Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and Global South strategic cooperation

coolgod

Colonel
Registered Member
Looks like China is making quite the play in Iraq recently.

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so PetroChina now has access to a vast reserve of oil that can be produced at really low cost.



so basically Chinese oil players pushed ExxonMobil out pretty aggressively, so they can make more money on oil sales out of Iraq. Pretty Machiavellian moves all around.

Looks like now that they have full access here, they can make a lot more revenue.

Chinese companies also won 3 out of the 6 oil & gas fields that Iraq put in bidding
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800 million standard cubic feet = maybe 80 million cubic meter per day. 0.08 * 365 = 29 bcm. That's quite a decent amount of natural gas actually.

Back in 2019, they signed on to this oil for project deal with the Iraqis. Since then, there are projects like this where Chinese companies build infrastructure in Iraq
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Should not be a surprise then that China is Iraq's biggest trading partner
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Moving to RMB for trading makes a lot of sense.
Iraq isn't in the SCO yet. I'd expect Iraq to join soon and kick the rest of American forces out of its country.
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
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also, I have to take back what I said about Iran if this is actually the deal they are getting from the Iranians on energy as I posted on the Chinese economics Thread. I know Chinese negotiators are pretty ruthless, but this is next level stuff.
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Currently, China pays Iran up to 10 percent less for its crude oil than it pays Russia for its crude oil, and the price it pays for Russian crude oil is discounted from the international benchmark by a minimum of 30 percent,” he told OilPrice.com last week. “On average, the Chinese discount for Iranian crude oil to the international benchmark over the last 12 months is around 44 percent,” he added. “But, it is even worse for Iran, as – from 11 November 2022 - China has been paying Iran in non-convertible Yuan, that is Yuan that can only be used inside China and/or spent buying Chinese goods,” he said. “Worse still is that whilst Yuan is the key instrument in payment, China is also using the currencies of Angola, Zambia and Kenya to pay Iran, and China is doing this as a means to induce Iran to buys goods from these countries so that these countries, in turn, can service their loans to China,” he concluded.

Seems like Zoltan has some really good sources with his position. I just needed more confirmation at the time
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China also inked the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership with Iran – “a 25-year ‘deal’ under which China committed to invest $400 billion into Iran’s economy in exchange for a steady supply of Iranian oil at a steep discount.” It stipulates $280 billion toward developing downstream petrochemical sectors (refining and plastics) and $120 billion toward Iran’s transportation and manufacturing infrastructure in exchange for energy exports at a minimum guaranteed discount of 12% to the six-month rolling mean price.

The China-Iran agreement has the same spirit to what Xi’s speech is saying at the summit with GCC: “investments in downstream petrochemical projects, manufacturing, and infrastructure… [in exchange for] renminbi settlement.”

“Russia, Iran, and Venezuela account for about 40 percent of the world’s proven oil reserves… the GCC countries account for 40 percent of proven oil reserves as well (with Saudi Arabia accounting for half)… and are being courted by China to accept renminbi for their oil in exchange for transformative investments,” Pozsar summed up.
so it seems like the combination or Russia/Iran/Venezula has given China the leverage to push for trading oil in Yuan. That's quite a strong move. I think quite the change. Obviously, Russia was the key cog here with its general push to de-dollarize, but having Iran in the fray helps also.

Of course, Iran has talked about using more RMB in its trading with China
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and probably that means they will use CIPS also.

None of this means China should favor Iran or GCC countries, but rather China has used its position very well. I would caution them from taking advantage of Iran too much, since that would cause resentment.
 

