I saw a clip in douyin refering to the Liaoning in east of T41wan. Is it for exercise or pre position, incase US ships sail there from Malacca or Japan?
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
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The real answer is to push US red lines in e.g. SCS or elsewhere.
I don't know the history or background of Shangdong Hengyue Municipal Engineering Co. Ltd. but this seems to be a straightforward restoration/construction project that's being spun up as a "PLA in our backyard" sensationalization by the Americans.
Typical persecutory delusion
They have never cared about the people of third countries, preferring to keep in their primitive state so they can admire and serve them. But as soon as the Chinese do something to improve local livelihoods, they immediately jump out as if they have missed something, and often military
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Nah, leave them be. When the mainland is ready to restart the civil war, their existence on the island becomes the casus belli.
But maybe Taipei and Washington are deliberately trying to provoke China into striking now as opposed to after the 14th and 15th five-year plan, when China will become even more self-sufficient and dominant in most high-tech sectors. At least before China's demographic issues start to bite (after around 2035 or later, when the post-80s generation - China's baby boom, start to retire and receive state pensions), the longer Taipei waits, the more time would on China's side in the next decade or two. This is the now or never hypothesis (beat China when there is still a chance). It rhymes somewhat with Gilpin's hegemonic war theory and other IR realist schools.
Another hypothesis for the liberal west is the so-called to deter China up to late 2030s, when China's demographic issues sink in, and the CPC could no longer devote as much resources into national security as right now. This is the wait-until-China-starts-to-decline due to the impossibility to solving population aging school of thought.
Both assumptions rest upon China's aging population compelling to the CPC to invest vast majourity of resources on health and unemployment benefits starting around 16th five-year plan (post 2035), possibly slowing down the PLA's modernisation efforts and gradually reducing its capabilities by late 2030s and early 2040s. Thus, the PLA's capabilities would allegedly peak around 2035 before resources for guns would be needed to be spent on butter.
Maybe Washington's rationale behind increasing the number of GI trainers in Taiwan were rested on both assumptions (or more; one desperate and pessimistic, the other optimistic).
Why no one in this thread mentioned this?
Lai Ching-teh seems significantly softened his attitude about unification from the mainland around 20th May this year.
China also said it's willing to talk with Taiwan.
Is there a possibility that Peaceful Unification can be achieved in years?
Response from China's spokesman: (Willing to talk with Taiwan)
Lai Ching-teh seems significantly softened his attitude about unification from the mainland around 20th May this year.
China also said it's willing to talk with Taiwan.
Is there a possibility that Peaceful Unification can be achieved in years?
Response from China's spokesman: (Willing to talk with Taiwan)
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The mainland authorities did not respond to his “corporate merger theory” because it could be interpreted as “two countries theory.”Why no one in this thread mentioned this?
Lai Ching-teh seems significantly softened his attitude about unification from the mainland around 20th May this year.
China also said it's willing to talk with Taiwan.
Is there a possibility that Peaceful Unification can be achieved in years?
Response from China's spokesman: (Willing to talk with Taiwan)
The mainland's prerequisite for dialogue is recognition of the “one China principle” and the “1992 Consensus.” no such thing as “peaceful coexistence between Taiwan and China”, only “peaceful coexistence and future reunification between Taiwan and the mainland." But this was clearly unacceptable to Lai. Lai appears to be yielding, but in reality, it is only verbal.
So, everything remained the same.
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too soft in a world full of cut-throat that the whole mainland problem , both grovernment and citizen
hongkong is an example : those US/west bootlickers youth have no army , no firearms and yet ever since 97 they freely bully mainlander there : attack people speak mandarin , called them cockroach sub-human , burn people with gasoline , throw brick at mainlander behind their back for decades even to this day
riot in milions destroy public stuff > no consequences , alot of them still able to move freely to the west and keep doing the thing
get praise as peaceful freedom fighter > while mainland take the blame for destroy hongkong , still being paint as pure evil
what next ? after peaceful unification/liberation mainland and taiwan , hongkong 2.0 electric boogaloo problem show up with 10x more number ?
you guy truely special , i never seen any countries on earth soft and peaceful like that . even today "peaceful and polite" japan , no okinawan dare to treat mainland japanese like the way those hongkonger youth did toward mainland chinese
let alone other ...less peaceful , less polite nation and their way of dealing with large number disloyal potential traitors
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