Ambassador Bhadrakumar on US, Russia, Sidney, Al Nusrah and Syria - and Ukraine and Afghanistan:
[QUOTEO]
A (mild) thaw in US-Russia ties
On Friday, the United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted a resolution regarding the new non-combat, training, advisory and assistance mission that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization [NATO] proposes to undertake in Afghanistan from next year.
Russia had consistently demanded that the NATO mission in Afghanistan ought to have a UN SC mandate. For Moscow, a big principle is involved here insofar as the UN Charter and international law should guide all such interventions and the western alliance should comply with the established practice.
Moscow suspects that there has been an invidious project to project the NATO as a global security organization that may work outside the UN Charter.
Evidently, the US relented and Russia and the United States found themselves on the same page. This is happening when Russian-American relations are at a low point.
But then, Afghanistan is far too important a topic for international security that lends itself to polemic. The UN SC resolution requires NATO to report back periodically to New York its work in progress, enables Russia to review such reports and opinionate on the score card and, in turn, it ensures Moscow’s cooperation in making available the Northern Distribution Network for the NATO powers to ferry supplies for the alliance’s forces in Afghanistan.
The Indian pundits must be surprised how such bonhomie could exist between Washington and Moscow at the UN SC on the very same day (Friday) in New York when the US state department mildly censored Delhi for doing ‘business’ with Russia during President Vladimir Putin’s visit to India.
Plainly put, that’s how the international system works, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi not only understood it perfectly well but has also been prescient about the imperatives of a Russian-American working relationship sooner rather than later, and of course the transitory nature of the current chill in Russia’s relations with the West.
Modi, therefore, acted wisely by going to such extraordinary length to assert India’s independent foreign policies and to uphold its national interests. With a foresight rare in Indian diplomacy, Modi acted to revive and strengthen the India-Russia “strategic privileged partnership”.
Coming back to the UN SC resolution on Friday, all indications are that it might not be a mere flash in the pan — an isolated instance of Russian-American working relationship.
The early reports on the meeting between the US secretary of state John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, rather unusual for a Sunday, at the American Embassy Residence in Rome suggest that an urgent need has arisen for the Obama administration to seek the Kremlin’s cooperation in the Middle East crisis.
The fact of the matter is that the Sydney café siege underscores beyond any doubt that the dalliances between the US’ regional allies and the extremist Islamist groups in Syria have spun out of control.
A Daily Mail report identifies that the Shahada flag displayed in the Sydney café belongs to Jabhat al Nusra, an extremist group operating in Syria, which, ironically enough, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Israel had fostered or patronized at various times.
The Lavrov-Kerry meeting on Sunday presumably focused on the Middle East situation. The DebkaFile, a news agency with links to Israeli intelligence, estimates that the Obama administration may be sensing by now that the Bashar Al-Assad regime in Syria is actually a factor of stability in the prevailing critical situation and this in turn would put the US and Russia “on the same side, a step toward mending the fences between them after the profound rupture over Ukraine.”
Be that as it may, the upshot of all this could be that the Russian plan to convene a meeting of the Syrian parties in Moscow may be gaining traction, after all, and Washington may be lending support to it from behind the scene.
The underlying factor favoring these positive trends is also to be noted in terms of the cooling of tensions over Ukraine. The ceasefire that came into effect on Thursday in eastern Ukraine is holding and Moscow is nudging Kiev and the separatists to implement the Minsk accord and commence discussion regarding a federated country.
True, the US Congress has notionally passed a resolution on tougher sanctions against Russia, but it is highly unlikely that in the emergent situation in international security, Obama will want to alienate Russia further by imposing more sanctions. Obama also would know that Europe is not willing to impose more sanctions against Russia, either. The Europeans, all in all, see the move by the US Congress as a shadow play in American domestic politics.
A thaw in the frosty ties between the US and Russia at this point needs to be understood in terms of the failed American policies on Syria as a result of which the West’s security is in jeopardy. The hostage crisis in Sydney becomes a defining moment. Read a candid analysis here on the failed policy of ‘regime change’ in Syria.
Posted in Uncategorized.
Tagged with Islamic State, Jabhat al Nusra, New Cold War, Syria's conflict.
