Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

Abominable said:

I think at this point the best thing to do is allow Pelosi's plane to land. There are a lot of civilian aircraft in the air and even if only Pelosi's plane is shot down, it could cause needless deaths on the ground.

Let the plane land, let Pelosi disembark and go to her hotel.

Then announce a no fly zone over Taiwan and send a telegram to the ROC regime to negotiate terms of surrender based around a one China two systems with full demilitarisation. Causus belli - an official visit from a US delegation abrogating the protocols agreed with America.

If terms aren't agreed to within 24 hours full scale war commences.

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China needs the plane to land to have a justification to redraw the strategic map. Consistency and "legality" are important here. They would contribute to Chinese credibility.

From TIME.

I don't remember the last time I agreed with anything from TIME.

Abominable said:

I think at this point the best thing to do is allow Pelosi's plane to land. There are a lot of civilian aircraft in the air and even if only Pelosi's plane is shot down, it could cause needless deaths on the ground.

Let the plane land, let Pelosi disembark and go to her hotel.

Then announce a no fly zone over Taiwan and send a telegram to the ROC regime to negotiate terms of surrender based around a one China two systems with full demilitarisation. Causus belli - an official visit from a US delegation abrogating the protocols agreed with America.

If terms aren't agreed to within 24 hours full scale war commences.

Click to expand...

Actually a potential route for DPP.

If there was any genuine DPP resistance to this and majority Taiwanese support of no war, then it's a path that may even be used by the DPP. Coups from the Taiwanese side isn't actually unlikely. DPP may backstab the US if they are properly motivated enough by mainland political pressures and rewards.

Just how keen are most Taiwanese for full scale conflict after ballistic missile and cruise missile salvo strikes to negate all known offensive weapons and platforms? Then artillery barrage for days before a PLA invasion. China would need to keep a very close eye on the US during these next weeks to perform any initial strikes on Taiwan before amphibious assault.

How resistant is the C-40 to 30mm cannon fire? Is it possible to put a few holes on the plane without shooting it down outright?

No 1 news in China. Everyone expecting a war.

I wonder how is the sentiment in Taiwan currently among the civilian population?
I know a lot of them are clueless which is why they voted for Tsai in the first place but sure now they realize how real is the possibility of war?
If I was in Taiwan I would immediately buy canned food that would be enough for at least 2 weeks and prepare the family to leave the house at a moment's notice in case missiles start flying.

Either you do something big or don't do it at all this time. Missile drills, exercises, flight incursions etc... happens dozens of times per year. They will not deter the US in the future, and will only further antagonize local Taiwanese.

I think China has given the option for starting reunification to the US, land in Taiwan its means forceful reunification.
Fly directly to Guam means peaceful reunification.

sunnymaxi said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1554422981488611329

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Being the first Speaker of the House getting shot down counts as historical, too