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AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
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According to this guy the whole thing is a rip-off. This virtual que line they have on the Disney app so you don't have to wait in long lines... right when it opens so people can sign up to get in que for the most popular rides it's already booked full for the whole day. The only way you can get a refund or schedule another day is doing it 24 hours before you go to Disneyland but you're already at Disneyland for your scheduled day meaning when you find out you can't get on any attraction you want it's impossible to get a refund or schedule another day so like this guy he ended up paying $1500 to just wander around Disneyland not being able to get on any popular rides.

 
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james smith esq

Senior Member
Registered Member
China wont attack Taiwan anytime soon.

PLA is still undergoing military reforms. Projected end date for the reforms is 2022 but it will take even longer to set up lasting institutions to ensure that the military wont backtrack.

I am guessing that by 2025-2027 the PLA would be 100% ready as an organisation and a fully trained force to get Taiwan if China decides to do so. However the military option will always be the last tool that China will use on Taiwan.

There are other ways to get it
IMO, China shouldn’t attack China (Taiwan), ever! Taiwan is an internal Chinese issue, but is not the primary threat to China in the region. Taiwan and S Korea only follow the example of the Big Lackey, former Imperialist conquerer, and current crimes against humanity denier, JAPAN. If China should (at the right time) attack any country in order to bring about a transformation of the power dynamics in the western-Pacific, it is Japan.

A successful campaign against the US-Japanese alliance should not only result in the breaking of that alliance and the removal of US forces from Japanese territory, but also precipitate the breaking of the US-S Korean alliance and the removal of US forces from the Korean Peninsula and the breaking of the US-Taiwanese alliance. In this scenario, China would be killing a monkey to scare the chickens.

If China is going to go, it might as well settle the whole issue from the outset, i. e., the removal of all US forces from all east-Asia/western-Pacific bases.
 
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Strangelove

Colonel
Registered Member
Taiwan: “Taiwan can help!”
*doesn’t help*
Australia: “But… but… we bought your pineapples!!”

Last year, the DPP bought 200 bottles of aussie wine, to show their support, and this was hyped to the moon.

200 bottles.....LOL, a single market supermarket in Chongqing or Chengdu stocked more then 200 bottle of aussie wine before the ban.
 

KampfAlwin

Senior Member
Registered Member
Last year, the DPP bought 200 bottles of aussie wine, to show their support, and this was hyped to the moon.

200 bottles.....LOL, a single market supermarket in Chongqing or Chengdu stocked more then 200 bottle of aussie wine before the ban.
Yeah lol, what a circlejerk. But we all know it's for optics, doesn't matter if it has an effect or not.
 

voyager1

Captain
Registered Member
Oh the EU Parliament with its tricks again. Another attempt to salami slice the Taiwan issue against China

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while U.S. President Joe Biden has his sights set on trade talks with Taipei.
Based Biden


For a large majority of lawmakers in the European Parliament, clinching a deal with Taiwan would be a major diplomatic show of support for the democratic and self-ruling island, which is coming under increasing military threats from Beijing
On Thursday, the international trade committee (INTA) overwhelmingly passed an opinion with 38 votes in favor, none against and three abstentions on “A new EU-China strategy,” in which the members explicitly called for talks with Taiwan.
"Let's analyse, in detail, if and how a bilateral investment agreement could benefit both the EU and Taiwan and then look at next steps. "
Commission currently views the possibility of starting investment talks, a spokesperson did not answer directly. “We are looking into possible options to boost our engagement with Taiwan, which remains an important and like-minded trade partner. This is a work in progress in Brussels,”
Its coming folks. Salami-slicing continues. Lets see how China responds if the EU Commission bows to the pressure
 

weig2000

Captain
Oh the EU Parliament with its tricks again. Another attempt to salami slice the Taiwan issue against China

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Based Biden






Its coming folks. Salami-slicing continues. Lets see how China responds if the EU Commission bows to the pressure

That's why saying China will NOT take military actions on Taiwan is rather wishful thinking.

Because it's not entirely up to China. It takes two to tango. Keep in mind all the noises about China making military move on Taiwan started to surface not because China had a sudden change of policy. It is because Taiwan's DPP government had categorically refused to commit to the vague "92 Consensus" which is really an agree-to-disagree formula for both sides to find some common ground, the weekly salami-slicing and provocations from the US, and the daily insults from Taiwan.

Still, China will not take the initiative to launch an all-out invasion on Taiwan in the next 5-7 years, UNLESS some red lines are crossed. There is no guarantee that those red lines would not be crossed by Taiwan or the US in the next 5-7 years, judging by their reckless behaviors and actions.

Chinese leadership is strategic, stable and predictable. But that doesn't mean it has no bottom line. The US and now some western countries are trying to pile up on Taiwan. Remind us of the Hong Kong riot situation two years ago. These countries were jumping up and down and took China's restraint as given. China would let these clowns play, and took decisive actions in the end.

China won't launch the attack just because a certain provocation. But all the provocations are cumulative and will add up and will eventually lead to Chinese response if they don't stop. The nature of the Taiwan problem is such once China decides to take action, it would be decisive and overwhelming.

One thing we know for sure is that if forceful unification were only a theoretical concept before, it's now something China is preparing in earnest and in detail. You won't see China thumping chest and making loud pronouncements. That's not Chinese style.
 

voyager1

Captain
Registered Member
One thing we know for sure is that if forceful unification were only a theoretical concept before, it's now something China is preparing in earnest and in detail.
Disagree with that (militarily). The PLA is still not procuring massive numbers of landing ships to move troops and land in Taiwan. Their amphibious sea-lifting capabilities have not seen the necessary investment to make possible a Taiwan invasion.


China won't launch the attack just because a certain provocation. But all the provocations are cumulativ
These provocations are little by little salami slicing the Taiwan issue. They are now talking for trade talks, and then they will (eventually) start including in trade deals.

And after that you will see official Parliament delegations visiting Taiwan. And at some point you will some "accidental" diplomatic meetings. Then non-governing parties (from around the world) will start visiting it, etc..

These is a clear salami slice path that the West is following regarding Taiwan right now.

If China doesn't respond strongly, at some point Taiwan will just become fully de-facto independent. Today, the comedic farce (just my opinion) that mainland is saying Taiwan is its province and not independent is at least supported by Taiwan not having diplomatic and official recognition from the rest of the world.

So the West is now putting bullet size holes in China's argument that Taiwan is not an independent country.

Whats next?
Changing its official name away from China?
Renouncing its claim as China?

So in the end, the salami slicing will continue without stop
 
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