How can CHina catch up with the West when its hands are tied?

Schumacher

Senior Member
On the surface of things Gep Friedman’s claim appear to be out of wack, but then he never explained how he arrived at the figures but when I checked each countries GDP and the Industrial output portion of it with The CIA Factbook, he was pretty close. ...

USA GDP ESt 2008 14.33 Trillion
Industrial % @ 19.6% = $2.80 Trillion

......

I hope when you say 'pretty close', you didn't mean to include his claim that US is worth $300 trillion as compared to the $14 trillion above. :)
 

Quickie

Colonel
Just for curiosity, how much does it cost to buy a set lunch of macdonald's in an average city in China and United States? How much is a can of drink, a bow of noodles or other food items.

P. S. Food is just a section of the economic pie but perhaps this would show why it's necessary to measure economic output in PPP terms too.
 

T-U-P

The Punisher
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Just for curiosity, how much does it cost to buy a set lunch of macdonald's in an average city in China and United States? How much is a can of drink, a bow of noodles or other food items.

P. S. Food is just a section of the economic pie but perhaps this would show why it's necessary to measure economic output in PPP terms too.
Don't quote me on the chinese price, I'm only going by what I remember from a few years ago when I was there.

McDonald meal:
China: ~25 yuan
Canada: $7~9

Can of Coke:
China: ~3 yuan? (really not sure)
Canada: $1 at vending machines

Bow of noodle:
China: you can find them for 5 yuan at small roadside restaurants, larger restaurants are much more expensive
Canada: $5 at chinese food court.

In the end, food in china is definitely cheaper if taking currency difference into account.
 

petty officer1

Junior Member
Really interesting article form BBC stating that China holds resources such as bauxite and magnesium, all those metal are used to produce industrilal instrument, and more importantly MIlitary hardwares. And not selling it to US and EU. I don't blame China doesn't want to sell, (since US and EU have military sanction on China, why should China sell them materials to make weapons, Which might be used againt them someday) but does this violate WTO rules? I know WTO rule says you can't limit Import but export will be tricky...

China accused over unfair trade

Mr Kirk has accused the Chinese of hurting American steelmakers
The US and European Union (EU) have filed complaints that China is unfairly limiting its raw material exports.

In the trade cases filed with the World Trade Organization (WTO) the US and EU said China was giving its domestic industry access to cheap materials.

China said it was meeting its WTO obligations and would contest the case.

The case may be the first of many between the world's largest nations as countries have sought to protect their industries amid the global recession.

The cases concern the export of materials such as coke used to make steel, for which it is one of the largest producers, as well as bauxite and magnesium.

Consultation period

"The United States believes that China is unfairly restricting exports of raw materials," US Trade Representative Ron Kirk said.

"These actions are hurting American steel, aluminium and chemical manufacturers, among other industries, that desperately need these material to make their products."

Mr Kirk said the US had decided to pursue a WTO case after two years of talks between the Chinese and the previous administration of former President George W Bush had failed to reach a resolution.

China responded that its goal was to "protect the environment and natural resources, and the Chinese side considers the relevant policy to be compliant with WTO regulations".

China has also responded by launching a complaint over a US ban on the imports of Chinese poultry, which has been in place since the bird flu scare in 2004.

The US and EU complaints now trigger a 60-day consultation period. If the dispute is still not resolved, they can formally request a hearing panel, which could hear the case for up to a year.

If they win, the US and EU would then be given the go-ahead by the WTO to impose economic sanctions on China.
 

RedMercury

Junior Member
T-U-P: your prices are about correct as of mid 2009. The thing is, McDonalds is like middle class food in China, suitable for dates and the occasional treat, not dirt cheap crap as it is in the US, so it is hardly a correct point of comparison. For something more everyday, 6-8 RMB will buy you rice and 2-4 side dishes plus soup in a big city, and more in a small one. Migrant workers can get boxed meals even cheaper.

Just considering food skews the purchasing power comparison quite a bit. Commodity housing, especially in big cities, is comparable to the nominal value from currency conversion. Of course, crappier housing can be much cheaper, say a room for 300 rmb a month. In terms of electronics and cars, prices are basically what you would get from currency conversion, making them quite a bit more expensive in comparison to food. In terms of daily use items, they would go from direct conversion (in a large supermarket like carrefour or trustmart) to maybe half or a third of that if you buy questionable goods from a small shop.

