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baykalov

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Ukraine’s leaders and its backers speak as if victory is just around the corner. But that view increasingly appears to be a fantasy. Ukraine and the West should therefore reconsider their ambitions and shift from a strategy of winning the war toward a more realistic approach: finding a diplomatic compromise that ends the fighting.

The Ukrainian and Western theories of victory have been built on weak reasoning. At best, they are a costly avenue to a painful stalemate that leaves much Ukrainian territory in Russian hands. If this is the best that can be hoped for after additional months or years of fighting, then there is only one responsible thing to do: seek a diplomatic end to the war now.
 

Overbom

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Running away from Russia
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Kazakhstan withdraws from the 1995 CIS agreement on the Interstate Monetary Committee​

Kazakhstan withdraws from the 1995 Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) agreement on the Interstate Monetary Committee, the agency reports.

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The mentioned agreement was signed in 1992, during the formation of independent post-Soviet states. Its goal was to conduct a coordinated tax policy based on the unification of taxation rules. According to Kazakh senators, in 2022 the document has lost its relevance.
The CIS agreement on agreed principles of tax policy included an agreement to apply a single list of basic taxes. It also helped to resolve the issue of compliance with agreements previously concluded by the USSR with foreign states, while avoiding double taxation.


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Kazakhstan president seeks to diversify oil export routes away from Russia​

Kazakhstan’s president has pleaded for assistance from U.S. companies developing his country’s energy resources for help consolidating oil export routes circumventing Russia.
Kassym-Jomart Tokayev made the appeal on July 7, two days after a court in Russia ruled to suspend operations on a pipeline that Kazakhstan uses to export the bulk of its oil. That pipeline rises in western Kazakhstan and runs to a Black Sea terminal inside Russia.
"I instruct [state-owned oil and gas company] KazMunaiGaz to work out the best option for implementing this, including through the involvement of investors at the Tengiz project," he told officials.
Tengiz, a field located in western Kazakhstan, is being developed by Tengizchevroil, a joint venture 50 percent controlled by U.S. major Chevron and 25 percent owned by its U.S. peer ExxonMobil. KazMunaiGaz owns another 20 percent.
Tokayev did not specifically mention Russia in his remarks, although the timing of this fresh order for Caspian export routes to be enhanced are an unambiguous allusion to recent developments with the CPC pipeline.
Tokayev on July 7 also instructed the government to take measures to increase the capacity of the Atyrau-Kenkiyak and Kenkiyak-Kumkol oil pipelines. Those routes are designed to carry crude from fields in the west of the country eastward, in the direction of China.
 

baykalov

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MP who gave Boris Johnson protesters the middle finger promoted to education minister

A Brexit-backing MP who gave Boris Johnson protesters the middle finger after he resigned has been given a job as an education minister.

Andrea Jenkyns, a Johnson loyalist, shouted “wait and see” to crowds who went to watch his resignation.


Her appointment has been met with anger, with people taking to social media to vent their frustration.

"Can’t wait for you teach our children good manners," says critic.

"So an MP, Andrea Jenkyns who sticks her middle finger up at a crowd, is fit to teach their children/grandchildren?" wrote one Twitter user.


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xypher

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It was obvious that Ukraine would lose in the end - they have neither the manpower nor the equipment to sustain a counter-offensive which is necessary if you want to actually win the war. What was unexpected is how incompetent the Russian military was acting in the first weeks of the war with high casualties and incoherent strategy, which led to many analysts overestimating Ukrainian prowess. It also emboldened NATO to act even more provocatively with invitations for Sweden & Finland, increasing American military presence in the surrounding countries, etc. because they saw that the conventional strength of the Russian military would not be enough to blitz those countries (which was the primary fear) while a long-term war is favorable to NATO.

On the other hand, Russia has been doing unexpectedly well on the economic side of the warfare - it exposed the limitations of Western sanctions and their unwillingness to impose mutually destructive restrictions; the West stealing Russian assets and reserves will inevitably lead to other countries diversifying their holdings while non-USD Western currencies like Euro & Yen will diminish in popularity as they were exposed as merely dollar proxies; Europe was revealed as a colossus on clay legs with their gaping holes in energy security and industry essentially being held hostage by Russia; etc. For example, remember how SWIFT sanctions were touted as essentially "nuclear option" that was supposed to utterly destroy the Russian economy? Well, they were imposed on many Russian banks - does anybody even remember about those SWIFT sanctions now? Turns out that it was yet another case of Western smoke and mirrors with SWIFT being overpropagandized in its importance.

In a way, this war was a blessing in disguise for the rest of the world as it exposed the weaknesses of both Russia and the West. The military strength of Russia was obviously overestimated BUT the same could be said about the Western economic prowess and outreach - many countries are openly refusing to abide by Western sanctions while all the West can do is eat the insult and mumble. Even
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to the US and its puppets. I expect that many countries will likewise feel more emboldened to pursue an independent foreign policy rather than blindly align with the West out of fear.
 
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siegecrossbow

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MP who gave Boris Johnson protesters the middle finger promoted to education minister

A Brexit-backing MP who gave Boris Johnson protesters the middle finger after he resigned has been given a job as an education minister.

Andrea Jenkyns, a Johnson loyalist, shouted “wait and see” to crowds who went to watch his resignation.


Her appointment has been met with anger, with people taking to social media to vent their frustration.

"Can’t wait for you teach our children good manners," says critic.

"So an MP, Andrea Jenkyns who sticks her middle finger up at a crowd, is fit to teach their children/grandchildren?" wrote one Twitter user.


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They are just trolling people.
 
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