Well we know what makes sense and what doesnt
The carrier build at Dalian is very likely, why wouldn't it be, Liaoning has certified it fists pilots and the programme is in full swing, infact the design was probably finalised few years back with long lead materials ordered in recent time
I expect the coming google map images later in the year will show carrier production at Dalian, I also fully expect the carrier to have similarities to the Liaoning minus the inherit design flaws which PLAN has identified during the rebuild, that makes sense, if we don't see google images we could learn from of the confirmation from government officials before hand
The images of the module at JNCX are possibly older, a flat top at that yard also make sense, building two flat tops is not beyond the scope of Chinese shipyards both at the same time
Also the timing is correct too, before this year is out we will have some solid information on what's at stake here