Not as high as you would think. The external part of the nozzle don't experience the same kind of temperature as what goes on inside.
Look at it closely AGAIN. It is obvious that the external petals, which are painted black, don't match with the nozzle petals!
I see, well then I have to wonder how and why they both painted over the 2nd petals with serrations, and modified the actual nozzle with serrations. Maybe they changed the entire structure?
As for "black" petals vs the nozzle's petals -- they don't match yes, there is an extra petal/line in the ring of "black" petals like the Al-31, but unlike the Al-31 they seem to line up perfectly.
As for big shrimps... MAYA is one of the top "engine experts" from FY and CD. He concluded that the engines were AL-31 a few weeks back. He also said the same thing on this forum. Big enough of a shrimp for you?
Concluded... from his own knowledge/eyeballing, or from insider info? If the latter, it would be far more convincing and enough to put doubt into my mind. It'd be nice to get a consensus of credible folks from the chinese boards together to compare notes with one another. Like centrist said, huitong doesn't think it's Al-31 at the moment either but that could be subject to change soon if what maya said propagates into other boards.