Indian Military News, Reports, Data, etc.

Tay

New Member
Registered Member
Wanted to edit this in: if India goes 2 years behind schedule with the AMCA prototype, even then it would be 15 years behind the first flight of the J-20.
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
Engines - technology transfer is included, thus catching India up to China in engine production
Radar - already bought from Israel, incorporated into Uttam AESA and flight tested
Air frame - the shape of the plane is already established and the prototype estimated by the government to be airworthy next year

You can laugh at that and talk about delays and Arjunk and whatever, but the point is that it ain't 20 years behind China. If we consider that China couldn't build a 4th gen engine until 2022 and if India is producing GE-414 in 5 years, then you could argue they are 5-10 years behind China in simply building engines.

If they already have a working AESA, then again that's not close to a 20 year gap.

And they already have the airframe design of Tejas Mk2, and let's say both Tejas and AMCA go 2 years behind schedule, that still puts India 10 years behind China.
Transfer of technology is just a term used to make Indians think they are getting a good deal.

There's no way any western company will give proprietary technology to a country like India.

At best you'll be able to assemble engines from kits like Turkey does. I doubt that'll even happen given your ties to Russia.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
This is how the US does tech transfer of jet engine technology in the best of times.
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"It was decided that GE would produce 65% of the engine and send it as a kit to VFA, who would manufacture the remaining 35% of the parts and be responsible for final assembly and testing."

Do not expect to produce any of the critical parts of the engine. At best you will produce the low pressure parts and assemble the whole thing from kits.
 

sinophilia

Junior Member
Registered Member
I'll give you one.

The LCA program started in 1984. Design was finalised in 1990. First flight was in 2001. 5 years from decision to design, 10 years from design to flying prototype. If all the other elements were in place it would be ready for production within 5 more years.

Compare with Gripen - program starts in 1980, contract in 1983, prototype in 1987, first flight in 1988 (due to indigenous FBW issues), first serial production in 1994. And Sweden already had experience with modern fighters.

Tejas meant to be developed and produced domestically so importing components was contrary to the aim of the program and India wasn't in a hurry.

Here's something that most people miss about Tejas - the aircraft that IAF bought in the 1980s:
  • 40 MiG-23MF from 1982
  • 40 Mirage 2000T from 1985
  • 40 MiG-29 from 1987
  • replacement MiG-21s (built by HAL, total number built is over 800 since 1964)
  • 160 Jaguars from 1979 (120 built by HAL)
  • 95 MiG-23BN from 1981
  • 210 MiG-27 from 1985 (built by HAL)


Here:
View attachment 104478

Why buy and obsolete and inefficient airframe to install western systems? The very point of Tejas was to have a modern and efficient airframe.

One of the reason why Romania modernized its MiG-21s instead of MiG-29s in the 90/00s was because there was not much difference in performance and economies of scale favored LanceR. With good ground control or AEW a MiG-21 with helmet cueing and modern combat system is not much worse. So why would India buy MiG-29 when they had Bisons?

Poland uses MiG-29 and F-16 and tested Mirage and Gripen in 1998-2002. Here's what the pilots say about the Fulcrum vs the others:
  • lack of ARH missiles disqualifies it in modern BVR combat (duh)
  • weak and primitive radar greatly reduces situational awareness
  • IRST is limited to R-73 range so it doesn't help
  • no ground attack capability
  • lack of FBW and outdated control systems make flying it a chore mentally and physically.
  • Luftwaffe pilots were impressed after 1991 because they could only compare it to F-4
Also if you want the tactical benefits of a two-seater aircraft you can forget about MiG-29. It's airframe is optimized for single-seater performance and the UB handles poorly and is very cramped and inefficient and also pay attention to the nose. Where is the radar?

View attachment 104482

Also there's no aerial refueling. Which is why MiG-35 had to be completely redesigned compared to MiG-29 and MiG-29K/M... to offer 1999 quality in 2019.

I'll give you one better (and shorter):

Indians have yet to master small arms production. They can't even do a reliable assault rifle.

It would have been better if they just took all the Tejas development money and put it into Bollywood sci-fi movie 8th generation aircraft their citizenry could gobble on. In India alone the revenue they would generate from such a film would exceed Avatar+Avengers combined.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
I strongly encourage folks to avoid X vs Y topics overall.

Sometimes they can be constructive and productive, but more often than not they tend into flinging insults and generalizations at one side or the other.
I encourage people to exercise self restraint. This thread will be watched.
 

GiantPanda

Junior Member
Registered Member
You can laugh at that and talk about delays and Arjunk and whatever, but the point is that it ain't 20 years behind China. If we consider that China couldn't build a 4th gen engine until 2022 and if India is producing GE-414 in 5 years, then you could argue they are 5-10 years behind China in simply building engines.

India is already "producing" the AL-31F for SU-30MKI. You haven't put that engine in anything else. Either you are not licensed to use it anywhere else or you don't have the critical components from Russia to make beyond the numbers allotted to the MKI.

