Pakistan Economy Thread

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Brigadier
With the expansion of the multi-billion dollar project, employment opportunities of over 70,000 have been created in the last 5 years.

0.7m more jobs are anticipated to be created as further investments will be made in Gwadar encouraging the growth of various industries in the region.


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Brigadier
Pakistan, Russia set to sign $10b offshore pipeline deal next week...

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ISLAMABAD: In a major breakthrough, Pakistan and Russia are poised to sign a $10-billion offshore gas pipeline deal, a project planned by the latter to capture the energy market of Pakistan.

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Brigadier
Impact of Global Value Chains on Pakistan: An analysis

Picking up from the export-competitiveness thread published yesterday, the second theme that repeatedly comes up – besides import tariff liberalisation – in stakeholder discussions is diversification of exports. It’s a difficult thing to achieve, however. For one, Pakistan cannot be expected to graduate from exporting semi-processed raw materials to sophisticated components and machinery. And second, market access in advanced countries, already saturated, doesn’t come easy.
If going it alone is difficult, why not partner with others? In that context, Pakistan can diversify its exports by linking up with global value chains (GVCs). GVCs signify finished products that are designed, processed, assembled and marketed in different countries. As per WTO, over two-thirds of global trade takes place through simple and complex GVCs. While North America, Western Europe and East Asia form three inter-connected GVC hubs, South Asia and Africa are largely absent from the GVC map.

Global exports are about value addition across a spectrum that starts from research and design, moves into the middle stages of component manufacturing and assembly, and ends down the line at marketing and after-sales services. The middle stage – component manufacturing and assembly – is what developing countries like Pakistan have a reasonable shot at, with the beginning and end stages usually handled by advanced countries where high-skilled labor is competitive and end-user demand is lucrative.

To become GVC-competitive, tariff liberalisation, though necessary, won’t cut it alone; the whole trade governance regime needs a fix. It’s an ambitious agenda. For a GVC to work in Pakistan, efficiency is needed in procedures and logistics to a point where intermediate goods and components can smoothly enter and exit the country after necessary processing within.

Besides, reforms are needed to bring down non-tariff trade costs – identified by the WTO as major impediments to a developing country becoming part of GVC – of both monetary nature (e.g. freight, insurance and trade-related fees) and non-monetary nature (e.g. customs clearance, contract enforcement, and IPR protection).

All that may sound like a pipedream, especially considering that Pakistan is situated in one of the least integrated regions economically. But there is an opportunity, thanks to the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), which can potentially catalyze regional economic cooperation in the future. CPEC, the great North-South corridor, can arguably benefit Pakistan by branching out East and West, opening up economic opportunities on the way.

China, which has mastered the art of economic deal-making despite conflicts with some of its neighbours, would like India to be a part of the massive Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to really make the most of its connectivity investments. Given the warming of Indo-China ties lately and the growing US belligerence towards even its allies, India may want to hedge its bets by dropping wholesale opposition to BRI some point after Modi’s re-election next year. Pakistan has already signaled openness to India coming on board.

Pakistan has to raise its competitiveness in making intermediate goods by becoming part of the regional-value-chain of textile apparels, auto parts and electronics assembly spearheaded by China. The proposed SEZs under CPEC can be instrumental in that regard, ensuring speed and efficiency. But it will still pay to reform tariffs as well as trade governance across the board so that local small-and-medium-sized domestic suppliers who are not part of SEZs can also be a part of the value-addition equation. It will be interesting to see where major political parties stand on GVCs in their upcoming election manifestos.

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Brigadier
In 2007, Pakistan was labelled as the most dangerous country in the world by the western media.

Today, because of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), Pakistan has managed to attract $2.2 billion in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) with China being the top most contributor. CPEC has also managed to create a favourable environment in Pakistan for FDI with countries like the United Kingdom (UK) and Malaysia making significant contributions.

Although the FDI is still not enough to cover the existing fiscal deficits, it is predicted that the FDI is going to increase in the future which will cover these deficits.


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now I read
Xinhua Headlines: Economic corridor changes Pakistan's business, economic landscape
Xinhua| 2018-06-08 13:35:15
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Five years after its launch, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has achieved magnificent results that help lay a solid infrastructure foundation for Pakistan's economic development.

Under the long-term and systematic framework of CPEC, several projects in areas of energy, transportation infrastructure and port construction have been completed.

The unprecedented CPEC projects are changing Pakistan's business and economic landscape and facilitating them with basic requirements, which has helped the country improve its international credibility and increase its economic growth rate to 5.8 percent in the fiscal 2018 from the previous year's 3.8 percent, according to official figures.

Former Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi, who recently concluded his tenure, said last month that CPEC and cooperation with China have helped Pakistan emerge as a rising economy in the world.

