Indian Military News, Reports, Data, etc.

Gloire_bb said:

India, for better or worse, is a young modern state without unbearable luggage of history.

Click to expand...

like having the very progressive and modern caste system?

or the perhaps the spending of a lot of efforts on ideological and delusional drivels like hindutva nationaism?

Gloire_bb said:

As time goes on, they produce and absorb more of both. India ultimately is growing rapidly. I don't know if contradictions of this nation will tear it apart, but for now the course is steady.

Talent loss in modern economies is ultimately by design - it's pressure release mechanism. Don't let them out - and who knows when disgruntled scholar will see a vision with Jesus.

Talent drain isn't a sign of a failed nation, it's a sign of developing nation with higher than necessary education output, and with open borders.

Click to expand...

"Don't let them out - and who knows when disgruntled scholar will see a vision with Jesus."

Hong Xiuquan reference? ¡Me gusta!

Nevermore said:

1. The demise of labor-intensive manufacturing is not an overnight phenomenon. In fact, global demand over the next fifteen years—including India's own—will sustain a significant volume of labor-intensive manufacturing. We should not focus solely on employment figures for all Indians; instead, we must examine output growth within India's relevant industries. As domestic wealth circulates, the demand generated by its urban population will support the development of numerous labor-intensive industries in India. This trajectory remains unaffected by the automation revolution currently unfolding elsewhere in the world.

Click to expand...

Their protectionism may allow labour intensive industries to exist in India, but those industries are still uncompetitive in the world, like now.

Nevermore said:

In contrast, India currently faces no external threats to its regime, lacks internal separatist motivations,

Click to expand...

???
18 out of 28 states in India have separatist movements.

Recently, the EU and India signed a FTA. But what was less discussed is that they also signed a defence agreement.


It seems after re-orienting away from Russia over the past decade, India first tried to get close to the US. This was revealed to be a foolish strategy so now the pivot is towards Europe.

Nevermore said:

But its manufacturing output has still grown substantially because India's overall GDP is expanding rapidly.

Click to expand...

I think economic might is tightly integrated to national defence, so this discussion is warranted. As long as we don't overdo it and anger the mods too much.

On the topic of India's GDP, it deserves to be mentioned that there are many doubts about how accurate their numbers are. India's former Chief Economic Advisor, Arvind Subramanian, wrote a series of papers in 2018-19 on this very topic. His estimation is that the official GDP growth number is inflated by maybe 2 percentage points.

That said, I am modestly optimistic about India. We have to compare India to countries like Pakistan or Bangladesh. China is culturally completely distinct. And when comparing India to its natural comparators, India actually does pretty well. I am not a "superpower India" booster, but I think it's almost inevitable they will get to the 3rd largest economy in the world and the distance to the 4th largest will grow as the decades go by.

And one final word on defence. We can laugh about Tejas and whatever, but India is a nuclear power and basically faces no real external threat. The fact that the IAF is a joke is a minor embarrassment, but in the grand scheme of things it's frankly inconsequential.