ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

Sunday at 5:20 PM

Yesterday at 12:01 PM

actually the situation of Afrin Kurds has become precarious:
0606d7c0145bf5150f30f01cafd79bbc.jpg

(I used the current
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

and put there what I read in sources)
and here's the most recent I figured (might not be true by now):
d96f3825b3014a368d959711b64841e7.jpg
 

Dizasta1

Senior Member
NOW MATTIS ADMITS THERE WAS NO EVIDENCE ASSAD USED POISON GAS ON HIS PEOPLE

By
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
On Thursday, February 8, 2018 - 11:44


Lost in the hyper-politicized hullabaloo surrounding the Nunes Memorandum and the Steele Dossier was
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
that the Syrian government used the banned nerve agent Sarin against its own people.

This assertion flies in the face of the White House (NSC) Memorandum which was rapidly produced and declassified to justify an American Tomahawk missile strike against the Shayrat airbase in Syria.

Mattis offered no temporal qualifications, which means that both the 2017 event in Khan Sheikhoun and the 2013 tragedy in Ghouta are unsolved cases in the eyes of the Defense Department and Defense Intelligence Agency.

Mattis went on to acknowledge that “aid groups and others” had provided evidence and reports but stopped short of naming President Assad as the culprit.

There were casualties from organophosphate poisoning in both cases; that much is certain. But America has accused Assad of direct responsibility for Sarin attacks and even blamed Russia for culpability in the Khan Sheikhoun tragedy.

Now its own military boss has said on the record that we have no evidence to support this conclusion. In so doing, Mattis tacitly impugned the interventionists who were responsible for pushing the “Assad is guilty” narrative twice without sufficient supporting evidence, at least in the eyes of the Pentagon.

This dissonance between the White House and the Department of Defense is especially troubling when viewed against the chorus of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) experts who have been questioning the (Obama and Trump) White House narratives concerning chemical weapons in Syria since practically the moment these “Assad-ordered events” occurred.

Serious, experienced chemical weapons experts and investigators such as Hans Blix, Scott Ritter, Gareth Porter and Theodore Postol have all cast doubt on “official” American narratives regarding President Assad employing Sarin.

These analysts have all focused on the technical aspects of the two attacks and found them not to be consistent with the use of nation-state quality Sarin munitions.

The 2013 Ghouta event, for example, employed home-made rockets of the type favored by insurgents. The White House Memorandum on Khan Sheikhoun seemed to rely heavily on testimony from the Syrian White Helmets who were filmed at the scene having contact with supposed Sarin-tainted casualties and not suffering any ill effects.

Likewise, these same actors were filmed wearing chemical weapons training suits around the supposed “point of impact” in Khan Sheikhoun, something which makes their testimony (and samples) highly suspect. A training suit offers no protection at all, and these people would all be dead if they had come into contact with real military-grade Sarin.

Chemical weapons are abhorrent and illegal, and no one knows this more than Carla Del Ponte. She, however, was unable to fulfill her U.N. Joint Investigative Mechanism mandate in Syria and withdrew in protest over the United States refusing to fully investigate allegations of chemical weapons use by “rebels” (jihadis) allied with the American effort to oust President Assad (including the use of Sarin by anti-Assad rebels).

The fact that U.N. investigators were in Syria when the chemical weapon event in Khan Sheikhoun occurred in April 2017 makes it highly dubious that Assad would have given the order to use Sarin at that time. Common sense suggests that Assad would have chosen any other time than that to use a banned weapon that he had agreed to destroy and never employ.

Furthermore, he would be placing at risk his patronage from Russia if they turned on him as a war criminal and withdrew their support for him.

Tactically, as a former soldier, it makes no sense to me that anyone would intentionally target civilians and children as the White Helmet reports suggest he did.

There is compelling analysis from Gareth Porter suggesting that phosphine could have been released by an airborne munition striking a chemical depot, since the clouds and casualties (while organophosphate-appearing in some respects) do not appear to be similar to MilSpec Sarin, particularly the high-test Russian bomb-carried Sarin which independent groups like “bellingcat” insist was deployed.

America’s credibility was damaged by Colin Powell at the United Nations in 2003 falsely accusing Saddam Hussein of having mobile anthrax laboratories. Fast forward to 2017 and we encounter Nikki Haley in an uncomfortably similar situation at the U.N. Security Council calling for action against yet another non-Western head-of-state based on weak, unsubstantiated evidence.

Now Secretary Mattis has added fuel to the WMD propaganda doubters’ fire by retroactively calling into question the rationale for an American cruise missile strike.

While in no way detracting from the horror of what took place against innocent civilians in Syria, it is time for America to stop shooting first and asking questions later.

Ian Wilkie is an international lawyer, U.S. Army veteran and former intelligence community contractor.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


 

Dizasta1

Senior Member
US Planning to Launch Attack Against Syrian Army 'Very Soon' - Source

In late 2017, troops from the Syrian Army and other allied ground forces liberated parts of the eastern province of Deir ez-Zor, effectively reestablishing a land route stretching from Iran to Syria and Lebanon, where the formidable Hezbollah political party and militia is based.

Speaking to Sputnik reporter Suliman Mulhem, a Syrian analyst reported that a largescale US military operation is set to be launched against the Syrian Army near the Syria-Iraq border "very soon."

