In terms of naval export however, Russia has seen more success. So this article isn't completely far fetched. Vietnam had operated Gepard class frigates, whilist India still uses the Talwar class frigates as well.
The Karakurtt is not a vaporware seeing as the lead ship had already been launched.
China may be interested in the concept design of the Buyan, but there is no reason why they must procure actual ships from Russia to make it work. They already have a viable hull in the form of the Type 56A which in comparison of tonnage is actually somewhat under armed when compared to the Buyan. The large hull and displacement allows for greater increase in potential firepower and endurance.
A2AD isn’t effective against geographic neighbors (you can’t deny an adversary access to an area if they’re already pretty much in or adjacent to that area), and having littoral boats armed with large missiles does not by itself constitute an A2AD strategy.Which brings us full circle, since ships like the Tuo Chiang are ships that the PLAN's littoral navy is faced with. If Russia sells Buyans or Karakurts to Vietnam, then these boats are added to the list of what the PLAN littoral ships have to contend. The PLAN would need their Davids to screen against these Davids trying to take down the PLAN's Goliaths. The PLAN has moved full lap, where it was at one point, the navy looking to brown seas A2AD, and is now on the other shoe, where it has to contend with the A2AD of its neighbors and protect its own bigger ships, while simultaneously facing the might of peer neighbors and countries.
A2AD isn’t effective against geographic neighbors (you can’t deny an adversary access to an area if they’re already pretty much in or adjacent to that area), and having littoral boats armed with large missiles does not by itself constitute an A2AD strategy.
Even if you are adjacent, it would mean protecting your turf, and the area extending from your turf.
A2AD against China.
"While the term A2/AD usually refers to Chinese military plans, Gholz argued that other countries in the Asia-Pacific region could employ A2/AD to help protect against the possibility of a Chinese amphibious assault on their territory. This would enable those countries to defend themselves rather than .
As a result, countries like Taiwan, Japan, and the Philippines could create “overlapping contested zones” to keep China at bay, a concept Gholz labelled “No Man’s Sea.” In other words, countries in the Asia-Pacific region could defend their own backyard rather than letting the United States defend it for them.
Using Taiwan to illustrate A2/AD’s application, Gholz explained that technology has made it easier and cheaper for countries to employ the intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities necessary to conduct A2/AD operations. Although Taiwan has some domestic capability to build anti-ship and surface-to-air missiles (e.g., the Hsiung Feng III and Tien Kung I), it could do more to develop these capabilities."
Said boats can be part of a larger A2AD network or serve as its hammer. In fact, they cannot operate anywhere without a network --- the boats alone do not have sufficient sensor capability to make full use of their missiles, and would need the network to provide the targeting data.
I’ve read those reports before. Analysis of that mold is conceptually weak. It fundamentally misunderstands how A2AD works. What makes A2AD A2AD is the use of stand off positions to reinforce attacks from forward positions while forward positions simultaneously prevent adversaries from reaching stand off positions. That mutually reinforcing synthesis is how you create the area denial in A2AD. This strategy works only when those stand off positions aren’t vulnerable to attacks coming from other directions, like when they are nested deep inside a large country’s territory. A2AD is tailor made *specifically* to counter other militaries that are forward deployed from distant geographies, because those kinds of adversaries normally can’t attack an A2AD arrangement’s standoff positions in a different direction from its forward position. A2AD against China doesn’t work if you’re one of China’s neighbors because while you may try to defend your coast with missile boats you can’t defend those missile boat’s positions with missiles positioned at stand off ranges on the ground because those missiles are also vulnerable to China’s ground and air forces coming in a different direction from the coast. That doesn’t mean fortifying your coasts with missile boats and stand off weapons can’t be part of some sensible defense strategy, but doing that alone does not create effective area denial. What it would be, instead, is a much more basic porcupine strategy, which is very different from A2AD.Even if you are adjacent, it would mean protecting your turf, and the area extending from your turf.
A2AD against China.
"While the term A2/AD usually refers to Chinese military plans, Gholz argued that other countries in the Asia-Pacific region could employ A2/AD to help protect against the possibility of a Chinese amphibious assault on their territory. This would enable those countries to defend themselves rather than .
As a result, countries like Taiwan, Japan, and the Philippines could create “overlapping contested zones” to keep China at bay, a concept Gholz labelled “No Man’s Sea.” In other words, countries in the Asia-Pacific region could defend their own backyard rather than letting the United States defend it for them.
Using Taiwan to illustrate A2/AD’s application, Gholz explained that technology has made it easier and cheaper for countries to employ the intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities necessary to conduct A2/AD operations. Although Taiwan has some domestic capability to build anti-ship and surface-to-air missiles (e.g., the Hsiung Feng III and Tien Kung I), it could do more to develop these capabilities."
Said boats can be part of a larger A2AD network or serve as its hammer. In fact, they cannot operate anywhere without a network --- the boats alone do not have sufficient sensor capability to make full use of their missiles, and would need the network to provide the targeting data.
... and others !....
So I understand we’re off topic, and I have no qualms with the moderating here, but in the event that you’re thinking about doing a clean up I’d request at least letting me know ahead of time so I can save my last post on this A2AD tangent. That way I can refer back to it in the future, as I imagine I’ll be needing it again for other discussions. Thanks Deino.... and others !
PLEASE !!! The topic is related to "PLAN breaking news, pics, & videos"
and not on a general discussion on A2AD, Russian export wet-dreams or how to sink a Taiwanese vessel.
Come on. Not each and every comment has to be discussed in length ... especially in a news thread.
Deino
So I understand we’re off topic, and I have no qualms with the moderating here, but in the event that you’re thinking about doing a clean up I’d request at least letting me know ahead of time so I can save my last post on this A2AD tangent. That way I can refer back to it in the future, as I imagine I’ll be needing it again for other discussions. Thanks Deino.