The TL;DR version - 问题根子在前三排This should be required reading for everyone in this forum, translated into Chinese, and reposted as required reading too.
The TL;DR version - 问题根子在前三排This should be required reading for everyone in this forum, translated into Chinese, and reposted as required reading too.
This should be required reading for everyone in this forum, translated into Chinese, and reposted as required reading too.
Golden line for the day. And apparently, it doesn't only apply to politicians, it also fits a lot of no-brainer Reddit trolls when they talk shit about things like F-22 and Burke.Today, that adage is increasingly only true for the wrong reasons: M1A1 tank production ended all the way back in 1992, but the image of the high tech, cutting edge, materially superior U.S. military has carried on for decades. In 2025, nineteen-year-old mechanics are trying to keep thirty- or forty-year-old tanks running for yet another “show of force” deployment overseas, but the American political class is very obviously still stuck in their own timeless Neverland, still imagining that what was new in 1992 or 1978 is just as new and groundbreaking today.
It's reverse genghis khan where instead of having 1000s of offspring, she has only 1, but it's not known which man out of 1000s is the father
“$500B” is just a big enough story for Trump to sell his audiences. I never under-estimate American IQ when it comes to big money. When people here proclaimed American stupid this and stupid that ... most likely those Americans in power chose to be so, not that there was no smart people who could see it coming. My post was all about a bigly story Trump wanted to sell to the world but somehow for some reason Zelenskyy didn't want to cooperate.Most of those minerals are in Russian annexed territory today actually. So no way there is $500B worth of minerals just in today's Ukraine. I think that if it was the plan, that would've actually caused global nuclear war. Even the US forces in the rest of Ukraine would actually be a sufficient catalyst. The simple truth is that the US and the West have been beaten and outproduced by Russia. The truth is that the US is broke and about to go bankrupt now. There is no way that Trump has any magic "plans" besides giving Putin whatever the hell he wanted in the first place, in return of them not having to be bleed dry in Ukraine anymore, and as a domestic political victory for Trump and as a leeway to now focus on China more. Trump's supporters actually support Putin. Also, Russia will give them those minerals rights, but on their own terms as winners, to get even more concessions, and save Trump's face.
The point of the proposed regulation is like other Hegemon policies: to damage Chinese manufacturing sector. Ship building will not go back to the US. The Hegemon wants to use the new rules to force the ship orders to go to South Korean and Japanese shipyards instead of Chinese ones.Isn't the new regulations just another version of the Jones Act?
How did that go for US goals and shipbuilding?
I suspect all this will do is increase cost of shipping to US, by increasing cost of Korean and Japanese ship buildings.
But then again the US wants to increase shipping costs cause they want to reshore manufacturing. So to them, it does both, but it will make US products completely even more uncompetitive outside of the US.
I suspect it will just worsen US manufacturing since the US cannot make everything them selves.
I don't think the is actually any plan of investing in Ukraine post war or putting NATO troops there to defend the investment. I think what's happening here is Trump has determined that US needs to get out of this war and he needs a face saving way to get out. So instead of just withdraw support and make it seem US lost the war he's trying to twist the narrative into "No Biden lost the war, I got us a deal for $500B so America is still ahead in the books thanks to my genius".I think I figured out why Trump has been escalating assault on Zelenskyy.
Trump's plan was:
(1) Sing an agreement between US and Ukraine on $500B minerals. Not free because US would have to invest first.
(2) US will send troops to protect the mineral areas as DMZs.
(3) The result would make de facto US military presence in Ukraine.
(4) Russia would have to come to the negotiation table with something they want/need: US withdrawal.
(5) US would have a better bargain than as-is on the ground today.
Trump sent Vance and Bessent to meet or call Zelenskyy. Vance was at MSC and thinking he had a deal with Zelenskyy. Zelenskyy openly contradicted US narrative, which means he would not buy into Trump's "art of deal" on Ukraine peace process. Trump needs a bigly win and thought he would have one with this Ukraine plan, which Zelenskyy refused to cooperate. Trump is done with Zelenskyy.
Joke or conspiracy aside, there is one factor on the ground: I am fairly certain Trump lacks big bargaining chips vis-a-vis Putin. Any agreement that makes Putin an obvious winner will produce very bad optics for Trump in the eyes of the west. There was one legitimate crack and Zelenskyy trashed it because he could not afford that agreement domestically.
A dilema. A quagmire. A conundrum ...... That was the number one reason Trump wanted to meet Xi ASAP ......
I just commented on the part about US troops guarding those minerals, that would be impossible or catastrophic because those deposits are in Russian-annexed territory now. Even the US troops officially stationed in the rest of Ukraine, where there are fewer natural resources, is similarly a very bad idea - basically inviting nuclear war.“$500B” is just a big enough story for Trump to sell his audiences. I never under-estimate American IQ when it comes to big money. When people here proclaimed American stupid this and stupid that ... most likely those Americans in power chose to be so, not that there was no smart people who could see it coming. My post was all about a bigly story Trump wanted to sell to the world but somehow for some reason Zelenskyy didn't want to cooperate.
The answer is simple, any Boeing aircraft landing in China or flying over Chinese airspace pays an additional landing fee.IMO it's necessary to think outside of the box. If someone is attacking you via one axis, they must believe that they have an advantage along that axis. Even if that's not true, it's probably still one of their best axes of attack. The best counter then would probably be along a different axis, one that perhaps you have a better advantage, along with simply some defensive measures along the opponent's axis of attack. For example, in this situation, the defensive and offensive operations could be as following (not very well fleshed out, but something like it).
Defensive: What the American action does is raising cost for owners of Chinese ships. Rather than totally barring companies without Chinese ships, simply raise the cost for them so the effects are balanced out. This can be done a variety of ways.
Offensive: Promote Chinese shipbuilding components, modules even, plus equipment, labor, IP, etc. overseas, infiltrate SK and Japanese shipyards so that they can be shut down without Chinese support.
Also seems like a SKorean Company has taken over a US shipbuilder, then not long ago, unions there are calling to sanction CN shipbuilders..The point of the proposed regulation is like other Hegemon policies: to damage Chinese manufacturing sector. Ship building will not go back to the US. The Hegemon wants to use the new rules to force the ship orders to go to South Korean and Japanese shipyards instead of Chinese ones.
I remember hearing Putin himself saying Russia doesn't stand a chance against NATO, anybody who thinks Russia can take on the entire NATO is fooling themselves.No, the point is (coming back to reality instead of hypotheticals), NATO will never go in formally because Russia has 6,000 nukes and Putin has threatened to use them multiple times. You DON'T need to threaten to use nukes if you are talking from a position of strength, you threaten nukes from a position of weakness. Putin already knows he cannot wthstand both NATO and Ukraine and is therefore telling NATO preemptively that nukes are absolutely on the table. If he could smoke NATO he wouldn't have to resort to saber rattling about nukes, he would just say "come, then".