lolz, yeah excuse that Lizz Truss level brain fart there.
Land on Kinmen or something similar
Your median line is no more, your 12nm territorial limits aren't worth the crayon they're drawn with. We come and go as we please ...
Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
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lolz, yeah excuse that Lizz Truss level brain fart there.
Land on Kinmen or something similar
Your median line is no more, your 12nm territorial limits aren't worth the crayon they're drawn with. We come and go as we please ...
This was Kinmen in 2020 before DPP crackdown on the locals
You don’t need anything symbolic if they already feel like this
You don’t need anything symbolic if they already feel like this
Nah, in the Chinese civil war, the KMT was an independent party making its own decisions. Taiwan today is much less so. Washington DC and Beijing are deciding the fate of Taiwan, not the Taiwanese. All these military exercises are done for Washington DC as well as other governments around the world. Sometimes countries are pushed down a path that is not in its own interest but are powerless to stop it. Take Ukraine, it is pretty obvious that the Russians are going to win. Ukraine simply do not have that it takes to prevail. Yet they are fighting to the last Ukrainian because that is the will of Washington DC. Since there is no hope of the Ukrainians winning, why is the U.S. continuing this war? I heard one explanation that make a lot of sense. From the U.S. side, since we cannot have Ukraine, we want to make is less governable by the Russians. One way to do that is to kill as many Ukrainians as possible in this losing war. This creates the hatred for the Russians for those families that had their son/father killed in the war. Now if you were a Ukrainian, you would want to stop this war and negotiate a treaty. That is in your interest, but you really have no say in the matter. foreign money and interests are running the show. Taiwan is maybe not quite so screwed up, but the politicians simply don't have the option to follow any Beping model if the U.S. does not allow it. Peaceful reunification must go through Washington DC. It may yet happen as the U.S. is weakened and teeters in and out of crisis of our own making, but Taiwan has no say on that.
Kinmen is actually very pro-PRC and anti-DPP. Fujian supplies a lot of fresh water to Kinmen at the request of Kinmen - t, exactly four years ago. In fact, Kinmen county executive is also asking Fujian to provide electricity and build bridge between the two in the future. A lot of Kinmen residents own properties in Xiamen Island facing Kinmen.
That's why your idea of sending a PLA official to Kinmen is not exactly a bright idea: if the official is armed, he will be treated with either red carpet or red flag (PRC flag); if he is unarmed, he will be mistaken to be a tourist from Fujian.
Perhaps you want to suggest Penghu, instead of Pingtan or Kinmen?
LOL.
Yup. Aware. Perfect for bloodless coup.
Anything to just give them that little push to set it rolling ...
Send this over Kinmen then
... Or better still, put @Loveleenkr underslung on a flypast throwing out leaflets at the garrison
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Interesting tactics. As I'm currently on the island, I'll try to address some of your points.
First, the continued exercises, assuming that the PLA can support them, could be an issue. However, I do feel that economically, it still falls far short of a total blockade. There would be an acclimation period, ofc, but I feel that a couple days delay for 2-3 times per year is a minor nuisance, at worst.
Cyberattacks actually have a pretty wide range. Currently the DDoS attacks on gov websites are pretty much par for the course; they're still quite a far cry from knocking out internet services for the country, like the Rogers crash you mentioned. The Chinese have not yet demonstrated their ability to do so. The police system issue hasn't been shown yet to be caused by an attack, so I'll withhold judgement on that. The officials are saying it was an equipment malfunction, which I find plausible considering the poor state of govt. equipment in Taiwan. The timing is suspect, though.
If drones fly over Taipei, the MOD will definitely engage. This isn't even a question, as failing to do so would mean giving up on any shred of legitimacy. Whether they can actually shoot them down is another question, but allowing flyovers is not gonna happen. Nope. Zero chance.
Faking a mass assembling makes no sense, imo. First of all, there is a cost to mobilization, pulling troops into Fujian, etc. Is this cost worth it for the (questionable) psychological value? Because I'm pretty sure no one is moving into bunkers here. This is due to a couple reasons: many think the Chinese are just bluffing, a paper tiger if you will; others feel that the residential areas are of little strategic value, and so are relatively safe. I don't think the PLA would strike residential areas either in a first strike. The psychological value gained just isn't worth it. So no, I don't think this is a good strategy at all.
So I think the military part doesn't really work. Cyberwarfare capability is a big unknown obviously. Economically, it's true that Taiwan is quite vulnerable.
Only if you do it at a predictable schedule. Do it randomly multiple times per year. People really don’t like it when their supply chains and shipping get messed with. Because it adds unnecessary cost and reduce profits. If it adds like 10 days of ships sitting at some foreign port then that eats into your profits.
Wonder about that though. Might be the case on the civilian side, but the AA guns are controlled by the military, hehe.
We need a return to 心戰廣播, LOLYup. Aware. Perfect for bloodless coup.
Anything to just give them that little push to set it rolling ...
Send this over Kinmen then
View attachment 94922
... Or better still, put @Loveleenkr underslung on a flypast throwing out leaflets at the garrison
Good points, but is making people even more pissed off at China worth it? There's always a tradeoff. This time there's plausible deniability due to the Pelosi visit; what's the excuse next time? I don't think this response to Pelosi visiting will normalize blocking off large swaths of the Strait anytime soon.
Dunno why people are concerned about a CSG passing through the Taiwan Strait.
If US assets in the 1st Island Chain are in a death zone, then in the Taiwan Strait they literally are inside a death trap.
Taking this into consideration, I hope the US sends another 2 CSG to pass through Taiwan straits together so that we have the opportunity to finish them once and for all. If someone brings food at your doorstep, why complain?
If US assets in the 1st Island Chain are in a death zone, then in the Taiwan Strait they literally are inside a death trap.
Taking this into consideration, I hope the US sends another 2 CSG to pass through Taiwan straits together so that we have the opportunity to finish them once and for all. If someone brings food at your doorstep, why complain?
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