Rather than matching their F35s with similar, wouldn’t it be better to negate their advantages?
No, because Japan is NOT a real opponent. The chances of PLA going to war with ONLY the Japanese is slim to none, any real war with Japan involved will be mainly fought with the US. Wasting resources on developing new equipment
just to counter the Japanese is counter-productive and a waste of resources. Because like what
@Temstar has previously mentioned, Strategic Rocket Force already has the gadgets to deal decisively with (ONLY) Japan.
For example, what is the point of an F35 if it can be tracked and electronically suppressed?
The same psychological effect on your in Taiwan, as you described, can be achieved if someone like the Saudis, Egyptians, Algerians, Serbs, Belarusians, with their potential new systems, demonstrate some of these abilities on F35’s in their regions.
If an F35 is shot down using radar and IR guidance in a conflict zone in Europe or the Middle East, or even the Korean Peninsula, then the psychological effect in Taiwan will be enormous.
Edit: The same affect can be had by making a drone with slightly better speed, range, and maneuverability than the F35, and just tailing them, on their 6, for very long periods of time.
No, that's not my point. F35 itself is NOT the trump card in this card game here. If F35 really is a trump card against China, all the US need to do is to sell Taiwan F35. And that's NOT happening in any foreseeable future unless the next general US fighter are ready to be commissioned en masse.
The foundation of the psych/propaganda war is this:
- The battle field is the public perception of different populations in the region, NOT the academic consensus of professional military analyst, government advisors and the intel community with high security clarence.
- Real technicality of military hardware is NOT entirely relevant, NOR is it entirely irrelevant. Truth doesn't matter, public perceptions matters more than truth.
The premise of this psych war is this:
1. The US will make sure that F35 keeps its prestige and mysteriousness by preventing Taiwan from getting it. This creates a hierarchy like: US (owns F22 and F35) >> Japan/Korea (owns only F35) >> Taiwan (owns nothing). In this sense, the US will be able to maximize the propaganda effect of the F-35, so much so as to make it a tool of strategic deterrence FOR THE GENERAL PUBLIC.
2. The US will push Japan/Korea to be the front runners provocateurs in which they will NOT have the real decisive military capability to defeat China in a real war. Instead they will invest in eye-catching hardware that can garner enough media publicity for the purpose of deterrence, again, FOR THE GENERAL PUBLIC. (Examples include the proposed Korean 45,000 class STOVL carrier, Japan's 20,000ton class heavy destroyer/cruiser, the Izumo, etc. These hardware are waste of money for Korea and Japan, because they bring no real advantage to the table in the perceived conflict they are supposed to be used, namely, against China). But these will be important, because:
i. They've calculated and concluded that the chances of them (Korea/Japan) going to real war with China (without the US) is slim to none, because they pose no real threat to China, and thus the diplomatic and geostrategic cost for China to attack them far out-weights any benefit China can gain from starting such war. Thus, these equipment will be perfectly safe to conduct superficial media/propaganda oriented micro-aggression missions of provoking China, to solicit from China either an over-reacted response, which they can paint as evidence for "aggressive China", or an under-reacted response, in which they can paint as evidence for a "weakling China". This is a lose-lose situation for China, because both of these will increase the geopolitical cost for China to further develop its own international trade system, which is what China need to sustain and safeguard its "Peaceful Rise".
ii. They have calculated and concluded that strategically speaking, the threat the Chinese military and MIC poses towards the US hegemony can only be mitigated in two ways: one is to prevent China from further developing and strengthening itself (covered in point i), the other is to divert China's resources from focusing on aiming at offsetting the core strategic advantage of the US. Militarily, this means that the more resources the PLA and Chinese MIC has to allocate for threats types other than the core US capabilities, the more comparative advantage the US can retain over China. In this aspect, the more similar the Korea/Japanese capabilities are to the US, the more cost-effective the PLA and Chinese MIC can develop counter-capability for.
Therefore in this chess game, if the PLA focuses more on mitigating threat of point i, it will fall victim to US desires in point ii. if PLA focuses more on mitigating threat of point ii, it will fall victim to the risk in point i.
3. The US has calculated that when no real strategic threat is presented to China, China will be reluctant to act aggressively and desperately towards militarily hapless micro-aggressions, especially by not-first-tier-powerful nations like Japan and Korea. This is because when no real strategic threat is perceived by China, China will focus more on development, and the current stage and near future stage of China's development is one that needs peaceful environment in which China needs to present a "
Capable but Peaceful" hard power, in order to gain co-operation globally (especially from the Global South). Therefore the best US grand strategy is a) not giving China a reason to go full-out survivor mode, b) tarnish China's image by making it either "
Capable but not Peaceful", or "
Peaceful only because not Capable enough yet"; all the while making US the solution to any so-called "China Problem" to the world.
THEREFORE, I think the best and more cost effective counter against current Japanese and Korean procurement of capital hardware, is to develop the CATOBAR J-35 into having STOBAR capabilities, and put them on Liaoning and Shandong. This will give the PLAN plenty of counter-propaganda materials, at the lowest cost. It will also allow the PLAN to do pay-back moves (by sailing close to their shore with a battle group), if Korean and Japanese ships with their F-35 dares to do provocation sails near places deemed strategically sensitive to China (like disputed areas in SEA, Taiwan Straight, or others).