This keeps getting more interesting
Tesla has hard to selling out its production in Shanghai so it lowers prices. After cutting prices, it still has a hard time, so it tries to export more in Germany by cutting prices there. Now, it's thinking of selling the surplus production back to North America. I find it unlikely that they will be able to do so in America due to political pressure, but selling to Canada/Mexico should be no problem.
The writing is on the wall as BYD continues to take commanding position in this medium market segment. BYD currently is just making life hard for everyone. Model 3 is more expensive than Seal, but Seal is a better car. Once Sea Lion comes out, Model Y will be in trouble. Similarly for higher end models like NIO ET5 and BBA cars, future Denza SUV/Sedan models will likely chip away at their profitability too.
Remember this from a while back.
A year ago, BYD still had not a great reputation for car quality, but that is no longer a concern. The fact that they are exporting so many cars in Western countries is also a large boost for them domestically. So there is not a lot of breathing room left for everyone else.
Tesla has hard to selling out its production in Shanghai so it lowers prices. After cutting prices, it still has a hard time, so it tries to export more in Germany by cutting prices there. Now, it's thinking of selling the surplus production back to North America. I find it unlikely that they will be able to do so in America due to political pressure, but selling to Canada/Mexico should be no problem.
The writing is on the wall as BYD continues to take commanding position in this medium market segment. BYD currently is just making life hard for everyone. Model 3 is more expensive than Seal, but Seal is a better car. Once Sea Lion comes out, Model Y will be in trouble. Similarly for higher end models like NIO ET5 and BBA cars, future Denza SUV/Sedan models will likely chip away at their profitability too.
Remember this from a while back.
Since Tesla price cut, it's been the death of NEVs in the 100 to 250k RMB range. BYD sucks the air out of the entire market. That's why it was such an important thing For BYD to raise production so quickly ahead of everyone else. Once you become the default choice, competition will have to do so much better just to get a piece of pie. Maybe, Huawei fanboys will always be buying Huawei branded cars. But for other automakers like ChangAn, Geely, Great Wall, XPeng, Li Auto and such, having a dominant player in the market is a really bad thing for them.之前说的上海特斯拉效应已经成为行业共识了,这次车fans要说从8月开始越来越明显的另一个效应:
比亚迪标杆效应。
除了比亚迪,现在所有10~25万区间新能源车型,不管什么品牌,不管新车上市后热度有多高,只要前期交付量没上来,进店量会快速下滑到冰点,进店和订单量集体停滞。这个现象已经出现在包括长城、长安、吉利、埃安自主品牌身上。
意味着跟传统燃油车时代大众两田的标杆车型相对分散不同,现在新能源10~25万区间比亚迪一家独大,标杆效应越来越极端了。如果车型无法在销量上贴近,产品定位上拉开距离,终端客户会对这个品牌快速丧失信心,重新选择比亚迪。
也就意味着接下来所有新车型如果无法在上市后短期快速上量,除非价格优惠和品宣投入巨大代价,不然很快就会被比亚迪快速挤压出市场
A year ago, BYD still had not a great reputation for car quality, but that is no longer a concern. The fact that they are exporting so many cars in Western countries is also a large boost for them domestically. So there is not a lot of breathing room left for everyone else.