Of course this war benefits China massively. Even more than Russia. Anyone with a functioning brain can see that.
Talking about China’s "energy dependence" on Hormuz is focusing on one tree and ignoring the whole forest.
That is exactly why it caught me off guard when some Chinese, supposedly "objective" accounts tried to argue otherwise.
Realistically, there is maybe a one percent chance China was not already helping Iran in advance, and is not actively helping now.
Not because they are "allies" in a Western sense, but because this is a perfect, god-sent quagmire for the United States, which is still China’s biggest geopolitical threat.
From Beijing’s perspective, it is far better for the US to get dragged into a long, exhausting conflict in Iran and bleed itself there than to stay relatively intact and shift its focus toward provoking a direct war with China over Taiwan again.
Because if that second scenario happens, and the US starts collapsing in a war closer to China’s doorstep, the risk of extreme escalation, with nuclear use out of American inevitable desperation and humiliation, becomes far more dangerous.
Some people say China prefers stability, so that is why it would not support a war like this.
I think that gets it backwards.
Precisely because China prefers strategic stability, it has every reason to support this war in Iran.
This may be the least risky and least painful path for the American empire to finally burn itself out and hence for them to die as a nation, instead of forcing that process to complete in China’s own backyard.
And even if the US does not actually collapse in Iran, a prolonged conflict there would still leave it weaker, more overstretched, and more exposed by the time a Taiwan crisis begins.
That is why I think China will keep Iran supplied with all kinds of intelligence, materials, components, and tools, the same way it has quietly helped Russia in Ukraine 100%.
In fact, Chinese high-tech support probably already outweighed the effects of the earlier Mossad-backed color revolution, which also exposed many of their assets on the ground, and all of that may have helped accelerate this war in the first place.
China’s style is quiet support, limited visibility, and minimal diplomatic blowback.
And that works partly because most Westoids are too stupid and primitive to describe what is happening properly.