Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

Status
Not open for further replies.

Chilled_k6

Junior Member
Registered Member
In the 2024 Taiwan elections, Tsai IngWen will no longer be President due to term limits. I won't claim to know what sort of person she is, what her motivations are and so on. But whatever those may be, China must be on alert that however small the chance is, whether through a combination of internal, external pressure and personal ambition, she may choose to decide to etch her name in history and go for broke by declaring Taiwan independent before her time is up.

If there's a conflict this time next year, the PLA will mostly have the same equipment types they currently possess but with larger quantities and much more training. I am very pleased to see (and much to the chagrin for our American friends I'm sure) China has the capability to produce DF-17 in godly quantities of hundreds per year. DF-26 production also doing well, and what about that new TEL that was spotted on the streets of Nanchang? It may carry a new MRBM/IRBM missile type (hypersonic?) already in service but not yet publicly revealed. The J-20 force would increase by nearly a third more than what it is now. The current batch of 20 new Type 054As being built will most likely all be launched by then (if not, then very close) and a fair number inducted in service. Unfortunately, that new batch of 5 Type 052DLs being built simultaneously in Dalian most likely won't be ready though a couple may be launched by then. The Type 055s will have another full year of experience with using new weapons like YJ-21. There'll be more of the unsung heroes equipment like Z-20s, MPA aircrafts for ASW, KJ-500 for AEW&C, UCAVSs, amphibious ships and just as importantly another year of honing skills and tactics. Another year to stockpile more PGMs and other munitions.

Even if it blows up now, on top of an already powerful force China will have some yet to be revealed aces ready.

So H-20 is rumored to have significant progress recently. WS-15 rumored to come late this year. New carrier is going to have its J-31 ready next year. In other words China is getting a significant power boost next year. As China get stronger, will west get more desperate to provoke next year?

H-20 will have IOC in 2025 or after. It's first flight will most likely be before the B-21 though.
 

5unrise

Junior Member
Registered Member
Found this video, I was looking for it :D

"Nancy Pelosi will live to see that big day.."



As much as I agree with what Victor Gao is saying, I think his aggressive and frankly wolf-warrior style (if I may use the word) is counterproductive to presenting an external picture of a reasonable China. I remembered when he was interviewed by Sky News Australia in the aftermath of the AUKUS debacle, and he was basically saying that China would not hesitate to target Australia with nukes because Australia is now out of the nuclear-free zone (persumably due to having nuclear submarines). He literally said "It's like the Australians do not have any brain power left! You only have you muscles to fight with the Americans... you are just a body without a brain..."

It was so unreservedly aggro it's quite hilarious.

*edit: I should clarify I am not saying he was aggressive in the underlying link by NeutralWarrior. I am just saying in general.


Taiwan finally decided to fight-back? Let's wait and see what they have to say at 3PM (local Taiwan time).

In response to PLA’s decision to conduct continuous military exercise around Taiwan:


Thanks for sharing! Can't wait to hear what devastating countermeasures we are going to throw out... we finally going to make the Taiwan Strait live up to its name now...
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top