No peace has been negotiated yet. It is hard to say what Russia will hold out for before agreeing, but I imagine the repatriation of their frozen assets will be just one small item on a very long list.
Funny Stuff Thread.... to loosen your day
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Doesn't mean they're off the table as a small piece of a negotiated settlement. Russia would certainly want to have them transferred out. And as is said even in mainstream Western media, top US officials believe Russia intends to hold out instead of agreeing to a peace.
I get that this is basically kriegspiel and that was a seriously thing but still, somehow this just gives off the feel of a big D&D game.
"As the defenders in this high IQ tabletop simulation, we've beaten you guys six times in a row now. I reckon your strategy is f*cked."
"Well, as long as there is a possibility that you roll 1 six times consecutively, I think we've got a chance..."
"..."The financial and military resources intended to keep Ukraine viable are drawn down to about 1/9th of what was allocated in total. There's no way to keep funding the fighting without depleting equipment intended for other priorities (Israel, Taiwan, etc.).
The very current news of the US telling Ukraine to figure out a peace concession that would gain Russian agreement certainly sounds like this shindig is up. So rather than saying this is about Russian leverage over the US, mainstream Western media is even signalling very clearly that US leadership wants this to end.
In that sense, you could say Russia's greatest leverage is simply to keep this war alive and perhaps even signal at ramping up.
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This is extremely cringe.
"What do you mean they rolled 5 nat20s in a row?"
I doubt the US will fold this soon. They are already delivering F-16s to Ukraine as we speak.
And after the way the West behaved with the Minsk accords, where they took advantage of the ceasefire to build up the Ukrainian Army and broke the deal, I doubt that Russia would accept a ceasefire or peace terms unless Ukraine agreed to disarm. And this would need inspections.
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