Either both US and China have full awareness (cahoots) on how this event transpires or they don't (conventional wisdom would suggest lol).
If the former, then there's nothing any pleb can do except sit back and watch the puppet masters do their thing. If the latter, both sides would have near perfect clarity of immediate military intentions. Okay there's a lot of masking and deception in terms of positioning and so on but it's generally visible in adversarial case (latter) to US what China may do militarily and to China what the US may do militarily.
We'd have to assume both sides are acting upon their best information and the best clarity they have on the consequences of planned actions. Therefore whatever is pursued can only be assumed (given the latter) to be the optimal course of action. China is signalling desire to respond even militarily. The US is not signalling the desire to get involved militarily. This would suggest the US (if Pelosi goes through with it) wants the PRC to perform forced reunification or at least respond and gauge how the PRC responds, using Taiwan as the bait.
Somehow this either earns them intel on Chinese military capabilities and how the PRC side is going to act. The US would choose to get involved or not after the fact.
By doing this they would no doubt be condemning China similar to how the information warfare has been waged on Russia. Only the desire here is to fully decouple and an attempt to reverse how dependent on China an increasing number of western nations have become. Obviously this would result in significant inflation in the west including the US but also economically damage China to an unknown extent. Is China ready for fortress China economy conditions and an occupation war in Taiwan?
The cost of this to the US is economic to an unknown extent but medium to long term significantly higher inflation would be a starter. If they do nothing, it would also signal some weakness to partners and allies. A cost the US may be happy to shoulder if they achieve their goals of decoupling with China and economically weakening it?
If the former, then there's nothing any pleb can do except sit back and watch the puppet masters do their thing. If the latter, both sides would have near perfect clarity of immediate military intentions. Okay there's a lot of masking and deception in terms of positioning and so on but it's generally visible in adversarial case (latter) to US what China may do militarily and to China what the US may do militarily.
We'd have to assume both sides are acting upon their best information and the best clarity they have on the consequences of planned actions. Therefore whatever is pursued can only be assumed (given the latter) to be the optimal course of action. China is signalling desire to respond even militarily. The US is not signalling the desire to get involved militarily. This would suggest the US (if Pelosi goes through with it) wants the PRC to perform forced reunification or at least respond and gauge how the PRC responds, using Taiwan as the bait.
Somehow this either earns them intel on Chinese military capabilities and how the PRC side is going to act. The US would choose to get involved or not after the fact.
By doing this they would no doubt be condemning China similar to how the information warfare has been waged on Russia. Only the desire here is to fully decouple and an attempt to reverse how dependent on China an increasing number of western nations have become. Obviously this would result in significant inflation in the west including the US but also economically damage China to an unknown extent. Is China ready for fortress China economy conditions and an occupation war in Taiwan?
The cost of this to the US is economic to an unknown extent but medium to long term significantly higher inflation would be a starter. If they do nothing, it would also signal some weakness to partners and allies. A cost the US may be happy to shoulder if they achieve their goals of decoupling with China and economically weakening it?