Why would the F-414 be any different? Chances are pretty much absolute that you'll be locked to a particular contract for its "production" because the US and GE are not in the business of giving away its intellectual property.

Now, let's say India through some act of divine intervention gets full rights to the F-414. Then what? You only have a medium size engine that is equivalent to the WS-13, WS-21 and WS-19.

India still wouldn't have a heavy engine equivalent to the WS-10 or WS-15.

And it certainly wouldn't have a high-bypass turbofan like the WS-20, CJ1000 or CJ2000.

Then there is the production infrastructure that allows China to build and put the WS-10 into four concurrent frontline programs in J-10, J-11, J-16 and J-20.

Indian have never introduced and produced an indigenous engine so there basically no production infrastructure in place besides the AL-31F assembly that is restricted to the MKI. So India catching up to China's full range of turbofans is more than 20 years even if we assume you were gifted the F-414 in five years.

But first get the F-414 produced in India and then maybe we'll have a baseline for discussion. Right now, it is the WS-10, WS-13, WS-9, WS-15 and WS-20 all powering Chinese production or prototype aircraft versus the Kaveri which was never put onto an Indian aircraft. There is nothing to compare with.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
You can laugh at that and talk about delays and Arjunk and whatever, but the point is that it ain't 20 years behind China. If we consider that China couldn't build a 4th gen engine until 2022 and if India is producing GE-414 in 5 years, then you could argue they are 5-10 years behind China in simply building engines.

First off, I do agree that I think sweeping statements like "X nation is so and so many years behind Y nation" is not useful, given how one cannot simply reduce an entire industry so simply like that. Differences in subdomains, and differences in extent of foreign expertise and assistance and IP ownership etc further muddy the waters.

That said, I agree that I don't think the Indian aerospace industry as a whole is 20 years behind China. In some subdomains the gap is smaller than others.

If one wants to be more specific and compare things like "equivalent 5th generation fighter milestones" or "equivalent 4.5th generation fighter milestones" we need to wait and see how projects like Tejas Mk2/MWF and AMCA go first, and for those milestones to be met first.


Regarding engines, China was building WS-10As for use in production, in service 4th generation fighters since about 2010 (starting with J-11B), then other land based Flankers after that. They began use on production J-20s and J-10s in about 2019, but were equipping PLA fighters en masse nearly a decade prior to that.
 

ougoah

Brigadier
Registered Member
India putting Kaveri into service does not make them "catch up to China" no more than China in the late 2000s putting WS-10A into service mean China caught up to the US in engines by 2009.

India has yet to catch up to China in the field of super alloys. China is already only a single generation of materials below the US and UK and two below Japan (to simplify things too much). Composites and ceramics? Engine control? software? manufacturing process? There are hundreds of processes involved surely. Even German and British engine makers have contracted Chinese academics and corporations to perform certain processes for leading edge commercial aviation engines.

Years ago we learned that China produced some novel way of laser drilling for cooling holes. Does India making a 1980s level Kaveri of a medium thrust low bypass turbofan mean it is somehow "caught up to China"? Lol. To say nothing of Kaveri being abandoned and planned to be an Indian M88. While it is true it doesn't matter what it is and where it's from as long as it can be made in house entirely and understood and mastered, well still even then it is simply a M88. Assuming all the critical knowledge and technologies including all manufacturing processes and materials are mastered via ToT (it won't be), even then it wouldn't have caught up to China of 2009. By the time India has walked the walk of this whole domesticating the M88, it would be the year 2030. WS-15 would have matured and WS-10 would be in the process of being replaced. There would be 6th gen PLAAF fighters possibly even entering LRIP.

Let's remember that these Indian dreams are paper projects still and the WS-10 matured and evolved to be the WS-10A by 2009 already. Put into service widely with PLAAF J-11B fighters more than 10 years ago. Put into single engine J-10Cs more than 3 years ago. 3 years of single engine service proven performance and over 12 years of widespread mainstream frontline fighter service. It would be the year 2033 before that would be close to happening for India and then only with a 1980s level engine (granted WS-10 is also that) but only a medium thrust one.

To simplify and quantify it if forced, indeed it is 20 years behind if not more (assuming India gets to producing and using by 2030 it is exactly 20 years behind and on a less impressive and less powerful engine class). This also being India's only project where all their engine efforts are put into as opposed to China with 10 or more other major projects. I mean China has several combined cycle engines flying with hypersonic aircraft/missiles for a while already.
 
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Lethe

Captain
Honestly, to say that India is X numbers of years behind China is both flattering and to miss the point. If India was forty years behind China but actually producing, inducting, operating, refining an indigenous product, that would be an enormous advancement over what we have seen to date and are likely to see in the near future.

China's road to fielding world-class capabilities across any number of domains was not built on importing world-class platforms, components or technologies, but by fielding generations upon generations of technologically uncompetitive garbage and refining and improving it to the nth degree while feeding lessons learned back into an industry apparatus energised by the simple task of doing. This is the hard route that India has refused to go down, and whatever the sins of India's defence industry bureaucracy, and they are surely many, part of that is also down to intransigence on behalf of the armed services themselves.
 
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