Is War Coming to Iran?

stardave

Junior Member
@stardave: People decide what they want to buy. You have the right to choose and they make their choice. You mistake mind control for wishful thinking. Do you want to hear complains about you all day or do you want to hear that you are right and good?

Well that is the thing man, is it really free choice anymore, when all you know and all of what you think are learn from the media in the first place? but in fact they are all from the talking points from the media. It is like a multiple choice answer, A, B, C, D etc... but all the answers are WRONG. So can you argue people still have a free will, when their will are not free? Ok back to Iran, I won't make more post about this anymore.
 

Kurt

Junior Member
Here are some hopeless romantics informing the world about the truth they found out. It's very unwieldly to read and no entertainment:

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is a list of information snippets, not digging deeper to verify them, but nicely shows how international connected Iran's ambition was.
If you read the articles linked below, you'll find out how these connections have been curtailed by different means. Iran seems to be scared of losing their favourite national project, because from their perspective it seems impossible to trust anyone abroad. As a consequence they consider it necessary that they must try to do all at home. China left them at least some blueprints for uranium enrichment - feels good to have some kind of friends abroad.

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highlights how doing the same things can have totally different perceptions. Iran continuing their "good nuclear program" after the revolution became their "bad nuclear program".

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for an attack on Iran from a new base in Azerbaijan (makes a dicator feel much safer nowadays). Azerbaijan is to Iran homeground. It was part of the Iran for the longest time of the very long history of this country and it's settled by the Azeri, an important Iranian population. It must feel to Iranians like to a British would be Ireland deciding to house German military bases during WWII.

@delft
The nuclear weapons story seems to go back to this "report" that is very likely false. There are dementis of exporting nuclear warheads to Iran by Russia(controlling the arsenal based in Kazakhstan all the time) and Kazakhstan, I couldn't yet find the story about the nuclear fissile material of the warheads being exported by Kazakhstan instead. Copied from the uppermost link above.
March 1993
The Arms Control Reporter reports that by December 1991, Iran had imported four nuclear weapons from the former Soviet Union, including a nuclear artillery shell, two nuclear warheads that could be launched on Scud missiles, and one nuclear weapon that could be delivered by a MiG-27 aircraft. [Note: See 24 May 2002 entry.] The report says that fissile material was exported from Kazakhstan to Iran and the rest of the components were exported from other republics of the former Soviet Union through Turkmenistan. Although the codes to arm the warheads were not provided with the missiles, the report says two experts from Russia arrived to bypass arming codes.
 
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Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
CIA failed on WMDs in Iraq, so it makes me question why CIA is so confident about WMDs in Iran...

Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice...
 
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stardave

Junior Member
CIA failed on WMDs in Iraq, so it makes me question why CIA is so confident about WMDs in Iran...

Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice...

In this case, I actually think CIA is behind US, which wants to avoid war, but Israel is one pushing for it hard.

And no, don't blame CIA for MWD in Iraq, Bush wanted war, no agency or media is willing to do anything to stop it. Did CIA know there was no nuke? Of course they know. Were they going to publish this information? No, that would be unpatriotic.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
In this case, I actually think CIA is behind US, which wants to avoid war, but Israel is one pushing for it hard.

And no, don't blame CIA for MWD in Iraq, Bush wanted war, no agency or media is willing to do anything to stop it. Did CIA know there was no nuke? Of course they know. Were they going to publish this information? No, that would be unpatriotic.

And now whoever is pulling the strings, it looks to be leaning towards war in Iran or Syria.:(
 

bladerunner

Banned Idiot
I have a feeling that it was the Germans imn the mid 80's who broke the news of Irans rekindled interest in nuclear weapons using Pakistan supplied uranium.
 

solarz

Brigadier
Well that is the thing man, is it really free choice anymore, when all you know and all of what you think are learn from the media in the first place? but in fact they are all from the talking points from the media. It is like a multiple choice answer, A, B, C, D etc... but all the answers are WRONG. So can you argue people still have a free will, when their will are not free? Ok back to Iran, I won't make more post about this anymore.

Good question, but I would say that truth is irrelevant. If a person is restricted to choosing between A,B,C, and D, then he is not truly free, regardless of the veracity of those options. That is because those options had been dictated to him by others, and when all the options of a decision had been dictated by others, then it's really not a free choice.
 

delft

Brigadier
Here is an article from Asia Times on line's Pepe Escobar:
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THE ROVING EYE
There will be hell to pay for NATO's Holy War
By Pepe Escobar

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is running out of rhetorical ammunition in the US's Holy War against Syria. Perhaps it's the strain of launching a NATO war bypassing the UN Security Council. Perhaps it's the strain of being eaten for breakfast routinely by Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.

Hillary has just called on "Western powers" and their Arab stooges - the NATOGCC compound [1] that passes for the "international community" - to "make it clear that Russia and China will pay a price because they are holding up progress" regarding weaponized regime change in Syria.

In non-newspeak, this means, "If you block our new war, there will be payback".

Howls of laughter in the corridors of the Kremlin and the Zhongnanhai notwithstanding, this shows how desperate the NATOGCC compound is to force regime change in Syria as a stopover in cutting off Iran's privileged connection with the Arab world. And this while Turkey's Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan - leading NATO's eastern flank - itches to attack Syria but can't find a way to sell it to Turkish public opinion.

