PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

vincent

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
AndrewS said:
I think a sustained no fly zone and naval blockade would likely collapse the Taiwanese economy in a matter of weeks.
Taiwan relies on imports for food and energy.

There would be no point prolonging the suffering for years.

Get it over with as soon as possible with minimal casualties and disruption for everyone, then afterwards focus on the reconstruction.
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No just blockade, infrastructures on the island like airports, seaports, fuel depots, transformer stations, gas stations, etc should be bombed as well.
 
solarz

solarz

Brigadier

Curious what everyone thinks of Zhang Weiwei's prediction, especially the part about there might not be a next election for Taiwan.
 
R

RoastGooseHKer

Junior Member
Registered Member
vincent said:
No just blockade, infrastructures on the island like airports, seaports, fuel depots, transformer stations, gas stations, etc should be bombed as well.
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Yup, blockade must be complemented by sustained joint fire bombardment coordinated by PLAGF, PLARF, PLAN and PLAAF, as well as supported by cyber attacks and cutting of undersea cables. Pretty much everything except amphibious assault (boots on the ground). Otherwise the Taiwanese and Americans would simply ignore the blockage and gamble the China Coast Guard vessels executing the blockade wouldn’t dare to fire at blockade runners. This is why an arsenal of digit long-range FPV drones, loitering munitions, and long range rocket artillery is critical. And they must be able to last for weeks and neutralise 90% of Taiwan’s industrial capacity and infrastructure. Ideally for the PLA, following days of joint attacks, the Taiwan military would run out of most heavy equipment and suffer casualties in the six digits. Also, PLA units must be able to withstand and absorb counterattacks by Taiwan’s own missile force.
 
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