We must all contend with the possibility that we will never get to see any of these ideas about a Taiwan War tested.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
In my belief, the possibility of armed reunification due to recent developments within Taiwan is actually decreasing. The DPP is obviously afraid of the Taiwan People's Party and the KMT and tried to knock down their influence with the election recall campaign that failed spectacularly, and instead, it backfired massively on the DPP. Their supporters are now fewer and fewer especially after failed disaster relief in Tainan.
Also notice how official statements by the Chinese government regarding Taiwan still refer to "separatist forces within Taiwan" and mainly the DPP as being the troublemakers. It's unsure what will happen with the Taiwan People's Party (but they are Pan-Blue leaning) but the KMT recognizes the 1992 consensus which is the basic requirement that needs to be met for dialogue between the PRC and Taiwan.
In addition, while the official narrative by the DPP views the PRC in a very negative light, the truth is that the population within Taiwan does a ton of business within the mainland.
And of course, the PRC would want prefer the easier option. The PRC can unquestionably take Taiwan by military force though at the same time, we need to acknowledge that there will definitely be a cost in regards to losing men, equipment, and also make the job of foreign affairs difficult.
In addition, I think the latest incident regarding 164 and the CCG in the SCS makes it apparent that a not-so-insignificant portion of the Chinese population is not mentally prepared for sustaining potential losses. There are a ton of comments on social media. Though I think that this is something that definitely needs to be addressed so that if one day, conflict does occur, there will not be overwhelming negative fake news or doomer opinions spreading.
Also notice how official statements by the Chinese government regarding Taiwan still refer to "separatist forces within Taiwan" and mainly the DPP as being the troublemakers. It's unsure what will happen with the Taiwan People's Party (but they are Pan-Blue leaning) but the KMT recognizes the 1992 consensus which is the basic requirement that needs to be met for dialogue between the PRC and Taiwan.
In addition, while the official narrative by the DPP views the PRC in a very negative light, the truth is that the population within Taiwan does a ton of business within the mainland.
And of course, the PRC would want prefer the easier option. The PRC can unquestionably take Taiwan by military force though at the same time, we need to acknowledge that there will definitely be a cost in regards to losing men, equipment, and also make the job of foreign affairs difficult.
In addition, I think the latest incident regarding 164 and the CCG in the SCS makes it apparent that a not-so-insignificant portion of the Chinese population is not mentally prepared for sustaining potential losses. There are a ton of comments on social media. Though I think that this is something that definitely needs to be addressed so that if one day, conflict does occur, there will not be overwhelming negative fake news or doomer opinions spreading.
I honestly feel this time around the doomerism has decreased/improved a lot compared to the Pelosi visit. I think in terms of building up correct attitude towards setback in event of armed reunification things are very much proceeding in the correct direction.
Indeed. The latest opinion polls indicate a 9-point drop in popularity for the Lai regime in a single month.
Do we know that the equipment has even arrived? Don't forgot that alot of these "Advanced" western equipment will literally break they moment they are used so this wouldn't be a problem plus China can easily replace it's equipment losses while Taiwan can't.
Some equipment has arrived but the ones that have came years after and currently 21 billion worth of weapons have not been delivered.
It’s literally a form of taxation on cucks…
Lai is doing such a bad job... 2027 rolls around and Taiwanese are begging for a union with China, everyone on SDF is shocked... 2027 came true!
From what I have seen, Deep Greens just see TPP as a modern Pan-Blue. They are willing to work with the mainland, which is already betrayal of Green ideology. They jailed the leader Ko who once said "Both sides of the strait are one family".
M1 Abrams finally delivered the end of 2024... ordered in 2019... Harpoon ordered in 2020, perhaps it will be delivered by the time CV-03 has launched with J-15 carrying hypersonic land attack missiles.
Whether Taiwan can replenish its weapons and equipment seems to depend on the severity of the regional conflict. If the PLA decides to resolutely strike any foreign aircraft and ships that intervene in the defense zone, then there is no doubt that it will be difficult for them to obtain any supplies. At the same time, I also agree that it will be much more difficult for Taiwan to obtain supplies. However, if the PLA does not want to go to war with the US military directly, I doubt that aircraft such as transport planes will be shot down.