"The US is planning a large attack against the Syrian Army very soon to capture Syria's border with Iraq, especially near al-Tanf and perhaps even parts further inland," the analyst told Sputnik, citing informed military sources stationed near the al-Tanf US military base.

Reports of an upcoming escalation with the US are also circulating on social media.

US-led coalition is planing for an all in attack against the SAA very soon, the attack will be very large and aimed at capturing the border with Iraq and even possible positions near Homs-Damascus highway… almost full invasion like Iraq 2003

— Within Syria (@WithinSyriaBlog)
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

This military operation would strengthen the US' position in Syria and, depending on the scale of the attack, could result in US-backed forces seizing more oil fields in eastern and central Syria. US-backed militants already control around 70-80 percent of Syria's proven oil reserves.

Perhaps more importantly, this escalation could sever the strategic Iran-Iraq-Syria-Lebanon land route, which will not only diminish Iran's ability to funnel funds and armaments to Hezbollah, but will also adversely affect Syria's ability to trade with Iraq and Iran, and could complicate Syria's post-war reconstruction plans.



Backed by the Russian Air Force (RuAF), the Syrian Army has made significant progress against hardline Islamist militants across the country, and is currently in the process of
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
.

A military escalation by the US would undermine Syria's sovereignty, and threaten the progress the Syrian Army has made in stabilizing many parts of the country.

Tomorrow marks the 15th anniversary of the US-led invasion of Iraq. As the country has been plagued by violence and instability ever since, it's not surprising that most Syrians are dreading the prospect of further US military involvement in Syria.


Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

 
Mar 11, 2018
... now noticed
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!





The Syrian Arab Army fully captured Mudayrah and advanced in Harasta. Harasta and Duma are now fully besieged and the Eastern Ghouta pocket split in 3 parts Map:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


DYA9bHVWAAE1f65.jpg
and Insurgents are leaving (direction Idlib) out of the smallest of the three pockets (around
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
) as I write:
a5accec700f58083b537dffcd95892a1.jpg


for example according to pro-Government Twitter account:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!





40 buses arrive at Police Hospital corridor in East Ghouta and the first batch has begun to enter Harasta to start evac of Ahrar militants.
 
I've heard before Turks said they would go for Rojava now (after Afrin); here's what NavyTimes has to say:
US forces remain in Manbij, despite threats from Turkey
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

U.S. troops remain in
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
despite tense relations between the United States and Turkey.

On Monday, Turkey’s president,
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
, reveled in his forces’ capture of
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
. He said that they now intend to shift their campaign to other areas under the control of
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
, including Manbij, “until this terror corridor is fully eliminated.”

Manbij is a known location of U.S. forces, roughly 60 miles east of Afrin.

An official with Combined Joint Task Force -
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
told Military Times that as NATO allies, U.S. and Turkish military officials are in “regular communication.”

“Discussions are also taking place at the diplomatic level, which will ultimately decide the future of the region,” the official added.

When asked whether the U.S. and coalition forces in Manbij could be expected to hold their own against a possible Turkish incursion into the area, the official would only say that the mission there “involves force protection measures that ensure the safety of our troops.”

“The level of force protection is commensurate to the threat,” the official added.

It’s not the first time Turkey has threatened U.S. troops in Manbij, but Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu claimed Wednesday that this time they have reached an “understanding” with the United States.

“We said we reached an understanding, which is mainly that Syria’s Manbij and the east of the Euphrates be stabilized,” Cavusoglu said Wednesday at a news conference in Ankara, Turkey, according to
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
.

Turkish officials want the Kurdish Peoples' Protection Units, also known as the YPG, considered by Turkey to be a terrorist group, to withdraw from Manbij.

“First, the YPG will leave and the people of Manbij will govern it. The security of the area will be ensured. We will apply the Manbij model to other areas controlled by the YPG as well,” Cavusoglu said.

The problem may come down to semantics for Turkey, as YPG fighters make up a significant portion of the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces, and other local militia units.

The reason there are U.S. forces in Manbij at all is to maintain a relationship with the Manbij Military Council (MMC) — a mix of Arab and Kurdish fighters — which was created to defend Manbij from the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, the Inherent Resolve official told Military Times.

“The MMC is a primarily Arab force made up of Manbij locals,” the official said. “It is aligned with the Syrian Democratic Forces and took responsibility for the defense of Manbij after the [Syrian Democratic Forces] liberated the area from [ISIS] on Aug. 15, 2016.”

Throughout the summer of 2016, coalition forces trained, advised and accompanied the MMC in their liberation of Manbij. Since then, the council has been charged with maintaining security in the region alongside the coalition, “which provides training and equipment to the MMC,” the official said.

“While we maintain lines of communication with the Civil Administration of Manbij and Manbij Internal Security Forces, we do not have a formal relationship with these entities,” the official said.

Whether or not the Manbij Military Council, and other governing entities in the region, will satisfy Turkey’s wishes to remove YPG elements from its shared border with Turkey is still up in the air.

Until then, the Inherent Resolve official said that they “will continue our partnership with the Syrian Democratic Forces to achieve a lasting defeat of [ISIS] and stabilize liberated territory. This will allow displaced Syrians and refugees to return and ensure [ISIS] does not return as an insurgency.”
 
Top