vesicles
Colonel
COVID is a type of flu, belonging to coronavirus family. Common cold appeared with the agricultural revolution roughly 10,000 years ago. At the time, very few people had immunity to it. So the death rate was massive and quick. Today the survivors of common cold have varying degrees to COVID because it's not that different from common cold. As you can see death rate hasn't been that high, only about 1%.
As I’ve mentioned in one if my earlier posts, fatality doesn’t appropriately describe the situation anymore. With so many infected, hospital capacity is the key now. If the hospitalization is comfortably below our hospital capacity, the fatality of 1% would be acceptable. However, our hospitals are overwhelmed and our confirmed cases are still climbing fast. That means, in a few weeks, we won’t be able to treat new patients, with no more available doctors, no medicine and no equipment. Without any of these, a common cold can develop into pneumonia and kill anyone in weeks. We won’t be able to do anything, except watching bodies piling up.
Addition to that, anyone with a heart attack or an injury from a car accident or any other commonly treatable illnesses won’t be able to be treated because of lack of hospital beds, lack of doctors who are now tied to COVID-19 patients, as well as loss of doctors who become infected themselves. We will soon see increased deaths from other avoidable illnesses. Patients who need surgery for organ transplants, bypass surgery, etc won’t get the surgeries because all elective surgeries will be pushed back. Many of these patients will die.
The key is not death rate. It’s about keeping hospitalization below hospital capability. With so many infected, even at 1% fatality, our health care system is collapsing as we speak. The curve is still climbing and still far from peak. Even if we reach the peak today, it might take a few weeks to go down. Our supplies of medicine, equipment and personnel will deplete long before that. Then we go back ancient times when we had to rely on our own bodies to fight infections and that will be when you see death rate to skyrocket. It’s a negative feedback loop that will snowball into a nightmare.
This is why this attitude of “this COVID thing is just a flu” is very dangerous. No matter how you want to play with numbers, the fact is people are responding to this virus differently than the common flu. The fact is hospitalization is skyrocketing and collapsing our health care system. No one wants to be hospitalized. I’m sure a huge percentage of these patients don’t even believe the virus is a big deal. If given a choice, none of them wants to be in a hospital. Yet, their bodies cannot handle the virus as they would like to believe. And that’s why we need to do something drastic to lower the infected cases. Let the hospitals recover their capabilities. It’s not a serious illness. We can beat it when we have the resources to beat it. And our resources are being depleted fast.
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