Into this incandescent context plunges WikiLeaks - releasing a batch of very embarrassing emails against the Assad system and the NATO rebels as well. A possible side effect will be to inspire waves of so-called progressives all across the West to start supporting the Holy War on Syria. A realistic effect will be to show how unsavory both sides - the police state Assad system and the armed opposition - really are.

Car bombing tourism, anyone?
It's useful to examine what price Washington itself, not to mention its NATO subjects, could be paying for this Holy War branch-out fought with - who else - the same bunch of "terrorists" who until yesterday were about to destroy Western civilization and turn it into a giant Caliphate.

Washington, London and Paris have tried - twice - to twist the UN Security Council into yet another war. They were blocked by Russia and China. So plan B was to bypass the UN and launch a NATO war. Problem is NATO has no stomach - and no funds - for a very risky war with a country that can actually defend itself.

Thus plan C is to bet on a prolonged civil war, using the Far-from-Free Syrian Army (FSA), crammed with mercenaries and jihadists, and the band of opportunistic exiles known as the Syrian National Council (SNC).

The SNC has actually called for a Libya-style no-fly zone over Syria - shorthand for a NATO war. Turkey also formally asked NATO for a no-fly zone. NATO commanders may be inept - but they have a certain amount of experience with major embarrassment (see Afghanistan). They flatly refused it.

The SNC - and the FSA - could not be more un-representative. The "Friends of Syria" - as in Hillary and the Arab stooges - barely acknowledge the existence of the National Coordination Body for Democratic Change (NCB), the main indigenous opposition movement in Syria, composed of 13 political parties, mostly from the Left, Arab nationalists and including one Kurdish party. The NCB firmly denounces any form of militarization and totally dismisses the FSA.

Iraq's Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari - a Kurd - has warned that Salafi-jihadists of the al-Qaeda mould are moving into Syria in droves. Apparently this bunch still listens very closely to "invisible" al-Qaeda ideologue Dr Ayman al-Zawahiri; five months ago he issued these marching orders to jihadis in Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey. It also helps that many of them are being weaponized - via different networks - by the House of Saud and Qatar.

For months everybody knows that the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG) of al-Qaeda-linked Abdul Hakim Belhaj has been active in Syria - as well as remnants of al-Qaeda in Iraq now responsible for car bombings even in Damascus.

In the event of a post-Assad Syria dominated by hardcore Sunnis infiltrated by Wahhabis and Salafi-jihadists, guaranteed blowback will leave Afghanistan after the 1980s anti-Soviet jihad looking like a ride on Disneyland Hong Kong.

We accept yuan and rubles
As for China, it's laughing about Hillary's desperation all the way to the bank. As the House of Saud becomes ever more paranoid with what it sees as the Obama administration flirting with democracy in the Arab world, Beijing jacked up trade ties by delivering a bunch of new missiles to Riyadh.

And while the "West" flirts with Holy War, Beijing's state-sponsored corporations have been buying commodities like crazy all across the Middle East, North Africa and South America - as well as stockpiling rare earths for strategic reserves. China produces no less than 97% of the world's rare earths - used on everything from iPads to those shiny new missiles now frying in the Arabian desert.

Other side effects as in "the price to pay" for the bypassing of the UN and the obsession on NATO as global Robocop will be inevitable. It shouldn't be forgotten that the Holy War on Syria is a stopover on the way to Tehran. For instance, a new system of maritime insurance, as well as a new international exchange mechanism - bypassing Western diktats - may be about to be born.

Yet the most important element may be a concerted move by Russia, Iran and China to reorganize the global energy market by transacting outside of the petrodollar.

So Washington cuts Iran off from SWIFT - the international bank clearing system? Iran's central bank counterpunches; if you want to do business with us, you can pay in any currency apart from the US dollar, or you can pay with gold.

This is the Holy Grail of the Holy War - not Syria; one thing is for Tehran to accept euros as payment for its oil and gas; another thing is to accept gold. On top of it with full support from both Russia and China.

In a nutshell; the whole Holy War syndrome is accelerating the end of the US dollar as global reserve currency. And when it happens, will there be an American Spring? Or will US elites - like the Mob - have the guts, and the muscle, to force Russia and China to pay the price?

Note:
1. NATOGCC is a compound of the North Atlantic treaty Organization and the Gulf Cooperation Council.

Pepe Escobar is the author of Globalistan: How the Globalized World is Dissolving into Liquid War (Nimble Books, 2007) and Red Zone Blues: a snapshot of Baghdad during the surge. His most recent book is Obama does Globalistan (Nimble Books, 2009).

He may be reached at [email protected]

(Copyright 2012 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

Btw An article in my Dutch newspaper today considers that Kofi Annan's remark about the quarreling of the Great Powers with respect to his effort to achieve an end to the conflict in Syria is directed at the US, not Russia or China. The paper is center-right.
 

Kurt

Junior Member
To understand US and NATO & GCC policy, it helps to read
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by Julian Corbett, a classic like Mahan, A.T., The Influence of Sea Power upon History. The powers currently involved all play their games just fine.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
To understand US and NATO & GCC policy, it helps to read
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
by Julian Corbett, a classic like Mahan, A.T., The Influence of Sea Power upon History. The powers currently involved all play their games just fine.


Wow, it's a long read, so I bookmark it for a later date. Thanks for the info.
 
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