SamuraiBlue
Captain
Here is an introductory vid of the XF9-1 in English complement from Japan MoD, ATLA.
Can one expect to see it deployed on SDF units? I think any/all kind of exosuits with so many moving parts, exposed to external elements might become a burden soon enough on active deployment. By that measures alone, the potential rewards of exosuits might be overwhelmed by their drawbacks (maintenance and costs of procurement). I can however see some places where exosuits will come in handy - Aboard Aircraft Carrier and Military bases. Exosuits might help with loading missiles, Shells and Lightweight torpedoes.This exo-skelton looks as if it is close to mass production stage .
Have you actually gone through the entire vid?Can one expect to see it deployed on SDF units? I think any/all kind of exosuits with so many moving parts, exposed to external elements might become a burden soon enough on active deployment. By that measures alone, the potential rewards of exosuits might be overwhelmed by their drawbacks (maintenance and costs of procurement). I can however see some places where exosuits will come in handy - Aboard Aircraft Carrier and Military bases. Exosuits might help with loading missiles, Shells and Lightweight torpedoes.
Toughbooks and exoskeletons are different. One doesn't use toughbooks for carrying a human being. Costs of procurement and maintainance will dictate that these exoskeletons would be reserved for the very niche of application and forces. Anyway - good development concerning JSDF forces, since it will help a lot in rescuing civilians during Natural Calamities.Have you actually gone through the entire vid?
With in it, the vid shows that the suit is tested and compliant to waterproof standard IPX 5/7 and, compliant to dustproof standard IP5X. It's basically at the same level as the Toughbook PCs that are used by the US army in field/battle conditions.
There are no difference in terms of compliant to various standards. When passing those standards it means it is made rugged in which it maintains high resistance to water and/or dust getting in to components which FORCES REQUIREMENT OF MAINTENANCE.Toughbooks and exoskeletons are different. One doesn't use toughbooks for carrying a human being. Costs of procurement and maintainance will dictate that these exoskeletons would be reserved for the very niche of application and forces. Anyway - good development concerning JSDF forces, since it will help a lot in rescuing civilians during Natural Calamities.
the Japanese saved like $4b by buying Aegis Ashore instead of THAAD for BMD coverage of the archipelagoWe all appreciate you are doing your best to be fair in your moderation. No question there.
I wish to interject regarding your views on the F-3 project.
All projects of a similar nature will thrive or die on their respective merits and circumstances. In other words their path forward is primarily independent of whatever happens to the other projects e.g. Tempest.
Among the bunch out there I believe the F-3 will have the greatest potential to fruition. Japan is looking at a replacement for its F-2. There is a specific requirement and not a want. Through the years Japan has looked at different options and essentially is where it is today by default due to a process of elimination. So far it appears to me (through its different sub programs) it is meticulously moving towards basically an indigenous program and possibly supplemented by external technology insertion where meaningful to its program. Its steps are carefully crafted and funded unlike the Indian bureaucratic nightmare of indecisiveness. I see resolved at the program level but the political support and momentum is still an unknown particularly when the chips are down in regards to cost. Politics of democratic nations and Japan is no exception is still subject to the political wind. However given China's assertiveness which will likely ramp up rather than down will only provide wind for the program.
so I can't imagine they'd spend one order of magnitude more than that for a development of your aircraftfrom what I figured
(links here are
Dec 19, 2017
and
Jan 3, 2018 )
Japan is to get two AEGIS Ashore installations for about $2b (includes about $400m for SM-6 missiles), since this
way it's cheaper to cover its whole territory than to buy at least six THAAD batteries which are in excess of $1b EACH
Japan wants a long legged air superiority platform with a high load out.
It has the technical capability (in conjunction with interested partners) and the financial resources The only thing lacking is the political will but China will be a willing partner by pushing Japan in that direction..
the Japanese saved like $4b by buying Aegis Ashore instead of THAAD for BMD coverage of the archipelago
May 9, 2018
so I can't imagine they'd spend one order of magnitude more than that for a development of your aircraft
the Japanese saved like $4b by buying Aegis Ashore instead of THAAD for BMD coverage of the archipelago
May 9, 2018
so I can't imagine they'd spend one order of magnitude more than that for a development of your aircraft
should it happen ("it" = Japan spending $50b+ on the development of next-gen fighter aircraft), how many copies would be procured?I am not sure why you are constantly bringing up the fact that Japan saved $4.0 Billion on its missile defense. I seem to get the impression that you are attempting to paint a picture that Japan is trying to save every penny because it can't afford to spend. IMO, paying a cent beyond what is necessary is waste Exercising prudence in money management is sound management regardless of which country you live in.
Back to topic. Any discussions require context. I have no intention of getting into silly debates for the sake of it. Japan annually spends more than $45 Billion on its defenses. I expect its budget to get to $48 Billion in 2020. It is no Turkey with its limited budget or the UK which is already at 2% of GDP. Japan has the capacity to increase its military budget provided it has the political support. Currently it spends a shade below 1 % because of politics. In perspective it under spends against most Nato countries based on a percentage of GDP.
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An increase to 1.5 % of GDP and which is still below most major players in Nato will add $24 Billion annually to it spending program. In others words, it has capacity to add to its military spending provided politics is not in the way. In contrast, the UK is at its limit. That is context.
What would be the cost of the F-3 program? If we take the F-22 program as an example, it incurred $67 Billion (2010 dollars) for R & D. That said, the J-20 only spent $4 Billion. Frankly i simply don't believe in Chinese accounting and I will stick to the US as a benchmark. Japan might need to spend between $50 to $80 Billion on the R & D. Will it? Only time will tell.The F-3's planned introduction to service is around 2035 and so it has 15 years to pay for the R & D.