If they came from Raqqa the decision was taken at the highest level so a consideration as I supposed is certainly possible.
ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)
- Thread starter Jeff Head
- Start date
Jura The idiot
General
how do I put it ... I noticed changes in the intensity of ISIL activity in Syria over time, certainly related to what's going in Iraq at the same time, but I don't have enough time to follow Iraq, which is amateurish, and of course it means nothing that I don't know what's going in Iraq, but ... does the Syrian Army know what's going on in Iraq??
my impression is if an additional Brigade-sized ISIL-unit arrived at pretty much any Government-held area in Syria, it would break in ... this brings a question:
what's the current size of ISIL?? most recently I've read thirty thousand in total (Iraq+Syria), but I've seen too many estimates before (including of ISIL KIA, which would've meant "all ISIL killed several times so far" if one compared them to another official size-estimates) EDIT to even bother with posting a link
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Jura The idiot
General
(concerns
Jan 6, 2016
Jan 6, 2016
since then Rebels got reinforcements:... while this video purports to show Rebels in there today:
EDIT
I've read (mostly on Twitter though) they've actually been storming "Battalion 82 Headquarters" for two days now:
videos of Rebels' tank(s), Government Sniper KIA, etc.
There is a difference between knowing what is happening and being able to do something about it. There is an intelligence coordination centre in Baghdad of Iraq, Iran, Syria and Russia.
Jura The idiot
General
long time ago
#1
south:
at some point I'm going to look at the area in the inset ("Western Aleppo"), anyway "Cassad"
(before you click on it, you should know at first you would see a picture of somebody to be beheaded or something)
predicts an offensive to take over "M5" soon
east:
looking from my arm chair 
when compared to the maps of the area I posted last week, it seems to me the Government is "carving" instead of pushing into one of the directions (I can think of
and the Government concentrates on the protrusion north to Harbinafsah
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-318#post-384394
(yesterday I saw Separatists' videos from there: repelling tank+infantry attacks, at day, at completely flat terrain)
#3
the most recent map
can be compared to
Wednesday at 5:31 PM
#4, #5: don't have anything new
EDIT
Obviously, much much more is going on in the Syrian Civil War, I'm actually not sure why I keep this "reporting" here LOL!
... now trying quickly to update this:
#1
south:
(before you click on it, you should know at first you would see a picture of somebody to be beheaded or something)
predicts an offensive to take over "M5" soon
east:
when compared to the maps of the area I posted last week, it seems to me the Government is "carving" instead of pushing into one of the directions (I can think of-
- "covering the lid" https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-317#post-384127
#2 recently saw heavy fights in the norther part:
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-318#post-384394
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-318#post-384394
and the Government concentrates on the protrusion north to Harbinafsah
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-318#post-384394
(yesterday I saw Separatists' videos from there: repelling tank+infantry attacks, at day, at completely flat terrain)
#3
the most recent map
Wednesday at 5:31 PM
#4, #5: don't have anything new
EDIT
Obviously, much much more is going on in the Syrian Civil War, I'm actually not sure why I keep this "reporting" here LOL!
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Jura The idiot
General
delft, since you quoted me ... I don't know what message is conveyed in your post ... could it be (just guessing):
"if two 500-Toyotas ISIL-columns were coming from the east and south toward the perimeter of the Kuweiris Airbase, the Government Forces in the area would be informed" maybe?
by the way I recently read at a Russian military blogsite about some French article (the Russians seemed to be debating it with amusement) claiming the way of the current Russian satellite-coverage of Syria; personally I don't know much of satellites, but we have an aeronautics expert in the pub
who didn't dispute the conclusion of that article, which was the update time of two hours
Jura The idiot
General
Yesterday at 9:31 AM
... and today I've read about
- ISIL attacking the airport (?)
- "Syrian Army Continues to Crush ISIL Militants in Deir Ezzur" (?)
- a sand-storm there (?):
A thousand Toyota technicals are nice meat for the Sukhois to get their teeth into.delft, since you quoted me ... I don't know what message is conveyed in your post ... could it be (just guessing):
"if two 500-Toyotas ISIL-columns were coming from the east and south toward the perimeter of the Kuweiris Airbase, the Government Forces in the area would be informed" maybe?
by the way I recently read at a Russian military blogsite about some French article (the Russians seemed to be debating it with amusement) claiming the way of the current Russian satellite-coverage of Syria; personally I don't know much of satellites, but we have an aeronautics expert in the pub
We see individual technicals being slaughtered by CH-4 in Iraq.
A two hour update time seems reasonable to me but I too am not an expert.
I would like to have permanent radar aircraft over the area which would then be based in Iran. They would be well able to see such convoys by day and night. Perhaps later.
Later:
How well can radar aircraft look through sand storms? Satellites are in such circumstances of little use
Jura The idiot
General
... big area of one SDF post in between LOL!
..., based on the view from this afternoon: