I don't mean to rain on this parade but what's significant about China participating in RIMPAC? I know it's the first time but what's so great about the exercise? Is it a sparking opportunity for China to gather intelligence on other navies?
Several things:I don't mean to rain on this parade but what's significant about China participating in RIMPAC? I know it's the first time but what's so great about the exercise? Is it a sparking opportunity for China to gather intelligence on other navies?
Several things:
1) It has never happened before, so it is historic.
2) It represents both in the invite and the acceptance a good faith effort by the tow largest economies and powers in the Pacific region to reach out to each other in a peaceful way ay a fairly high level.
3) It gives the personnel of both navies (and many other US allies) a chance to interact with one another both professionally and socially. This would be from the lower sailors up to fairly high command personnel. They will come to respect each other professionally and perhaps even make some contacts that will last for years.
All of these are most certainly a "big deal."
As to spying...both sides are very aware of the SIGINT capabilities of the other wand will take whatever appropriate measures while conducting exercises together to limit any critical exposure. There is apt to be very little gained in that regard.
As to defections? Very unlikely. The PLAN will make sure that the personnel on this exercise are very loyal, and that their opportunities for any one-on-one exposure with anything that might even faintly smell of any kind of such operations simply do not exist. It would be very unwise, and defeat the purpose of the whole thing for either side to try and conduct any operations like that during this exercises.
I'll continue playing skeptic. Why are sailor-to-sailor contacts significant? Do they make decisions on war? Isn't it possible personal enemies are made and contempt for the other side increased?
I don't mean to rain on this parade but what's significant about China participating in RIMPAC? I know it's the first time but what's so great about the exercise? Is it a sparking opportunity for China to gather intelligence on other navies?
Twenty-two nations, 49 surface ships, 6 submarines, more than 200 aircraft and 25,000 personnel will participate. Units from Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Colombia, France, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, the People’s Republic of China, Peru, the Republic of Korea, the Republic of the Philippines, Singapore, Tonga, the United Kingdom and the United States will participate.
People are people,. Geo.I'll continue playing skeptic. Why are sailor-to-sailor contacts significant? Do they make decisions on war? Isn't it possible personal enemies are made and contempt for the other side increased?
IMHO, other than kumbaya symbolism, PLAN participation in RIMPAC isn't a big deal. As for China taking the opportunity to spy as much as it can, was there ever any doubt of that? On the other hand, US could benefit by watching how PLAN spys and build dossiers on important PLAN officers. Who knows, maybe the sights and sounds of Hawaii could even co-opt PLAN personnel to defect.
Why would they need to "spy" on each other when they've already so much info about each other's ship already and RIMPAC is not going to display ALL or ANY of the important exercises that are critical to each other's naval operations?
Why would a PLA sailor defect to Hawaii when Hainan Island is closer and more affordable?