The project under CPEC would accelerate economic development and further link Pakistan with China, Central Asia and other parts of the world, said Abbasi.

A couple of years ago, Pakistan was facing severe power shortage with a power cut of up to 20 hours a day. The unsolved power crises prevailing for years was causing an unrest among the public and casting negative effects on the country's industries and other economic activities.

Pakistan's Ministry of Energy said that the completed CPEC power projects have brought a great change in the energy sector by bringing the power cut hours to zero form 12-14 hours a day in 70 percent of the country.

Two coal-fired power projects equipped with the latest state-of-the-art environment-friendly technology -- the 1,320-megawatt Sahiwal coal-fired power project in the country's Punjab and the Port Qasim coal-fired power plant with the same capacity in southern port city Karachi -- have already started production.

The two projects are expected to generate 18 billion KWh of electricity together annually, which can cater for the needs of eight million local families.

The CPEC power projects not only have eased daily lives of Pakistanis but are also creating hundreds of thousands of jobs by helping restart the industries that were closed due to power shortage.

Besides the coal-fired power plants, CPEC also provides new energy to Pakistan so as to diversify the country's energy sources to maintain its energy security. Part of the Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park is functional and three wind power farms are also supplying electricity in southern Sindh province, while two such projects will also start their commercial operations later this year.

Pakistan's Ministry of Planning, Development and Reforms said that energy projects under CPEC will double the energy-thirsty country's current capacity of electricity production after their completion.

Yasir Rehman, an anchor from the official Pakistan Television, said that the developed infrastructure under CPEC is bringing stimulus to the Pakistani economy, creating jobs and improving business by starting a constructive process.

"Uninterrupted power supply is helping industries increase production, creating an ideal atmosphere for Pakistan's economy," said Rehman, adding that with the functionalized Gwadar port, CPEC will benefit every common Pakistani.

Gwadar, the ending point of CPEC, which was once an ignored small sluggish fishing town located at the Arabian Sea in Pakistan's southwest Balochistan Province, is now witnessing a wave of development projects which are creating new opportunities for employment and business.

Gwadar port, with the fully functional port terminal, regular cargo service, free zone, business center, is a symbol of future development and prosperity of Pakistan.

According to China Overseas Ports Holding Company (COPHC), the port's operator, some 20 companies in different businesses have already joined the Gwadar free zone with direct investment of 3 billion Chinese yuan (over 460 million U.S. dollars).

Gwadar's local people are feeling the development impetus triggered by the rapidly developing port, construction of new roads, establishment and upgrading of educational institutions and hospitals, construction of a new international airport and installation of water purification plants.

Thousands of people, from laborers to businessmen, have migrated from across the country to Gwadar to grab emerging opportunities for business and employment since the launch of CPEC.

In the meantime, CPEC has also brought major improvements and overhauls to Pakistan's transportation infrastructure by upgrading and reconstructing already existing roads and building new superhighways.

Several transportation projects under CPEC are forming a road network in the country to improve Pakistan's internal connectivity as well as with the rest of the world.

On May 26, Abbasi inaugurated the first section of the 392-km Multan-Sukkur Motorway, the largest transportation infrastructure project under the CPEC in Multan of Punjab.

The motorway is expected to cut the travel time between Multan and Sukkur from 10 hours to four hours at the maximum designed speed of 120 km per hour. It will also facilitate traveling in areas located alongside it.

Mumtaz Hussain, a local farmer, told Xinhua that the CPEC motorway had given a new hope of prosperity to his family because now they can easily travel to cities to sell their vegetables at a better rate.

The motorway is a symbol of close cooperation between Pakistan and China, said Abbasi, adding that CPEC is the implementation of Chinese vision of connectivity and opening up under the Belt and Road Initiative that is bringing great economic opportunities to Pakistan and the region.

According to Chinese Ambassador to Pakistan Yao Jing, Chinese companies under CPEC projects have provided over 100,000 jobs to local people and have helped to uplift their living standards through social welfare works, including restoring and establishing schools and technical training centers, providing health facilities, and sending hundreds of youngsters to China for further study.

Former Minister for Planning, Development and Reform Ahsan Iqbal hailed CPEC as it has brought actual positive changes in the lives of millions of Pakistanis.

"CPEC is a national agenda and has been put into implementation in record time due to the solid commitment of both Pakistani and Chinese leadership," said Iqbal.
 

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Brigadier
Joylong, a Chinese automobile company, is set to launch its light commercial vehicles in Pakistan and says that its vehicles will be priced much lower than existing Japanese companies in order to eliminate their monopolizing reign.


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Brigadier
JW Forland is going to start local production of Alpha and Bravo (dump truck and cargo truck) in collaboration with Forland Motors China in June-2018..

Their Plant is Under Construction in
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