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9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
It's retarded and borderline treasonous panic spreading behavior to ascribe mythical powers to adversaries.

You're not achieving anything but knowingly or not spreading unrealistic hopium for US nationalists who would love to believe they are behind anything that goes wrong in China.

If the police/government investigates and finds it was CIA then a bloody retaliation will happen, but nothing points towards it, and it provides nothing to the discussion to ascribe mythical powers to adversaries on a pure speculation basis.
This was the same logic when they blamed nordstream on Putin and covid on China.... wake up dude
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
That's not how evidence or logic works. If you claim it was the CIA, you need evidence that the CIA did it. You don't get to claim it's the CIA and hide under the assumption that it's correct unless proven wrong. Otherwise people can claim Honey BooBoo's mom did it; prove it wrong.

This is actually the exact mentality that we make fun of when we see it in the US. No matter what happens, they blame it on China/the CCP. Whenever something bad happens in the US, you need evidence that the CCP was not involved or it's assumed that we were the instand someone offers up the theory. If you think that's laughable, that's what it's like to blame a crazy Chinese old man's actions on the CIA.
I think some of us including our good friend @coolgod (love you brother) have taken Donald Rumsfeld philosophy class on the known, unknown, known knowns theory:

 

9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
I think some of us including our good friend @coolgod (love you brother) have taken Donald Rumsfeld philosophy class on the known, unknown, known knowns theory:

Motive, means, oppurtunity, and Modis Operandi of false flags, mkultra, etc only US fits the bill...

if it smells, walks, quacks like a duck.....

The CIA has a long history of doing this sort of thing... see Hastings etc.... America has both the capability and the propensity and this is well established...
 

Index

Senior Member
Registered Member
This was the same logic when they blamed nordstream on Putin and covid on China.... wake up dude
The same logic would be saying that China engineered covid to kill millions of Americans, infiltrated US gangs to sell drugs, split the country and inflict violence on the people, started Jan 6 protests to discredit US government, spread crack among neighborhoods to weaken US salaried class etc etc.
I doubt he would pass up on the chance of being part of history. Marco Rubio loves to speak in grandiosity with great pomposity of speaking the great virtues of the American dream - cue his schtick about the son of a Cuban born immigrant.

His job as SOS is to instill and maintain that American exceptionalism mantra come hell or high water; plus, to rope back the Latin American countries back squarely and firmly to the American dominion. I am sure some or most of you are aware that's there is an ongoing fake issue with the upcoming opening of the port in Peru - push by the Americans of course. Asia is too far from the American geophysical, geographical location and is going to be increasingly costly to try and contest an area where China not only has the home field advantage, but also have the economic advantages - China is the largest trading partner of all ASEAN countries including the Quad members of India, Australia, Japan including South Korea.

In my opinion while America is going to pursue its most aggressive decoupling from China as well as their anti-China destabilizing moves within the ASIA-PACIFIC region of course including egging the Taiwanese destructive dream of separation, at the same time America will be busy to try and consolidate all the countries closest to her periphery that can be utilized for its own geopolitical interest and economic vitality.

I am also of the opinion that America (it's cohorts) will try to engineer a conflict in the ASIA-PACIFIC region and the prime candidate as I have maintained and posited in the past will be the Philippines.

Why? If you look at all the recent economic development/growth vectors in the world, it's the ASEAN bloc countries that have grown in spade, and the bloc where China has reorient it's trade resulting in a positive growth from a year on year basis that saw a decline last year of $702 Billion from a high of $970 Billion back in 2022. China signing and becoming part of the RCEP which is projected to account 30% of the world's GDP by 2030 with China cementing it's lead thereby hold in the region.

But out of these ASEAN countries, only the PH has shown an immaturity and a disinterest and unwavering fealty to the U.S. and one of the countries in ASEAN that's been leap frogged by yet another commie country that's Vietnam.

Imagine a scenario where the ASIA-PACIFIC region will be mired and engulf in conflict while the U.S. offer tepid support in material, sanctions, military arms and financial support ( I don't foresee the U.S. under Trump going to war against China) all the while busy increasing their military budget, economic activities in manufacturing, possibly strengthening their supply and logistics while remaining physically untouched, undamaged from the ravage of war.

