European Economics Thread

56860

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We won’t hear any UK collapse news though.
UK GDP is like bad cholesterol. When it goes down, it's a good thing. However when China GDP falls, people are going to overthrow the CCP because they expect GDP to grow by 9% every year. Anything below that is unacceptable and will result in mass riots, famine, civil war and societal collapse. Considering China is predicted to grow a measly 5.5% this year, the country likely only has 2 weeks left before it collapses.
 

siegecrossbow

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UK GDP is like bad cholesterol. When it goes down, it's a good thing. However when China GDP falls, people are going to overthrow the CCP because they expect GDP to grow by 9% every year. Anything below that is unacceptable and will result in mass riots, famine, civil war and societal collapse. Considering China is predicted to grow a measly 5.5% this year, the country likely only has 2 weeks left before it collapses.

Holy cow. It is almost as if the Chinese people actually hold their government accountable.
 

luminary

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Al Mayadeen
The UK has awarded a $4.9 billion contract to BAE Systems as part of its efforts with Australia and the United States to build nuclear-powered submarines that will roam the Indo-Pacific region.




Meanwhile, in the UK, children do not even have a place to sleep:
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The National
The news showed the impact of “economic mismanagement and callous austerity” on the UK’s young people.
Barnardo’s commissioned YouGov to conduct the survey, from which it extrapolated that there could be 440,000 British children sleeping on the floor and around 700,000 children sharing beds because they don't have a bed of their own.
“I often see families sharing mattresses on the floor with no sheets on or badly soiled duvets. These items come very low on the list of items to purchase when families are struggling to make ends meet, especially since the rise in food bills and heating bills. On some occasions children and mum are all sleeping in one bed.”
“Bed poverty is just one aspect of child poverty, yet it starkly illustrates the challenges faced by families not having enough money to afford the essentials needed to raise happy and healthy children."



Crazy level of child poverty. UK experiencing a humanitarian crisis.
 

luminary

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In case you need more proof Germany is deindustrializing:
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Germany also seeing increased financialization:

With a pervasive neoliberal ideology and industry in decline, the FIRE sector is strengthening its chokehold over the German economy pushing right-wing neoliberal ideology. As Michael Hudson writes, “An industrial economy’s decline usually provides a grab bag of opportunities for financial predators and vulture funds.”

So it is in Germany. This is showing up in corporate profits in Germany, which reached a
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of 234.15 billion euros in the first quarter of 2023.

It’s on display in German budget plans for 2024, which impose deep austerity everywhere except the military.

It’s evident in the growth of Germany’s private equity and venture capital industry, which
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from 2012-2021, and that trend is picking up steam.
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, International and U.S. law firms continue to invest in Germany, with international mergers and acquisitions, finance and private equity hires driving legal market growth in the country:

Reed Smith is the latest to add to its Munich office, roping in two partners from U.S. rival McDermott Will and Emery, including its German private equity group leader, Nikolaus von Jacobs, the firm said last week.
Other U.S. law firms have also grown in Munich, most notably Morgan, Lewis & Bockius, which opened its second German office there in March with a 19-attorney group from rival Shearman & Sterling, including its country head and M&A leader Florian Harder.
Kirkland & Ellis, McDermott, Dechert, DLA Piper, Allen & Overy, Ashurst and Dentons all added transactional partners in the Bavarian capital this year. Goodwin Procter, which
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a Munich office last year, called the city “a private equity hub.”

The financialization of Germany is also showing up in how the German people are getting squeezed and are increasingly angry. From
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Some 80%
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they considered the economic situation in Germany as unjust, up 32 percentage points from 2021, and 60% of Germans said they saw society as divided – principally between rich and poor – up 20 percentage points compared with May 2022, according to the More in Common research organization.
On Monday, a study by economic institute Ifo showed Germany’s middle class had shrunk between 2007 and 2019 to 63% of the population from 65%, falling behind 13 European countries in its share.
Low and middle income households have been generally hit harder by inflation, Florian Dorn, a researcher at Ifo told Reuters. Workers in Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, lost around 4.1% of their purchase power in 2022, research by the WSI institute published in July showed.
Although higher energy import prices initially drove inflation in Europe and Germany, companies were also putting up prices beyond their cost inflation, WSI analysis showed. Companies’ profit inflation rose by 7% in 2022 compared to an only 3.3% rise in labour costs.

This year’s budget continues to starve the public system. From
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Some of the cuts in social spending are drastic. This is most obvious in the health budget, which will drop from €24.5 billion this year to €16.2 billion next year. In 2022, it had amounted to €64.4 billion. This 75 percent cut is partly due to the fact that the government has almost completely cut funding for monitoring and combating COVID-19, even though the pandemic continues to spread and generate ever new variants. There is also hardly any money for research and cures for Long Covid, even though hundreds of thousands suffer from it.

Deutsche Welle
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the growing unaffordability crisis in the country:

Germany is traditionally a nation of tenants. While across Europe around 70% of the population own the house or apartment they live in, only 46% of people living in Germany do so. In major cities, that ratio is even lower.
If you want to rent a nice apartment in a good location in Berlin, you need a lot of money. A “wonderfully spacious 4-room apartment” in Berlin’s upmarket Charlottenburg district: 182 square meters, furnished, the rent is €8,190 ($8,947) per month. Plus heating, electricity and other incidental costs, that amounts to over €50 per square meter.
A so-called rental price cap was included in the German Civil Code in June 2015. According to this, when signing a new rental agreement, the rent may not be more than 10% above the local comparative rent. But in Berlin and other large cities, landlords have found a lucrative way around this: The cap does not apply to furnished apartments and contracts for short rental periods. So now, more than half of all apartments in Berlin are offered as “furnished.”
A rent level of €6.50 to €7.50 per square meter is considered socially acceptable in Germany. But for that price, you can’t even find an apartment on the outskirts of Berlin these days….
In Germany, the average net income — the amount that remains after taxes and social security payments have been deducted — currently stands at €2,165, according to the Federal Statistical Office. Around one-third of this income is spent on rent.
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In Munich, a square meter now costs €19 in rent, in Stuttgart €18, in Dusseldorf and Cologne €12 to €13 and in Berlin €11.

It gets better —

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@nakedcapitalism
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