By M K Bhadrakumar – December 15, 2014
[/QUOTE]
[QUOTEO]
A (mild) thaw in US-Russia ties
On Friday, the United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted a resolution regarding the new non-combat, training, advisory and assistance mission that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization [NATO] proposes to undertake in Afghanistan from next year.
Russia had consistently demanded that the NATO mission in Afghanistan ought to have a UN SC mandate. For Moscow, a big principle is involved here insofar as the UN Charter and international law should guide all such interventions and the western alliance should comply with the established practice.
Moscow suspects that there has been an invidious project to project the NATO as a global security organization that may work outside the UN Charter.
Evidently, the US relented and Russia and the United States found themselves on the same page. This is happening when Russian-American relations are at a low point.
But then, Afghanistan is far too important a topic for international security that lends itself to polemic. The UN SC resolution requires NATO to report back periodically to New York its work in progress, enables Russia to review such reports and opinionate on the score card and, in turn, it ensures Moscow’s cooperation in making available the Northern Distribution Network for the NATO powers to ferry supplies for the alliance’s forces in Afghanistan.
The Indian pundits must be surprised how such bonhomie could exist between Washington and Moscow at the UN SC on the very same day (Friday) in New York when the US state department mildly censored Delhi for doing ‘business’ with Russia during President Vladimir Putin’s visit to India.
Plainly put, that’s how the international system works, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi not only understood it perfectly well but has also been prescient about the imperatives of a Russian-American working relationship sooner rather than later, and of course the transitory nature of the current chill in Russia’s relations with the West.
Modi, therefore, acted wisely by going to such extraordinary length to assert India’s independent foreign policies and to uphold its national interests. With a foresight rare in Indian diplomacy, Modi acted to revive and strengthen the India-Russia “strategic privileged partnership”.
Coming back to the UN SC resolution on Friday, all indications are that it might not be a mere flash in the pan — an isolated instance of Russian-American working relationship.
The early reports on the meeting between the US secretary of state John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, rather unusual for a Sunday, at the American Embassy Residence in Rome suggest that an urgent need has arisen for the Obama administration to seek the Kremlin’s cooperation in the Middle East crisis.
The fact of the matter is that the Sydney café siege underscores beyond any doubt that the dalliances between the US’ regional allies and the extremist Islamist groups in Syria have spun out of control.
A Daily Mail report identifies that the Shahada flag displayed in the Sydney café belongs to Jabhat al Nusra, an extremist group operating in Syria, which, ironically enough, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Israel had fostered or patronized at various times.
The Lavrov-Kerry meeting on Sunday presumably focused on the Middle East situation. The DebkaFile, a news agency with links to Israeli intelligence, estimates that the Obama administration may be sensing by now that the Bashar Al-Assad regime in Syria is actually a factor of stability in the prevailing critical situation and this in turn would put the US and Russia “on the same side, a step toward mending the fences between them after the profound rupture over Ukraine.”
Be that as it may, the upshot of all this could be that the Russian plan to convene a meeting of the Syrian parties in Moscow may be gaining traction, after all, and Washington may be lending support to it from behind the scene.
The underlying factor favoring these positive trends is also to be noted in terms of the cooling of tensions over Ukraine. The ceasefire that came into effect on Thursday in eastern Ukraine is holding and Moscow is nudging Kiev and the separatists to implement the Minsk accord and commence discussion regarding a federated country.
True, the US Congress has notionally passed a resolution on tougher sanctions against Russia, but it is highly unlikely that in the emergent situation in international security, Obama will want to alienate Russia further by imposing more sanctions. Obama also would know that Europe is not willing to impose more sanctions against Russia, either. The Europeans, all in all, see the move by the US Congress as a shadow play in American domestic politics.
A thaw in the frosty ties between the US and Russia at this point needs to be understood in terms of the failed American policies on Syria as a result of which the West’s security is in jeopardy. The hostage crisis in Sydney becomes a defining moment. Read a candid analysis here on the failed policy of ‘regime change’ in Syria.
Posted in Uncategorized.
Tagged with Islamic State, Jabhat al Nusra, New Cold War, Syria's conflict.
By M K Bhadrakumar – December 15, 2014
[/QUOTE]