prove to be dangerous. There was some hoopla in the US about China getting Iraqi oil deals when it was their people who died in Iraq. Remember how Cheney sold the war saying Iraqi oil was going to pay for it? I'm sure if everything went according to the delusions of Cheney, his predictions would come true. But the fact is the US would've had to place a soldier for every 10ft of pipeline to protect it throughout the country especially if the US was taking Iraqi oil and keeping the profits for themselves. Right now the US will settle for the Iraqis getting back into the oil business so they can pay for their own bills instead of the American tax payer doing it. So for now they will accept Chinese oil deals with Iraq.

good points, but i really doubt how much sway the US government had on iraq's oil. afterall the main goal of the gulf war was to ensure that oil will be flowing into the international market undisturbed, preferably through US oil companies. but if a Chinese company is willing to come in and pay a ridiculous price for it (and that's exactly what they are doing), to what extent is the US government able to say to the iraqis "we know they have a lot of cash but we want this stuff for a cheaper price and you are gonna give it to us". the guy who is currently in charge, chalabi, isnt so close to the US anymore, he does give out oil deals through personal connection, but when it comes to huge deals that the iraq government personally looks at....i doubt there is much room for cheating. the US oil companies in iraq i assume will have the advantage of having their assets better protected and all that, but when it comes to business transactions their advantages are limited to personal connections with the iraqi bureaucrats, it makes a lot of difference on lil things, but when it comes to major deals they'll prolly still go for the guy with more cash. international markets nowadays dont work the same way as it used to back in the 19th century where if the british makes a deal with the manchu gov they can make it only beneficial to themselves. not a zero sum game anymore. of course i am sure the US government still exerts an influence, i am just trying to figure out how much.
 
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Finn McCool

Captain
Registered Member
the guy who is currently in charge, chalabi, isnt so close to the US anymore, he does give out oil deals through personal connection, but when it comes to huge deals that the iraq government personally looks at....

I suggest you do a Google search or even maybe (going out on a limb here) read the news every once in a while. Ahmad Chalabi isn't in a position of power in Iraq, and hasn't been oil minister for years.
 

Ali Khan

Junior Member
Well why should china do that?while EU and usa have banned arms exports to china and even russians are supplying iranians with weapons?t
 

Infra_Man99

Banned Idiot
I think the reason why China is getting Iraqi oil deals is much like why China makes inroads into Africa. China will go places that no Westerner will. No Western company could get enough people at home they need to go places that can prove to be dangerous. There was some hoopla in the US about China getting Iraqi oil deals when it was their people who died in Iraq. Remember how Cheney sold the war saying Iraqi oil was going to pay for it? I'm sure if everything went according to the delusions of Cheney, his predictions would come true. But the fact is the US would've had to place a soldier for every 10ft of pipeline to protect it throughout the country especially if the US was taking Iraqi oil and keeping the profits for themselves. Right now the US will settle for the Iraqis getting back into the oil business so they can pay for their own bills instead of the American tax payer doing it. So for now they will accept Chinese oil deals with Iraq.

In my opinion, a popular myth is how China will go places no Westerner will. American and European personnel (both government workers and civilians) have a long history of interfering with and working in unstable nations in Latin America, Africa, the Middle East, and other regions.

There are LOTS of contractors in Iraq and Afghanistan. I read the number of workers from US company contractors is equal to or greater than the number of US soldiers. In Iraq and Afghanistan, a large number of US military personnel are in harm's way. In Iraq and Afghanistan, a large number of employees from US company contractors are in harm's way. Europeans are smaller, but significant numbers. China refuses to get involved with Iraq's internal fights and problems unless it absolutely has to. China mainly wants business.

There are lots of US and EU government workers, civilian workers, and proxies in unstable regions across Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, and so on. Historically, China is the nation that stays away from dangerous, unstable, or troublesome regions around the world. Currently China is struggling to obtain international trades without getting stuck in other nation's problems. China's foreign problems are still not as bad as America's and Europe's foreign disputes, but foreign relations is very complex and unpredictable, so China could easily share the same wars, covert wars, proxy systems, onerous alliances, and other foreign traps.

I think China mainly wants business with Iran, but the US and EU want business deals, political agreements, and military relations. These 3 factors could easily force China to accept zero to very bad business deals with Iran, if not worse. I don't think China (and Russia) wants the US or the EU to dominate the Middle East.
 
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