Thats my thoughts as well. This is a Chinese Armata style tank.
There is no "Armata style tank". Armata is the name of a common platform for a family of medium and heavy armoured vehicles.
The tank is T-14 and both its layout and engine are
not determined by the platform. You can just as easily build an "Abrams" or "Leclerc" using Armata and power it with a gas turbine. So to be correct the concept of the MBT with a single crew capsule at the front is a "T-14 style tank".
And therefore it is extremely unlikely that China would follow that concept because T-14 is a horrible dysfunctional design that could only be conceived by someone who didn't know what tank crews do and didn't care to know. And it was.
Armata was conceived under Anatoly Serdyukov who had no military experience, and came from the new "private enterprise" generations within the industry. This is where all the new designs came from: Armata, Kurganets, Bumerang, Koalistiya etc.
Shortly after the tank was shown on the victory day parade (soon to be a decade ago!) there were rumours among Russian milbloggers that the Russian army rejected it after practical tests on multiple grounds - not just technical but also training, maintenance and tactical - but political pressures and lack of alternatives meant that the program was formally continued. The industry shills who wanted new design to increase revenue and profits - at the time Russia was modernising T-72s on the cheap using stored hulls to cut cost - blamed it on the engine but there was nothing preventing an older engine being used as an interim solution. The initial engine for T-14 had the same power as the latest V92 so it could easily be replaced due to the larger size of the hull.
The problem was that the entire general design of the tank was a failure and after Serdyukov was replaced by Shoigu the army had too much influence in the ministry to be forced to accept something it didn't want. This is why T-90M is being produced.
China uses an outdated ex-Soviet hull and mechanical design in its tanks. They're simply developing something better because it's been 40 years since NATO 3gens were fielded and they are the latest generation. The only tank that is not part of 3gen is T-14 and it's a failure.
We know China is testing a 2 man crew set up compensate with automation and data link.
This is done to develop knowledge - a practical experiment, not a guaranteed direction of development.
Also it's to develop backup systems so tanks with crew loss do not suffer loss of combat function. Sometimes one tank staying in the fight with 50% of crew alive for 1-2 hours is what's necessary for everyone else to get out alive.
I think the idea is overly stacking armor is insufficient for modern battlefield. There are certain threats that more armor will not help protect: guided artillery, top attack atgm, non-line of sight anti tank weapons, drones carry heavy atgm you cannot detect... Instead of overprepare for those just protect yourself against other direct fires and portable anti tank weapons.
Again: in Ukraine combat losses of armoured vehicles are caused by:
- 70% - mines
- 20% - artillery
- 10% - all other means combined including ATGMs, drones and tank-on-tank combat.
It is impossible to design an armoured vehicle that will survive a mine. Mines at minimum cause mobility kill and then the vehicle is exposed to artillery.
A vehicle that was disabled by a mine and killed by artillery or other means is classified under "mines".
It is impossible to design a vehicle survivable against direct hit from 122mm or 155mm guided artillery shell, and those will become more widespread in the future.
Similarly it is impossible to design a vehicle survivable to 155mm HE-FRAG detonation at close distance because fragments have such energy that unless it's proper heavy armour they will damage the engine, transmission, hydraulics, other mechanical parts and injure or kill the crew. You can design the vehicle that is more survivable in relative terms by replacing hydraulics with electromechanical systems, put a hybrid engine with fewer volumetric parts etc but that's all applicable to mobile vehicles. As soon as mobility is lost the vehicle must be evacuated.
All the propaganda videos of drone strikes are propaganda. How many tanks genuinely killed by drones have you seen out of 3000+ lost by both sides? How many during the current static phase?
So tank design focuses on two aspects:
- avoiding detection & detecting enemy first
- survival against direct fires
And this is precisely how you get 70t mass because "direct fires" other than guided arty is primarily APFSDS which requires mass to distribute high kinetic energy via momentum conservation. HEAT is chemical energy which can be dissipated by composite armour or dispersed by explosive reactive armour.
Takes the weight saved and obtain strategic mobility.
At present strategic mobility is an issue for the US and not for China.
Of the three logistical domains air is most problematic, sea is most vulnerable and land is by far most enduring and economical. In Asia the US must rely on air and sea because it has no deep land buffer like in Europe with dense logistical networks and an existing industrial base.
Look up the logistics of transporting and sustaining an ABCT in theater vs IBCT and you'll see why it's such a problem and ABCT can't work without tanks because it literally is a tank formation with infantry for support. This is why sequestration in 2013 cut infantry in ABCT but
not tanks. ABCT is tanks. The rest of US Army is infantry.
Doctrine is a confusing dry language with hidden meaning that you learn through practice. Once you have learnt it however you see that what it really talks about is often the opposite of what you thought before you acquired necessary knowledge.
If the tank is hit, make sure crews survive. If crews are lost, that is just 2 crews.
Tanks with crew of 2 will be lost at a much higher rate than tanks with crews of 4 and this is straight from how tank crews actually operate.
A few years ago the US Army organised a workshop with
actual tankers and the conclusions heavily favoured 4 man crews.
A tank is like a land ship and it works more like a land ship. Ideally you should be able to move around in it. This is why every tanker I spoke to prefers Leopard 2 or Abrams to Soviet T-tanks or Korean K2 because of space and ergonomics.
Poland as of now has used:
- T-72
- domestic upgrade PT-91
- Leopard 2A4, A5 and upgraded PL
- M1A1 and A2
- K2
and the military's view has been consistent over the last 20 years: they want Leopard 2 or Abrams. Specifically the 4th crewmember is regularly brought up as an asset.
While there are individual preferences between the two depending on who is talking (logistician, engineer, tanker etc) everyone agrees that this MBT concept is optimal for
sustainment of combat potential in the field. And that's the metric that wins the combat.
Furthermore the enemy of China is no longer Soviet Union that fields powerful tanks on open field.
You have no idea what tanks are used for and how. E.g. urban warfare is a surprising twist on tank use because many thought it would be an equalizer, especially after Grozny, but MBT is
more relevant there than in the open field.
Also why do you assume that they would not be used in Central Asia or along the narrow populated strip in Russian Siberia? Why wouldn't they be used in a hypothetical contest between India or Pakistan?
As soon as China develops tanks that are limited in performance by being tailored to specific theaters, the pressure will shift to another theater.
There have also been recent articles from the US how they are looking at a lighter and more mobile future main battle tank to succeed the M1 family (likely including currently in development variants) in tactical, operational and strategic ways, as well as being more survivable.
That's just industry shills pushing for more funding. It's going to be a repeat of Future Combat Systems. It's also a response to this:
The product of that particular evolution won't be a "tank" but effectively a collaborative system of unmanned ground combat vehicles with humans in decision loop.
The part that most people misunderstand is that tanks are not necessary. They are a particular tool for a particular set of conditions the primary being
breakthrough exploitation which occurs in very specific conditions. Tanks are not necessary but very very good for that particular maneuver.
However as the information flow in battle-space increases putting several functions into one hull is becoming less than optimal.
Tanks exist because they shelter
crews capable of a given amount of actions autonomously.
Once those actions are equally or better performed by extensive distributed systems tanks will become obsolete. Then and
only then.
But once that happens you can't really talk about a "tank". And this is why in the clip you have "main ground combat system" and not "next generation tank". Whatever will happen the manned component will always have the strongest armour because it will be the
decision node and therefore a priority target.