PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

CMP

Captain
Registered Member
I'd be surprised if China doesn't do this every week. It's a cheap way to annoy Japan and force them to constantly make intercepts, thereby wearing down the JASDF. They'll probably send drones to Kyushu airspace as well, just to really raise alarms.
China should keep doing this at such an aggressive tempo that Japan can no longer keep up with the maintenance for its fighter jets.
 

4Tran

Junior Member
Registered Member
China should keep doing this at such an aggressive tempo that Japan can no longer keep up with the maintenance for its fighter jets.
They already are. The JASDF fighters doing the intercepts fly out of Okinawa and the fighter units in Okinawa fly F-15Js. These planes are 30+ years old, and they're ready to fall apart any day now.

I am fairly certain Japan only scrambled fighters because of the latest Sino-Japanese drama. They are doing it to save face.
They fly intercepts of any warplanes flying near their airspace. Basically all air forces do this, and that's where we get all the pictures of fighters escorting Bears from.
 

Nevermore

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Foreign Ministry: China categorically rejects Japan's unilateral assertions.
On November 27, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiajun presided over a regular press conference. A reporter asked: According to reports, the leader of Japan's opposition party commented on Sanae Takaichi's remarks during the opposition party leaders' debate, stating that Takaichi no longer mentioned specific examples and had effectively retracted her previous statements. Does China agree with this assessment?
Guo Jiakun stated that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's erroneous remarks gravely violate the spirit of the four political documents between China and Japan, undermine the political foundation of bilateral relations, and have aroused strong indignation among the Chinese people. "No longer mentioning" and "withdrawing" such erroneous remarks are two entirely different matters of fundamentally distinct nature. Japan's delusion that it can downplay, evade, and conceal Prime Minister Takaichi's serious misstatements by merely "no longer mentioning" them amounts to burying one's head in the sand and talking to oneself. China absolutely rejects this approach.
(CCTV reporter Zhao Jing)
 

CMP

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Foreign Ministry: China categorically rejects Japan's unilateral assertions.
On November 27, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiajun presided over a regular press conference. A reporter asked: According to reports, the leader of Japan's opposition party commented on Sanae Takaichi's remarks during the opposition party leaders' debate, stating that Takaichi no longer mentioned specific examples and had effectively retracted her previous statements. Does China agree with this assessment?
Guo Jiakun stated that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's erroneous remarks gravely violate the spirit of the four political documents between China and Japan, undermine the political foundation of bilateral relations, and have aroused strong indignation among the Chinese people. "No longer mentioning" and "withdrawing" such erroneous remarks are two entirely different matters of fundamentally distinct nature. Japan's delusion that it can downplay, evade, and conceal Prime Minister Takaichi's serious misstatements by merely "no longer mentioning" them amounts to burying one's head in the sand and talking to oneself. China absolutely rejects this approach.
(CCTV reporter Zhao Jing)
Best punish them until they have a full fiscal collapse.
 

Nevermore

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Foreign Ministry: Sanae Takaichi's emphasis on the illegal and invalid "Treaty of San Francisco" demonstrates her persistent refusal to reflect on past mistakes, compounding her errors.


Another interesting development: China's Ministry of National Defense responded to Japan's claim that it possesses the capability to sink the Fujian aircraft carrier.
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On the afternoon of November 27, the Ministry of National Defense held a regular press conference. Colonel Jiang Bin, Deputy Director of the Ministry's Information Bureau and spokesperson, answered reporters' questions. A reporter asked: Japanese media reported that personnel within the Japan Self-Defense Forces stated that if the Fujian aircraft carrier were to take military action in Taiwan, Japan and the United States would have the capability to sink it. What is the Ministry of National Defense's comment? In response, Jiang Bin stated: Regarding such remarks, I have one thing to say: It's a pipe dream and a case of overestimating one's capabilities. By Xie Ruiqiang, The Paper (This article is from The Paper)


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Are PLA exercises intended to warn Japan? Ministry of National Defense: We will strike back mercilessly against any act of aggression.
 
