Let me share something I made a few weeks ago. It's based on Wikipedia so it can be out of date but the historical data is correct. It should help in better understanding of what the Japanese navy is, how it operates and why it makes the procurement choices it does. I'll focus on the main surface fleet as submarines and other surface vessels are not relevant to the subject.
Japanese navy is divided into five naval districts each commanding two "Fleet Escort Force" squadrons and one "District" squadron. These districts have commands in Yokosuka, Kure and Sasebo in charge of Pacific waters, Maizuru in charge of Sea of Japan and additional district command in Ominato in the North at the border with Russia.
Nominally each FEF squadron has four destroyers - 1 AEGIS (DDG) and 2-3 ASW (DD) while one of the squadrons also has a helicopter carrier (DDH) instead of one of the DDs. Kure and Maizuru districts arrange the ships differently most likely for operational reasons.
The third squadron is outside FEF command and serves as territorial patrol force. Those squadrons have three ships each from the oldest classes of destroyers and the destroyer escorts (DE).
Here's the diagram of all the districts and ships - class name in red:
Here's the historical chart which includes all major surface combatants from 1971 onward. Dark blue indicates ships in service. Light blue indicates ships out of service. The number indicates cumulative years in service. Ships are split into classes. Topmost table has combined numbers for ship types. Yellow and grey rows indicate consecutive years. I made a few minor errors but they are not important for current events. The most notable is incorrect age for Asagiri DDs - you can see where the formula was incorrect, just add 10 years.
If you look closely and compare the types being introduced and total numbers in service per type you will see that there is a consistent trend - buildup in the 70s and the 80s which focuses on less capable ships first, then in the 90s the introduction of AEGIS destroyers instead of traditional AAW destroyers and full-deck helicopter carriers instead of traditional ships with enlarged helo decks. The numbers of ships fulfilling missions stay mostly the same as the missions shift from less to more capable vessels, especially with the introduction of Hatsuyki class in late 80s. That was the Japanese shipbuilding boom. Any future replacements are also following the same trend and that's because Japan's maritime and naval doctrine hasn't significantly changed since the 70s.
Below I complied all DD and DE classes of Japanese navy - you can clearly see which is a development of which. Asahi is an AAW version of ASW Asagiri and Takanami is an update to Murasame. I did not include DDGs because they are all variations on base Arleigh Burke design with minor changes.
The quickest way to remember Japanese DD's is this:
- 5200-6800t full displacement.
- primary ASW escorts with TASS. Only Akizuki has AAW role (see the four AESA panels on bow and aft structure) as cheaper substitute for DDGs and has no towed array.
- AESA radars. Akizuki and Asahi have four-side GaN AESA radars while Murasame and Takanami have rotating single-panel AESA.
- ESSM only, can't fire SMs including Akizuki. Asahi, Akizuki and Takanami have 32 Mk41s, Murasame has 16 Mk48s for ESSM and 16 Mk41 for ASROC and Asagiri uses Sea Sparrow.
Here's a picture of Izumo DDH with Asahi DD (late 2010s) and Murasame DD (mid 1990s) - the destroyers are almost identical in terms of hull and general layout. They are in essence the same ship just with upgraded systems.
Abukuma is a DE (destroyer escort - patrol frigate equivalent) which is useless, small, has no TASS, no SAM and only basic sensors. It's a Harpoons and ASROC sloop not a warship. It remains in service because it still has service life and is cheap.
The first batch of 8 Mogami's will replace oldest destroyers and Abukuma DE's in the district squadrons and Asagiri DD's in FEF squadrons because of the age of those ships. Neither Abukuma or Asagairi classes are what we could call "combatant" classes. They are ASW escort/patrol ships. Abukuma has no SAM, and Asagiri has Sea Sparrow.
Mogami's main role will be identical to those two - it is primarily a
ship for general patrol duties and for towing of passive array. The other sensors and Mk.41 are for standardization of equipment and CEC (cooperative engagement capability) as part of a task force with capital ships. Mogami's are not even on the level of Asahi let alone Maya in terms of capability. Lots of new and innovative electronic and mechanical solutions - yes. Matching firepower and battlespace awareness - no.
Considering Mogami's core mission 90 people are plenty, especially that we don't know if the figure includes aircrews as they are often not included. For comparison the Russian Steregushchiy class which is a smaller (size-wise) but identical in mission profile has also a complement of 90 people and the upgraded Gremyashchiy with better radars and more SAMs has only 100.
Or we can compare complements on Japanese ships:
- Abukuma (DE) - 120
- Asagiri (DD) - 220
- Murasame (DD) - 165
- Takanami (DD) - 175
- Asagiri (DD)(AAW) - 200
- Asahi (DD) - 230
As you can see a basic patrol/ASW frigate with 90 people is not that far off an early 90s DD with 165.
Displacement is misleading because size helps and steel is cheap. Hull is the lowest cost element in modern warship construction so it is a correct choice to overbuild in terms of space and displacement. It makes everything easier to arrange, it makes the ship more survivable and it makes it more future-proof. Unlike say Arleigh Burke which was cut down to size in its first batch and because of that now struggles to accomodate newer systems because of lack of available space.
Japan plans to build 22 frigates of this class which means they will replace all Abukuma's (6 in service), all Hatsuyuki's (2), all Asagiri's (8) and six Murasame's (9). All of these ships are general purpose patrol vessels and basic ASW escorts. They are not high-capability ships. Their main purpose is to deliver sensors to area of operations and perform basic patrol tasks in peacetime.
In conclusion - I don't see what kind of problem some of you have with the Mogami. It's a reasonable choice with some interesting features that fits a long-term trend. Considering all the other economic and demographic factors it is a conservative, sustainable option.
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As bonus - here's the timeline of Japanese submarine production. As before: dark blue- in service, light blue - retired, numbers - cumulative years in service.
The current plans for production of Taigei's maintain the rate of 1 submarine annually which means Japan is going to retire Oyashio's after ~20 years in service. I wonder if the capabilities of new subs will justify this decision or whether it will be the usual jobs & spending program.
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I am sorry but I don't know how to make the first table more legible. It's 1280px wide and it reads OK as a file but not here.