When all the dust settles in Asia, China will definitely come out on top, that's not even in dispute, but China will also take hit economically, maybe militarily, diplomatically perhaps (making countries like Vietnam either skittish or even more emboldened to put up a barrier to China) due to the severe beating the Philippines will receive. Australian moderates will use such a scenario to cement and forge their relationship with the west. Australians are white people and they will never ever see themselves as part of Asia come what may.

Look at the moves they have made in Argentina - stopped China's further inroads in the country. Managed to somehow influence Brazil not to allow Venezuela as part of BRICS ( I don't know if Lula regretted his decision, since he like most idiots thought that heir Trump could never be voted back again) and the recent attempted assassination to Evo Morales of Bolivia.

The Latin American hemisphere offers the U.S. abundance of minerals needed, cheap source of labour (while average Americans decry illegals, not so for the rich class) for the 21st century technology and economy and this is an are where China is at great disadvantage which is an inverse of the U.S. position in the ASIA-PACIFIC.

Having said that, I don't know how effective Rubio is going to be in his capacity as the potential next SOS because everything really hinges on Donald Trump's leadership and strategy to make Rubio's tenure a success.
If they want to start a limited war with China, it might be the biggest mistake in America's history.

It provides the ideal safe way of activating the Chinese public, who will not stop until a massive buffer zone has been cleared out, once they start to get riled up.

Ever since China took off far ahead economically, the main issue for China has been morale and willingness to fight. Some factions in the government are trying to disarm the country, similar to the powers right before ww1, they believe in the false prophecies of trade and "win-win" diplomacy. A limited war will delete these deluded people while not putting China at any actual risk.

The nightmare scenario of China is that US will blitz us, 2014 Ukraine style, and no one from the PLA bothers to fight seriously, no one readied the industry, no one prepared the ship yards and drone makers, we just give up on our freedom without fighting because we're military budget wise a disarmed nation.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
This was the same logic when they blamed nordstream on Putin and covid on China.... wake up dude
Exactly. Blaming this on the CIA is just like blaming Nordstream on Putin or COVID on China. They could imagine all the "motive, means, opportunity, and Modis Operandi" but it's all just a story unless there's evidence.
Motive, means, oppurtunity, and Modis Operandi of false flags, mkultra, etc only US fits the bill...
There's a reason that courts all over the world require evidence to convict, not "motive, means, opportunity, and Modis Operandi."
if it smells, walks, quacks like a duck.....
It smells, walks and quacks exactly like an angry old man with a van who's pissed off at society.
The CIA has a long history of doing this sort of thing... see Hastings etc.... America has both the capability and the propensity and this is well established...
Of crashing vans into civilians? No. The CIA tries to do meaningfull things to destabilize. And even if the CIA did have this sort of history, just because a man is a known thief doesn't mean that whenever anyone anywhere can't find something, you can assume he stole it.
 
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HereToSeePics

Junior Member
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Registered Member
Let's see.
They are betting that China will have to reverse the sanctions on Little Marco

To my knowledge, US didn’t remove sanctions on Li Shangfu after he became China’s defense minister in 2023. This lead to some pretty awkward meetings between him and his US counterpart Lloyd Austin. Though this is all a moot point by now since Li Shangfu was removed from office earlier this year.

Tldr- sanctions be damned

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

chlosy

Junior Member
Registered Member
The first 4 years of Trump... it felt like all the Chinese did was counterpunch.

Now that the second Trump is shaping up to be similar to the first 4 years, any chance China punches first? or at least prime its muscles hard for a stronger counter punch? More currency swaps? No more UST purchases? Anything else China can do to the US that doesn't harm itself too much?
 

TK3600

Major
Registered Member
Honestly, the harder and more brutal the Trump Administration 2.0 slaps realities into those still delusional, pro-West bobalib Hanjians that are still infesting across all levels of society, economy and government of China, the better.
It has been a while since I am back to China. To my shock the west worship is still strong. Even after massive growth of China. Even after China basically surpassed US. I came to the conclusion these types will not go away even if China becomes twice as strong. Why?

