I wanted to put this post with my previous post but unfortunately it took a little longer to find:
I think the CPC is wise enough to swallow this dead rat and the public would understand. It’s not gonna happen and you know it. If China just swallows it then the government is dead. The public is not going to swallow such a show of weakness when nationalism has been rising globally since...
www.sinodefenceforum.com
So, Iran, Africa, South America, Civil War, Natural Disaster.
Iran☑
Africa - hmm, well lets call it a work in progress
South America☑ Ok ok I know Haiti is in North America but its basically South America,
Civil War - well, no.
Natural Disaster - we'll see how winter lasts. I think they're sacrificing Europe to nature to avoid it happening to themselves.
The US no longer has the military strength to enter two regional wars, in the case of Russia and China, if the US enters a war against either of them, the transfer of resources will only sustain a campaign and will not be able to gather military forces for a second war at the same time, Heritage's own report makes clear this inability to do so and even indicates the strengths they need to have in order to be able to enter two regional wars.
As much as they invoke the Gulf War, the 2003 invasion of Iraq, Kosovo or any other war the US has been involved in in the last 30 years, they fought enemies without the ability to retaliate strategically, in addition to having absolute technological superiority, which is no the case today.
Just to use as an example, in 2003, when the US invaded Iraq, on April 5, 2003, on the 16th day of the war, there were already Pentagon officials in the press saying that the Tomahawk stock was running out, a huge ammunition resupply operation in the Gulf to end the war, but the frequency of the attacks has decreased and become smaller and smaller, some analysts say the attack on Iraq has caused the US supply of Tomahawks to spread precariously across the rest of the world - without quick means of replacement.
When I see arguments that a war between the USA x China or against Russia would be a version of “shock and awe” as happened with Iraq, I am even ashamed to have to read this, on March 21, when the occurred shock and awe, in one night the navy launched 320 TLAMs from 30 different ships and submarines, the US Navy had only brought about 1,000 Tomahawk missiles into the region in preparation for war, about half of the entire nation's stockpile across the world. Still, Pentagon officials say the supply is adequate. More missiles were moved into the area, and the Tomahawk's long-range strike role has become less important as the US Army and Marine Corps advance towards Baghdad with tanks and artillery, US officials said. I wonder if it would be the same occurrence against a China and a Russia, probably the US would have to do 30 times in a row the shock and awe against either of them before starting an air and ground offensive and if the US goes to war with either, the accumulation of forces would have to be sustained by greatly reducing the footprint worldwide, it would be the end of Washington's empire.
