PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

Phead128

Phead128

Major
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
You contradict yourself immediately:
votran said:
US may run out of missile and ship quick
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So you agree US will run out of missiles quickly....
votran said:
meanwhile US have no problem putting missile all over philipines and south korea....putting all china east coast at risk
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Yea, and US will run out of missiles quickly no matter where they put it. You can put it on China's doorsteps but if you don't have a enough quantity and rate to suppress Chinese targets, it's good as useless in the long-term.

The logical inconsistency is evident.
 
BasilicaLew

BasilicaLew

Junior Member
Registered Member
I don't believe Americans will even have a chance to target the Chinese mainland deeper than single digit kilometers. The US might try to do their classic tomahawk bait to move SAM'S to allow B-21 to pass, but thats still very unlikely for chinese IADS to move their stuff with how dense it is. And China would happily wipe every military facility the US has on its own mainland off the charts, (theres only like 15 anyways.) Also most Chinese critical defense systems are mostly in Chinese focused production cities, easy to defend, and not dispersed. I think the Americans with how stupid their airforce is will still try though, with many happy rural chinese people taking selfie's infront of the wreakage.
 
T

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
votran said:
US may run out of missile and ship quick but the huge problem is : US shipyard and production facility still perfectly safe back home , no countries include china have balls to put missile on cuba to threaten them
(no some sneaky tiny drones raid from hidden containe aren't gonna cut it and do any significal damage)
meanwhile US have no problem putting missile all over philipines and south korea....putting all china east coast at risk

well i hope when shooting war start china will finally have the will to threaten US mainland

it gonna be fucking hilarious if war start : china ship sunk by US missile , china shipyard hit by tomahawk from philipines , US submarine attack china's cargo around malacca straits

and china's missile still nowhere to be seen on cuba ...or atleast venezuela soil
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China will hit or destroy most US military bases in the region. US production may not be as safe as they may think.
 
T

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
My guess is that as the threat of a nuclear exchange or even an attrition war becomes more apparent, I think that the party that have less to lose here, the US, will throw Taiwan DPP under the bus for a different approach.
The US could build the entire Taiwan semiconductor industry in Arizona and Texas in less than a decade. The issue now will be that the more China has to fight for Taiwan the more horrible the outcome will be for that island.
 
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