ZeEa5KPul

Colonel
Registered Member
I would caution them from taking advantage of Iran too much, since that would cause resentment.
There's no such thing as resentment or goodwill in international relations. If there's any "emotional" component to international relations it's the more you hurt and abuse someone, the more they follow, obey, even love you. A very unhealthy interpersonal dynamic but it seems to be the way countries work.
 

luosifen

Senior Member
Registered Member

Iran eyes $2bn worth of dairy exports to China until 2025​

Wednesday, 22 February 2023 7:26 PM [ Last Update: Wednesday, 22 February 2023 7:26 PM ]

US Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN) (L) talks with Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) during a rally with fellow Democrats before voting on H.R. 1, or the People Act, on the East Steps of the US Capitol on March 08, 2019 in Washington, DC. (AFP photo)

Iran’s agriculture minister says dairy export to China will amount to $2 billion in the next two years.
Iran expects to earn some $2 billon from exports of dairy products to China in the next two years as part of recent bilateral agreements that will lead to an increase in Iranian agrifood exports to the east Asian country.
Iran’s agriculture minister Javad Sadatinejad said on Wednesday that the country had secured an agreement with China under which Iranian dairy companies can launch exports to the country for a first time.
Sadatinejad said the agreement was finalized during a visit last week by Iranian President Ebrahim Raeisi to China and was part of a larger food diplomacy understanding to expand agriculture cooperation with Beijing.
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He said China will also start importing apple from Iran under the deal signed last week, adding that some 100,000 metric tons of Iranian apple shipments will be exported to China under a first phase of the agreement.
The minister said Iranian agrifood exports to China had reached some $350 million in the 10 months to late January, adding that the figure was a fivefold increase compared to exports figures reported four years ago.

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Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
also, I have to take back what I said about Iran if this is actually the deal they are getting from the Iranians on energy as I posted on the Chinese economics Thread. I know Chinese negotiators are pretty ruthless, but this is next level stuff.
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Seems like Zoltan has some really good sources with his position. I just needed more confirmation at the time
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so it seems like the combination or Russia/Iran/Venezula has given China the leverage to push for trading oil in Yuan. That's quite a strong move. I think quite the change. Obviously, Russia was the key cog here with its general push to de-dollarize, but having Iran in the fray helps also.

Of course, Iran has talked about using more RMB in its trading with China
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and probably that means they will use CIPS also.

None of this means China should favor Iran or GCC countries, but rather China has used its position very well. I would caution them from taking advantage of Iran too much, since that would cause resentment.
Damn.. China is taking Iran to the cleaners lol

Seriously, wtf. Thats some brutal new terms that China is seeking if this report is true. Well its also true that the international environment for Iran nowadays is much worse than it was when the 25-year deal was signed, so Iran shouldn't be surprised if China wants to take another bite out of them.

The reputation of the Chinese negotiators being very tough is truly well deserved. I almost felt sorry for Iran when I read what kind of new terms China was seeking haha
 

enroger

Junior Member
Registered Member
TBH I'm not too fond of this kind of short term exploitation if it is true. I'd much prefer if China is able to establish some long term institutional change in Iran that is irreversible and firmly put Iran into China's camp and prevent them from flipflopping every few years.

In comparison buying some cheap gas just seems so short sighted.
 

solarz

Brigadier
also, I have to take back what I said about Iran if this is actually the deal they are getting from the Iranians on energy as I posted on the Chinese economics Thread. I know Chinese negotiators are pretty ruthless, but this is next level stuff.
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Seems like Zoltan has some really good sources with his position. I just needed more confirmation at the time
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so it seems like the combination or Russia/Iran/Venezula has given China the leverage to push for trading oil in Yuan. That's quite a strong move. I think quite the change. Obviously, Russia was the key cog here with its general push to de-dollarize, but having Iran in the fray helps also.

Of course, Iran has talked about using more RMB in its trading with China
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
and probably that means they will use CIPS also.

None of this means China should favor Iran or GCC countries, but rather China has used its position very well. I would caution them from taking advantage of Iran too much, since that would cause resentment.

What does non-convertible yuan even mean? How is it different from regular RMb?

If you agree to accept China's currency in trade, isn't it a given that you will be buying Chinese goods with it? Sounds like normal trade to me.

Seems to me if Iran can exchange their oil for the everyday essentials and consumer goods China produces, they are getting a pretty good deal. After all, what's their alternative? Keep their oil in the ground and not being able to buy anything from the West due to sanctions?
 
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