J-15 carrier fighter thread

Deino

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
This is most definitely a joke, meant to remind some people on this forum that their statements/viewpoints are irrational. I don't think I have to name any names.


Ok ... then I need to apologize ! I was to admit a bit surprised to read such a statement from You ... maybe Your should really add some smileys ! :D
 

FORBIN

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Hmmm ... good idea, even if I'm not sure if all images were up-to-date !

Anyway, just a few...I just picked up the "oldest" image I know and marked the biggest span in bolt:

100 - 22.4.14
101 - 2.5.14
102 - 2.12.13
103 - 2.12.13
104 - 19.5.14
105 - 22.5.14
106 - 20.3.15
107 - 1.10.14
108 - 1.10.14
109 - 12.11.14
... seem to be 10 aircraft between December 2013 and November 2014 = 10 J-15 in 12 months

110 - 5.9.15
111 - 12.10.15
112 - 23.9.15
113 - 3.9.15
114 - 12.10.15
115 - 12.6.16
116 - 16.8.16
117 - 16.5.16
118 - 31.11.16
119 - 30.11.16
120 - 15.12.16
... seems to be 11 aircraft between September 2015 and December 2016 = 11 J-15 in 16 months


Deino
You do thank you, merci :)
 

Intrepid

Major
100 - 22.4.14
101 - 2.5.14
102 - 2.12.13
103 - 2.12.13
104 - 19.5.14
105 - 22.5.14
106 - 20.3.15
107 - 1.10.14
108 - 1.10.14
109 - 12.11.14
... seem to be 10 aircraft between December 2013 and November 2014 = 10 J-15 in 12 months

110 - 5.9.15
111 - 12.10.15
112 - 23.9.15
113 - 3.9.15
114 - 12.10.15
115 - 12.6.16
116 - 16.8.16
117 - 16.5.16
118 - 31.11.16
119 - 30.11.16
120 - 15.12.16
... seems to be 11 aircraft between September 2015 and December 2016 = 11 J-15 in 16 months
That are 20 (21) of the originally intended 48 aircraft.

China intends to come up with its own aircraft carrier by 2010, equipping it with foreign jets. But it will probably attempt to design its own variant of Su-33 by using Russia's technology.

The agreed option provides for delivery of 12 more Su-33 jets. The consignment may widen to 48, stepping up the budget to $2.5 billion.
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A.Man

Major
7IfA-fxytqax6206620.gif
 

Deino

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
I re-did my production rate calculation ... and the result – especially if mated with the c/ns – is interesting, since it fits nicely:


Batch 01:

No. 100 = c/n 0101 - 22.4.14
No. 101 = c/n 0102 - 2.5.14
No. 102 = c/n 0103 - 2.12.13
No. 103 = c/n 0104 - 2.12.13
No. 104 = c/n 0105 - 19.5.14
No. 105 = c/n 0106 - 22.5.14
No. 106 = c/n 0107 - 20.3.15
No. 107 = c/n 0108 - 1.10.14
No. 108 = c/n 0109 - 1.10.14
No. 109 = c/n 0110 - 12.11.14
... so these are 10 aircraft between December 2013 and November 2014 = 10 J-15 in 12 months (maybe less)


Batch 02:

No. 110 = c/n 0201 - 5.9.15
No. 111 = c/n 0202 - 12.10.15
No. 112 = c/n 0203 - 23.9.15
No. 113 = c/n 0204 - 3.9.15
No. 114 = c/n 0205 - 12.10.15
No. 115 = c/n 0206 - 12.6.16
No. 116 = c/n 0207 - 16.8.16
No. 117 = c/n 0208 - 16.5.16 ... reportedly lost
No. 118 = c/n 0209 - 31.11.16
No. 119 = c/n 0210 - 30.11.16
No. 120 = c/n 0211 - 15.12.16
... so these are 11 aircraft between September 2015 and December 2016 = 11 J-15 in 16 months (maybe less)


Would be interesting is the batch 01 J-16 fit exactly into this break of J-15-production, how many are produced and if the J-11B and BS production is continuing at a second line in parallel.

Deino
 

Totoro

Major
VIP Professional
I don't think two seater J-15 necessarily has a separate production line. Volumes seen so far don't warrant it. Actually, volumes of J15 in total suggest not a production line but more of a station workshop kind of production method, where planes are built, several at a time within a hall, staying in one spot and various subystems and tools are brought to them if needed, depending on variant of the plane assembled.

If i had to guess, actually, i would wager J15s are made within the hall where J8 were previously made, up until 2011 or so.

Whereas most of the production concerning flankers is done in a separate halls, ones that were producing J11 throughout 2000s and early 2010s and are now producing J16.
 
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