H-20 bomber (with H-X, JH-XX)

Untoldpain

Junior Member
Registered Member
I guess you didn't get the hint.
I said non-stealth bombers are going to be around for the rest of this century.
Do you think the Xian H-6 bomber is still going to be flying in the year 2099? ......of course not.
So what does this mean?
It means there's going to be a "clean sheet" non-stealth strategic bomber created.

No.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
I guess you didn't get the hint.
I said non-stealth bombers are going to be around for the rest of this century.
Do you think the Xian H-6 bomber is still going to be flying in the year 2099? ......of course not.
So what does this mean?
It means there's going to be a "clean sheet" non-stealth strategic bomber created.

To echo untoldpain:
No.


To elaborate a little:
By the latter part of this century, if you are in the market for a new clean sheet new design strategic bomber, pursuing anything other than VLO is indeed unacceptable.

If you want non-VLO strategic bomber performance, there are much more sensible choices to make instead of literally developing a clean sheet non-VLO strategic bomber.

At the top of the list is the procurement of weapons dispensing kits that allows tactical and strategic transporters to launch complex munitions from their cargo holds.
Alternatively if you are the US, China or Russia, you can just continue to keep overhauling your affordable and simple subsonic non-VLO strategic bomber airframes.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
When I say aircraft are designed around their engines, I am literally quoting what the SMEs at LockMart, Boeing and the USAF have said publicly in the past.

---

And if we look at real-life, what do we see?

The F-22 is powered by the F119 engine. This engine was then developed into the F-135 engine which powers the F-35 and the B-21
We see the WS-10 engine being common amongst J-20, J-16/15 and J-10 airframes. Presumably the H-20 will also use the same engine.

So it is accurate to say that aircraft are designed around the engines, not the aerodynamics of the external airframe as you maintain.
Can you show the exact quotes?

How come the J-20 can be re engined without airframe change if it's built around a specific engine?
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
3 axis unstable designs with no prior experience are risky. they are risky to design because it is far more difficult to wind tunnel model 3 axes of instability that requires constant FBW correction, than 1 axis of neutral stability. Based on my understanding, for that case you basically need FBW already finished when you do aerodynamic shape testing, rather than being allowed to somewhat separate aerodynamic shaping development from FBW development.
If the H-20 is a subsonic flying wing (which I think is likely), it won’t be China’s first crack at the FCS for flying wings. While there are inherent difficulties with the FCS for flying wings China has flown a number of flying wing designs already, with at least on in production.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
That is factually incorrect.

The aerodynamic shaping is not the most important part of an aircraft. You need to understand this point which is key in aircraft design.

The most important part is actually the aircraft engines which determines:

1. the available power and fuel consumption profile
2. that affects the size of the aircraft, fuel capacity, payload etc

For example, look at the B-2 and B-21. The shaping and design is essentially the same.
But the difference in size is determined by the engines.
This is not exactly true. Engine power shapes how much design margin you have to acquire competing capabilities without making as many tradeoffs, and are a key consideration in your design process, but they’re not prevailing over the aerodynamics design either. One is not more important than other. They’re interactive and equally important considerations for achieving your requirement specs.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
Claims made by lyman2003:

The H-20 demonstrator is due to conduct maiden flight next year.

The two bidding information are related to H-20 development and currently the bomber is in the same phase as J-20 was in Project 718.

View attachment 96003View attachment 96004View attachment 96005
So just more thoughts on how we should interpret this tender. I think this is more a signal that something is currently in the process of being assembled to fly, and suppliers are being lined up to support construction of prototypes. But that alone doesn’t tell us that the timelines for this project will be the same as for the J-20, or that whatever plane that comes out of this tender will be representative of the same stage of development as the first J-20 prototypes that flew.
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
So just more thoughts on how we should interpret this tender. I think this is more a signal that something is currently in the process of being assembled to fly, and suppliers are being lined up to support construction of prototypes. But that alone doesn’t tell us that the timelines for this project will be the same as for the J-20, or that whatever plane that comes out of this tender will be representative of the same stage of development as the first J-20 prototypes that flew.
Probably closer than the final product for the airframe than the first batch of j-20 prototypes was, because of the price per airframe ? It's still a long road ahead sadly.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
Probably closer than the final product for the airframe than the first batch of j-20 prototypes was, because of the price per airframe ? It's still a long road ahead sadly.
Well, keep in mind that the J-20 went through a demonstrator phase before a proper pre-production prototype was built, and that demonstrator phase took us from 2010 to 2013. I suspect the H-20 won’t need to go through a demonstrator phase like the J-20 did. In part that’s probably because aerospace capabilities are a lot more mature than a decade ago, and in part because the basic aerodynamic configuration for bombers is just less demanding in terms of meeting specific flight performance parameters than fighters.
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
It goes without saying that initial strikes should be conducted by long-range standoff missiles.
But afterwards, the environment should allow for follow-up strikes by aircraft.

If an H-20 is equivalent to a B-21, then a single H-20 could launch 40 500lb JDAMs ($1.2 Mn cost) for example.
But if you wanted to launch 40 cruise missiles instead, that would cost $60 Mn.

And if the H-20 costs $500 Mn like a B-21, then it takes about 7 sorties before the (H-20 + JDAM) option is cheaper than cruise missiles. And if you assume a campaign that lasts 2 months, then going solely with cruise missiles costs many times more.

You can play around with different bomber costs and munitions costs, but a long campaign does favour a stealth bomber.

In addition, a large stealth bomber can use other munitions like low-cost SDB glide bombs (which have a 110km standoff range), heavy bombs or even launch JASSM cruise missiles themselves.
To me the maintenance cost of H-6s compare to a stealth bomber is probably miniscule, so once air supremacy is achieved then there's no longer any reason to use H-20s. No matter how good your stealth is you won't be able to get into dumb bomb range without also getting into AA range, since you're basically on top of your target. Of course you can use glide bombs, but so can most other aircraft in the PLAAF's inventory, the only thing a large stealth bomber would bring to the table after air supremacy is achieved would be payload.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
To me the maintenance cost of H-6s compare to a stealth bomber is probably miniscule, so once air supremacy is achieved then there's no longer any reason to use H-20s. No matter how good your stealth is you won't be able to get into dumb bomb range without also getting into AA range, since you're basically on top of your target. Of course you can use glide bombs, but so can most other aircraft in the PLAAF's inventory, the only thing a large stealth bomber would bring to the table after air supremacy is achieved would be payload.

There will be many instances where a bomber will have to be on top of the target, in order to deliver a heavy bomb penetrator.

And if we're talking about Japan, the chances are that that airspace will still be contested - with some fighters and SAMs.
That makes H-6 bombers too vulnerable, even with glide bombs at coastal targets.
And if you look at geography, an H-6 would have to fly over Japanese land to reach many targets, even with glide bombs.
 
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