The Indian scholars and businessmen are taking for granted that India will become the 3rd largest economy in the world. Sunil Barthi Mittal is saying that it's "written in the stars". Comments section is interesting.
Sunil Mittal said that China had a "free pass" with the US market in the past. India doesn't have that today, but it has a 1.5 billion strong consumer market. So he is basically saying that India doesn't need the world market to grow into the third largest economy. Who needs the US and Chinese market anyway?
Here's the problem. India joined the WTO in 1995, while China only joined in 2001. So in terms of having a "free pass" with the US market, India had a 6-year headstart over China. So why didn't India ran ahead of China first? Why did US companies predominantly chose to manufacture in Communist China over Democratic India?
The Indian elites have never dared to ask what if India doesn't achieve it's potential. What if India's lack of success vs China is purely self-inflicted? Opportunities were there, and India's opportunities were actually much better than China. But India keeps missing opportunities and then blames others for it. Right now, India is on course to miss yet another opportunity. But this time, Automation and AI would eventually close the best windows of opportunities for India for good. After that, it's the middle income trap.