Here is the report
If, with 25 new surface ships and auxiliary support admitted in service, the Chinese navy had confirmed in 2016 its intention to grow both in number and quality, and to respond to the country's strategy to become a hybrid power - continental and oceanic - the purely mathematical statistics of the year 2017 could however come to say the opposite, at least at first glance.
According to our monitoring, the Chinese Navy admitted to active duty a total of 17 warships between January 1 and December 31, 2017, voluntarily excluding the new submarines diesel and nuclear propulsion since the data are unfortunately missing.
This represents a decrease of 32.00% compared to 2016 in the number of buildings, and also 33.13% less in tonnage, with a total of about 105 576 tonnes against 157 881 tonnes ¹ recorded previously.
Here is the list of new Chinese surface buildings in 2017:
Among the 17 new ships in 2017 are 2 destroyers, 2 frigates, 8 ASW corvettes, 1 tanker tanker, 1 military marker 1 school ship, 1 deep sea tug and 1 SIGINT intelligence vessel.
Compared to 2016, where 1 destroyer, 3 frigates, 7 corvettes, 2 minesweepers, 5 landing craft, 3 oil tankers, 2 icebreakers and 2 hydrographic vessels joined the ranks of the Chinese navy, we can see above all a total absence of new buildings for amphibious forces and a significant decrease in the number of tankers ².
On the other hand, the number of new first-class ships remains constant, as do the other auxiliary buildings.
Deep sea tug "Bei Tuo 739"
Destroyer Type 052D, 117 Xining
LONG PICTURE OF SHIP COMMISSIONED click the link
With the figures for 2017, can we then consider that the Chinese navy is slowing down and slowing down the expansion of its manpower and fleets, an expansion that was confirmed by its high ranking officers in early 2017?
The answer is clearly no. The drop in the number of new vessels admitted to active service in 2017 would simply be related to the variation in production cycles in the various Chinese shipyards, which continue to maintain a steady pace of production at the level of military vessels.
Some amateur photos and satellite images also confirm this. Examples include the Dalian shipyard in northern China, which simultaneously works on one
Type 002 aircraft carrier , two
Type 055 destroyers of 12,000 tonnes and five
Type 052D destroyers of 7,000 tonnes, or the Jiangnan Changxing shipyard. which has begun work on new infrastructure to prepare the construction of the third Chinese aircraft carrier, and is building three more destroyers of 12,000 tons, at least four destroyers of 7,000 tons, attack submarines diesel and hovercraft.
The same "full-speed" situation is found in five other Chinese shipyards - Hudong, Huangpu, GSI, Liaonan and Wuhan - which historically work for the Chinese navy on frigates, corvettes, landing craft of various sizes, oil tankers ... etc.
And the 16 new ships launched in 2017 also confirm this trend:
If our forecast is accurate, there should be a new peak of delivery and admission to active duty service service in 2018, with a possible peak in 2019 and then in 2020 with the entry into service of the 2nd Chinese aircraft carrier and the first great destroyers Type 055.
Also to watch the start of production of the first class of Chinese Helicopter Carrier
Type 075at the Hudong shipyard in Shanghai, where will also be produced a new class of electro-propelled submarine warfare frigate, the
Type 054B , of which the order amounts to 24 copies according to the latest rumors.