Syria operates majority Russian equipment so there is no way of verifying wether or not they are from recent supply's or old stockpiles so that question will never be answered.
If it came into port on merchant ships, there are many people who whould have and could have witnessed this. we have heard no reports of such.
Conjecture is when there is not sufficient evidence to substantiate a claim, the questionable part is how much is "sufficient"
I would say that someone who is watching Russian Merchant ships passing through the straits, who has not seen any armor on any of the vessels, but who simply postulates that it may be so, qualifies as conjecture.
It then comes down to the cargo ships, the shuttle service being provided by the Russian navy to Syria can be called "Humanitarian" but I think everyone would know that that is exactly what it is not
To the contrary, Russia has regularly over the years provided such aid.
For example, in May 2013, Russia indicated that a Russian military transport landed in Latakia carrying 60 tons of humanitarian aid for Syria.
Also, the Syrian times reported in August 2014 that humanitarian aid provided by Russia from the Syrian community in St. Petersburg to the Syrian people, arrived in Syria with milk, clothing, and other aid..
The Fund's representative indicated at the time that Armenian and Chechen communities in St. Petersburg would provide subsequent aid shipments.
Apparently that aid was handed over to the Syrian Red Crescent cooperation for distribution.
So apparently there is good evidence that Russia does supply huimanitarian aid.
Also Israel recently attacked a base in Syria which contained new delivered Yakont missiles again growing evidence that Syria is taking delivery of new systems in recent times.
Asif, do not get me wrong, I am not saying that Russia does not supply arms to Syria. We all know that they do.
But the Yahkont missiles are a good example. There were multiple reports of those missiles arriving in Syria and being offloaded to warehouses there near the docks. This type of information spread all over well before the Israelis attacked it.
A few dozen missiles are smaller than scores of MBTs and other armor. it is likely that oif any armor in any numbers were arriving in Syria...we would hear about it.
But there is no evidence of this other than conjecture.
Could the Russians be doing so? Of course they could. but if they were doing so to any large extent amounting to cargo ships full of them woith thousands of tons...then we would most certainly have had evidence of it other than hear say.
That is my only point.
