So you really expect an all-new J-20 variant out of the blue and contradicting strictly against what we've concluded after several years of back and forth and finally a settled agreement, that the next generation carrier-borne fighter will be a SAC type??
So if I should bet on if this is the biggest secret plot in Chinese aviation history or just a failed rumour my decision is quite clear.
I think some are too much over-enthusiastic in hoping that CAC has almighty aircraft design capabilities, resources and can keep any leek closed for years.
CAC and SAC while have some degree of competition it's no way close to cut throat situation between Boeing and LM or as intense as some fanboys hyped. Both of them are different branch of AVIC which are state owned or in other words: party controls everything. There is no way they would "throw a rock along the path of another". It's quite the opposite. SAC contributes a lot in developing J-20 and CAC helps designing FC-31. Don't know where you got the competition theme stereotype but this is not how things work in China.It could have begun long ago and in secret. Chinese companies have an ultra competitive environment, and it would be consistent to this theme of competition to have one company throw a rock along the path of another, especially for such a vital contract as this.
It would be logical to assume that as early as CAC heard about the ex-Varyag being turned into the Liaoning, that there is going to be a long term market for Chinese carrier aviation, you are going to start now, even as a private, secret project. That is to turn the J-20 into a potential carrier fighter or have a variant thereof. They might have already been working on this project secretly for years then suddenly presenting it to government officials, "hey look, we also got an alternative."
If SAC is allowed to have a foothold on the carrier aviation market, once the J-31 or whatever it will be called, proves itself, it becomes a legitimate contender even on land based plane contracts. That will threaten both the J-10 and J-20 future sales. So I don't believe CAC will sit back and take all the punches. They are going to try and give it a shot. But once whose plane is finally decided, it is decided period.
So you really expect an all-new J-20 variant out of the blue and contradicting strictly against what we've concluded after several years of back and forth and finally a settled agreement, that the next generation carrier-borne fighter will be a SAC type??
So if I should bet on if this is the biggest secret plot in Chinese aviation history or just a failed rumour my decision is quite clear.
I think some are too much over-enthusiastic in hoping that CAC has almighty aircraft design capabilities, resources and can keep any leek closed for years.
CAC and SAC while have some degree of competition it's no way close to cut throat situation between Boeing and LM or as intense as some fanboys hyped. Both of them are different branch of AVIC which are state owned or in other words: party controls everything. There is no way they would "throw a rock along the path of another". It's quite the opposite. SAC contributes a lot in developing J-20 and CAC helps designing FC-31. Don't know where you got the competition theme stereotype but this is not how things work in China.
CAC and SAC while have some degree of competition it's no way close to cut throat situation between Boeing and LM or as intense as some fanboys hyped. Both of them are different branch of AVIC which are state owned or in other words: party controls everything. There is no way they would "throw a rock along the path of another". It's quite the opposite. SAC contributes a lot in developing J-20 and CAC helps designing FC-31. Don't know where you got the competition theme stereotype but this is not how things work in China.
It would be more contributing by elaborating your argument than simply saying "you are wrong and I am laughing".hah!! Sorry but that is laughable. There is cutthroat competition.
We need to be careful when reading the sensational statement from the internet posts. "not changing from C to S" could also be of either technical reasons or 23's lack of competence in S-band. A sensational taking would be "refusal" and "throwing rock", but another take could be 23 could not do the change, so 14 had to change on their side. Of course sensational post will attract more clicks and attentions, that is why I believe we have to be careful in reading what we encounter.I am not sure about that. In the design of the Type 346 radar by Institute 14, Institute 23, which designed the HQ-9 system and is proposing their own naval radar prototype which runs on C-band, refused to change the guidance command signal of the missile from C-band to S-band, which is what Institute 14's radar runs on. That's an example of throwing a rock along the path of another. Institute 14 has to design the radar with C-band arrays for the command guidance signal. Institute 23 are the guys responsible for the land based HQ-9 radar set, which is a C-band array.
I am not sure to what extent SAC contributes to J-20 and CAC to the FC-31. If another company that happens to be my competitor, made "contributions" to my project, I would have my engineers redo the calculations of their contributions because I won't trust them, and I need to make sure.
Competition among SOE is encouraged because it brings out the best effort in people to create national champions, and those left in the wayside are absorbed by the champions. We see this over and over again in many sectors.
I'm going to stretch my neck out a bit to say I believe there is another vital naval missile competition going on between two defense industry SOEs.
CAC and SAC while have some degree of competition it's no way close to cut throat situation between Boeing and LM or as intense as some fanboys hyped. Both of them are different branch of AVIC which are state owned or in other words: party controls everything. There is no way they would "throw a rock along the path of another". It's quite the opposite. SAC contributes a lot in developing J-20 and CAC helps designing FC-31. Don't know where you got the competition theme stereotype but this is not how things work in China.