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Michael90

Senior Member
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not sure that is a good thing for china tbh ...i rather have the advantage of "democracy" moral high ground whatever i bullshit with diplomacy talk around the world like the west
and not only that the west also have ability to just bomb/regime chance/invade some weak nation everytime they want just because they can . nobody dare to throw any sort of economic sanctions toward them let alone send military force there to stop them or supply the one being bomb with good weapon to make west bleed ...

image how good chinese people ...hell even gov offical gonna feel when their country can do that cool shit ? why do you think china must use gray tactic , boat ramming and water spray for years ?
and why do you think US doesn't even need to do that dumb crap with venezuela ? instead they bomb boat kill people in board daylight since day 1 and brag about we bomb you because we can , nobody can do shit to us
Well, Chinas system doesn’t afford them to be able to do that. I agree that if China had the democracy cover , it could actually get away with more of this stuffs, Thats what I find ironic actually. Reason I believe China being a one party autocracy is actually better for Chinas neighbours. A democratic China were Chinese people get to choose or elect their leaders will be a nightmare for Chinas neighbours, since they could elect an ultranationalists and populist like Japans current PM or Trump etc . So the West and her Asian allies should be careful of what they wish for. Taiwan would have had it even worse in my opinion. CCP is actually very accommodating and conservative/reserved in their actions and they can clamp down or easily crackdown by censoring any dissenting voices in China who gets to loud about their policies, a democratic China won’t have all those, so reactions will be much different.
However, for China to be able to get away with things the US/west does. China will have to be the world’s dominant power (both economic and military ) which they are far from being for now. Plus they will need to change their foreign policy and actually court more allies officially and that means getting involved in others affairs and also changing their model and being more open in their capital markets and also uplift their demand to make their market the most attractive in the world for other countries and to atttact investments from other countries in their capital markets as well. This are all advantages the US currently enjoys and so they can act with impunity since others have a huge stake in US market and their financial system depends on the US , so they can’t do anything to the risk of wrecking their economy and country
 
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manqiangrexue

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Foreign Ministry: Sanae Takaichi's emphasis on the illegal and invalid "Treaty of San Francisco" demonstrates her persistent refusal to reflect on past mistakes, compounding her errors.


Another interesting development: China's Ministry of National Defense responded to Japan's claim that it possesses the capability to sink the Fujian aircraft carrier.
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On the afternoon of November 27, the Ministry of National Defense held a regular press conference. Colonel Jiang Bin, Deputy Director of the Ministry's Information Bureau and spokesperson, answered reporters' questions. A reporter asked: Japanese media reported that personnel within the Japan Self-Defense Forces stated that if the Fujian aircraft carrier were to take military action in Taiwan, Japan and the United States would have the capability to sink it. What is the Ministry of National Defense's comment? In response, Jiang Bin stated: Regarding such remarks, I have one thing to say: It's a pipe dream and a case of overestimating one's capabilities. By Xie Ruiqiang, The Paper (This article is from The Paper)


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Are PLA exercises intended to warn Japan? Ministry of National Defense: We will strike back mercilessly against any act of aggression.
My automatic reflex answer was, "They try that and we can sink their whole country."
 

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
Aside from all that recent noise about training with dual-use ships, when you see things like specialized landing fire support ships starting to show up:
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View attachment 165256
You get the feeling that Reunification is not that far away.
Guancha crew briefly talked about this ship yesterday, some points:

  • the projectors are for launching obstacle breach charges, that's 128 tubes of them on deck. It may or may not have a further 128 rounds below deck for reload
  • they are intended to blanket an area from edge of waterline to 100-200m inlnad , with the goal of clearing mines and obstacles. Notably landing sites in Taiwan are commonly populated with this type of obstacle and these charges are designed to clear them:
    1764296908062.png
  • 128 tubes should be enough firepower to clear a landing corridor wide enough for a battalion
  • these ships by their nature must be at the front of the amphibious assault formation and considering the several dozen tons of live ordnance they are carrying would be very dangerous, there's a good chance they are setup to perform their attack run unmanned
 
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