Because their motivation is not based on reality of countries. They live in a bad economy, and want a short cut to go back. These are universally the type that never go out of country, yet moderately succesful, thinking government clipped their wings. They see me come from west they be like "wow you must be so succesful" "you have seen the true world" "I wish I can live in a freeier place".

Like bitch you think communism is bad try pay income tax in west. You pay more tax in west and get a shitty government. China is a god damn liberal heaven. Where else do you go that income tax so low, no property tax. You fucks have well off life doing small business, but wish to be big wall street sharks, as if everyone can live like that. No, if not for the government policy you will be taxed to shit as small business, robbed by gangs, never even have a chance to aspire to be bigger. So shut the fuck up about imaginary west.
 

Minm

Junior Member
Registered Member
The first 4 years of Trump... it felt like all the Chinese did was counterpunch.

Now that the second Trump is shaping up to be similar to the first 4 years, any chance China punches first? or at least prime its muscles hard for a stronger counter punch? More currency swaps? No more UST purchases? Anything else China can do to the US that doesn't harm itself too much?
China doesn't need to be the first to attack when the US is harming itself. Let Trump impose tarrifs and declare victory. And then just keep exporting via Mexico and Vietnam. If that leads to problems between the US and Mexico, that's great. It's much more productive to invest the money and effort into improving yourself than to try to sabotage the enemy

Once Trump thinks he's beaten China, he can focus on harvesting the EU. Another opportunity to separate American vassals from their overlord.

Meanwhile China keeps growing at more than double the growth rate of America, global south markets grow and Europe declines.

Why fight when you are winning without fighting? Maybe if there's a Taiwan opportunity, but otherwise China doesn't need to do anything
 

TPenglake

New Member
Registered Member
View attachment 139183

I never said the government lied, the government said the guy was unhappy after his divorce and the guy "severely injured" (killed) himself in the car. None of this excludes the possibility it was a CIA orchestrated terrorist attack. Often the government doesn't tell the whole truth in the beginning, this is the case in China and outside China.
Or the government might just be telling it as it is, because that's what actually happened. Chinese people aren't idiots, they are horrified by events like this and aware of the underlying social tensions. In fact, its deeply insulting to the victims and Chinese peoples' intelligence while they are grieving and concerned to just throw out a, "hmmm I wonder how America was somehow involved in this?" Its insulting for normal folk to do this, not to mention if the government did this people would expect a geopolitical response and it would play into narratives that the government hypes up the threat from America and intervention in Taiwan to distract people from economic problems. Peddling conspiracy would be just straight up moronic on their part and I thought people here are always complaining about how the CPC sucks at communication?
TBH CIA causing terrorist attacks in China doesn't induce panic, the alternative "official" explanation of a divorced old man going rouge is much scarier.
You think its a scarier explanation that the most siginificant geopolitical challenger to the US's hegemony has an internal security apparatus with more holes than Iran's to allow for CIA funded attacks like this, rather than the sobering but accepted reality by many that struggling members of society are lashing out with violence? Umm....okay? Plus do you even hear what you're saying? When CIA funds terrorism globally, they always align with organizations with a clear ideaology where the members believe in dying for the cause. In this case, you're telling me that the CIA has been able to extend its tentacles to every lone wolf, unemployed incel in China and order them to carry out these kinds of attacks that benefit no greater cause and where any reward is moot since these attackers either kill themselves or get the death penalty anyway? One must have to have a really low opinion of Chinese internal security to believe that.

As for the latter being "scarier," it is, but its also reality and governments derive their legitimacy from solving problems like this. The CPC has a mandate exactly to do this, so its more important to be truthful about the real issue rather than stick to conspiracy.
Average chinese cops and security guards are always under arm and under prepared from my observation of them on social media. I remember seeing a video of a motocycle cop with no weapon and unable to fend off a person with a knife until a local grabed a shovel and rack to help.
Chinese police never carry guns and are usually docile since street crime is rare in China, and the most they respond to are personal disputes that don't need a heavy hand. Plus like anywhere else in the world, every Chinese has a phone so they're always being scrutinized for their actions.

Considering how deadly this attack has been though, I do wonder if the party will change their tune and allow cops to be more armed and to have more leeway in crime prevention.
 
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