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FairAndUnbiased

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Overbom said:
Keeping a hegemonic empire running and especially during intense competition with an upcoming rival inevitably requires sacrifices. My condolences to the S.Korean serfs
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South Korea may just be the first nation to be worked into demographic decline. An Austrian officer from the 1920s that took power in Germany had that plan for some ethnic groups yet had to resort to guards and camps. the Koreans are doing it on their own.
 
baykalov

baykalov

Senior Member
Registered Member
What do you think about this scenario of direct NATO involvement in the spring Ukrainian offensive?

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The other spring offensive is the one that Ukraine is preparing for in earnest. This offensive probably has been planned in the Pentagon rather than in Kyiv.

NATO is rapidly bolstering its forces. This past Saturday the US-flagged vehicle carrier Liberty Pride sailed into the port of Alexandroupolis, Greece, carrying military equipment destined for NATO forces.

How many other US ships are in the ocean at the moment or arriving at other ports, isn’t yet known. But what is known is that NATO is girding itself for a spillover, once the Ukrainian offensive gets underway.

The main focus of the Ukrainian spring offensive likely is an assault on Crimea and on Russian forces in the south. The objective is to cut them off (Kherson area across to Zaphorizia) and systematically destroy them, followed by a big push into Crimea.

The US is supplying a huge amount of war materiel for this assault. It includes bridging equipment that can support German-origin Leopard II tanks, which weigh more than 62 tons (roughly the same as the phantom M1 Abrams tanks that won’t arrive until next year, if ever).

Ukraine will have its hands full in such an operation and is dependent on US intelligence and, very likely, US airpower. There is not enough time to train Ukrainian pilots on F-16s, and there are not any spare up-to-date F-16s to throw into the battle – unless, of course, US fighter squadrons are in the mix.

One can expect that US aircraft will be painted over with Ukrainian insignia and flown by US or NATO pilots. These planes will operate as standoff assets, firing long-range air-to-air and air-to-ground weapons.

By staying wide of Russian air defense systems, but protected by what remains of Ukrainian air defenses, the F-16s could target Russian armor, command centers, troop formations, caravans, jammers and air defense radars.

The Ukrainian offensive also is likely to appear to the Russians as a casus belli involving NATO direct participation. How Russia might respond to a direct challenge is hard to say. The most likely Russian response could be to attack stockpiles and massing areas in Poland and Romania – and, almost certainly, airfields supporting the war.

Russian strategists have the opinion that Polish forces might also move into Ukraine, perhaps taking Lviv (Lvov) or other prizes, hedging that the Ukrainian offensive might fail or that the Russians are successful in toppling Kyiv’s government.

If these prognostications on the two spring offensives are anywhere near correct – and there is plenty of evidence suggesting both offensives are being prepared – then Europe is on the brink of a great catastrophe.
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B

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
baykalov said:
What do you think about this scenario of direct NATO involvement in the spring Ukrainian offensive?

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One if not the main reason behind a slow advance using limited amount of forces is precisely this concern.

Russia has likely studied the Korean war, where US forces prioritized taking ground over anything else. The result is, they had spectacular gains against the inferior NK troops, but they had equally spectacular losses when highly trained allied troops joined the fray, because US had not successfully ground down the Koreans nor established proper defenses. To avoid that, they moved slowly and focused on killing enemy formations instead of pushing enemies backwards.

The Russian forces, utilizing their full reserves from the drafted, would be able to hold US offensive in place, if at a high cost, for months. That would buy time for full scale lend lease from China to let them form counteroffensives and bleed America. Most of NATO is not ready to get drafted to fight Russia, but Russians have no choice except to get drafted when all of NATO is attacking.
 
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