Labor is cheap though. A shop clerk in a small shop can hope to make like 5 rmb an hour, an average college grad (without specialized skills) can only hope to get a position that starts at around 1500 rmb a month.
 

A.Man

Major
T-U-P: your prices are about correct as of mid 2009. The thing is, McDonalds is like middle class food in China, suitable for dates and the occasional treat, not dirt cheap crap as it is in the US, so it is hardly a correct point of comparison. For something more everyday, 6-8 RMB will buy you rice and 2-4 side dishes plus soup in a big city, and more in a small one. Migrant workers can get boxed meals even cheaper.

Just considering food skews the purchasing power comparison quite a bit. Commodity housing, especially in big cities, is comparable to the nominal value from currency conversion. Of course, crappier housing can be much cheaper, say a room for 300 rmb a month. In terms of electronics and cars, prices are basically what you would get from currency conversion, making them quite a bit more expensive in comparison to food. In terms of daily use items, they would go from direct conversion (in a large supermarket like carrefour or trustmart) to maybe half or a third of that if you buy questionable goods from a small shop.

Labor is cheap though. A shop clerk in a small shop can hope to make like 5 rmb an hour, an average college grad (without specialized skills) can only hope to get a position that starts at around 1500 rmb a month.

I don't have time, these few days. I will, 2 weeks from now, use my family relatives as examples and tell you folks about the real "Chinese Income" and "purchase power."
 

bladerunner

Banned Idiot
I'm interested to know how he came up with the $300 trillions figure.

He never mentioned how he arrived at the figure, but what ever figure it is now post financial meltdown, I think it is obtained by putting a monetary value on the country's assets, such as natural resources (eg Total oil reserves at current prices), buildings,the value of public and private companies, merchant banks and their funny money, and the ordinary net assets of the American House Holder which is currently worth about $50 trillion

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American households lost US$1.33 (NZ$2.12) trillion of their wealth in the first three months of the year as the recession took a bite out of stock portfolios and dragged down home prices.
The Federal Reserve reported that household net worth fell to $50.38 trillion in the January-March quarter, the lowest level since the third quarter of 2004.
The first-quarter figure marked a decline of 2.6 percent, or $1.33 trillion, from the final quarter of 2008.
Net worth represents total assets such as homes and checking accounts, minus liabilities like mortgages and credit card debt.

I also read that the peoples savings now amount to $600 billion in round figures since late last year. So if the people can keep this up and keep paying of their debt and mortgages, the nett worth of the individual can only get better.
 
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crobato

Colonel
VIP Professional
The following is what I found in the CIA Factbook

CHINA 2008 Est GDP 4.222 trillion US
Industrial % @ 49.2% =$2.08trillion

JAPAN GDP ESt2008 4.844 Trillion
Industrial % @ 26% =$1.26 Trillion.

Quoting figures without quoting cost of living index is bad economics. Its also bad scholarship not to include especially when the CIA Factbook also lists GDP/PPP first and foremost.

China:

" GDP (purchasing power parity):
Field info displayed for all countries in alpha order.
$7.8 trillion (2008 est.)
country comparison to the world: 3
$7.104 trillion (2007)
$6.475 trillion (2006)
note: data are in 2008 US dollars"

Japan:

" GDP (purchasing power parity):
Field info displayed for all countries in alpha order.
$4.348 trillion (2008 est.)
country comparison to the world: 4
$4.365 trillion (2007)
$4.263 trillion (2006)
note: data are in 2008 US dollars"


I also read that the peoples savings now amount to $600 billion in round figures since late last year. So if the people can keep this up and keep paying of their debt and mortgages, the nett worth of the individual can only get better.

People's savings in China is estimated at 3.3 trillion US$. The savings rate in China is many times higher.
 

bladerunner

Banned Idiot
I hope when you say 'pretty close', you didn't mean to include his claim that US is worth $300 trillion as compared to the $14 trillion above. :)

I'm a little puzzled by what you exactly mean. It seems to me that you seem a little confused over what GDP (the annual monetary value of what a country produces)
as to the est. nett worth of America, which in this case, Friedman determined it to be $300 Trillion.. but you must be aware that this is based on asset value in a given point in time so it is most likely to fluctuate.
Perhaps you may like to read my reply to Schumacher (post42) for a extended explanation.;)
 
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