For the numbers I arbitrarly picked but for some reason you are fixated on, a 30 min delay means that even a 30 kt destroyer moving full speed in a straight line away can only further increase its distance from launch point by 15 nm or 30 km. There is no radius of uncertainty since the destroyer is visible to the sub from passive sonar, only an engagement radius.You refused to acknowledge the limitations of physics when I pointed out the inevitable range limitations of any missile encased in a shell that ALSO has to incorporate a swim-out system. Your response was essentially "I just pointed to an example; I don't need to acknowledge the inherent range limitations involved". Well you do have to deal with it.
You also have to deal with the fact that the more neutral buoyancy you put into that capsule therefore further delaying the firing of the missile motor, the further the target ship will be traveling away from your sub, and at a much faster rate than your sub can egress from that same location. The math doesn't even add up and you also refused to acknowledge that, instead saying "well it's actually just a mine, really". ROFLMAO
As for the Mk48 swim-out upgrade, it makes no difference to my argument, since I was talking about the noise the torpedo makes while inbound to its target. I have already noted that torpedo LAUNCHES even without the swim-out upgrade are possibly going to be quieter than VLS launches. How much difference there is between these two types of weapon launches is not known to anyone of us here, you included.
As for whether the 19 nmi range is a fundamental physical limitation of a swimout canister or a problem with Iranian engineering that can be fixed, note that a Harpoon missile with 140 km range has mass = 691 kg, L = 4.6 m with surface booster, OD = 34 cm with 691 kg total mass.
Mk 48 has payload alone of 293 kg, L = 5.8 m, OD = 53 cm. Harpoon sized and performance missile easily fits inside.
if you had a Mk 48 form factor swimout canister for the Harpoon style missile, you'd have to sacrifice some fuel and the payload. Let's call it a crawling speed swimout at 10 kts (20 kph) which is 1/5 the cruise speed of the Mk 48.
Since kinetic energy E=(1/2)mv^2, and in swimout mode all E comes from the fuel, E-m48 = (1/2)m(v-m48)^2 and with a crawling swimout E-canister = (1/2)m(1/5 × v-m48)^2 = 1/25 E-m48.
So a swimout canister going 10 kts requires only 1/25 the fuel as a swimout torpedo going 50 kts.
A Harpoon form factor missile fits. Plenty of fuel. 10 kts (20 kph) swimout for 30 min introduces 10 km of additional radial uncertainty on top of the sub's own 10 km of radial uncertainty on a 10 kt crawl. Target cannot leave engagement area of a Harpoon performance missile even if its a destroyer with a 30 kt cruise speed.
Guess the details favor me.
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