Let us take a look at Diamond Princess. Now in quarantine in Yokohama with 3600 on board.
A gentleman from Hongkong flew into Tokyo on Jan 17, and then went ot Yokohama where he joined that cruise on Jan 20.
Apparently he had no symptoms. That cruise stopped at a few cities, Keelung in Taiwan, a couple more in Vietnam and then stopped at Hongkong
where he got off on Jan 25. He felt well enough and seek medical only on Jan 30 when they found he got NCV.
He might not have infected all those on Diamond Princess. Perhaps he infected a few, maybe those that cleaned his room, or serving him at buffet.
Who might then gone and infect others. Or again, I be wrong and he infected all those infected on board.
Then what about the cities he visited and people he came across including HongKong from 25 to 30 Jan?
Now look at another hot zone Singapore. Folks had and are cancelling flights and hotel bookings here even if they could not get refunds.
And let us look at these 3 cases ( Many more, but this give you an idea, including the earlier piece I wrote of the call girl from Wuhan. And Geylang is a
very well known red light area)
And you think how contacts can be traced down. Bear in mind that Hongkong gentleman was apparently healthy. Yet he infected others many days before his symptoms appeared
No idea how those three were infected. And likewise, no idea whom they infected before they felt sick enough to be tested.
In the school? Going to church? Visiting for CNY ? taking train and taxis? eating at food courts and restaurants? In waiting rooms of clinics?
Or even going to the Zoo!
Your guess as good as mine.
Exciting times are upon us all.
A few days ago, I wrote about Phase 2.
And like it or not, it is happening.
partial extract
Coronavirus: 42-year-old S’porean VJC teacher among 3 new cases, total cases at 33
The source of infection for all three new confirmed cases has not been identified.
The Ministry of Health (MOH) announced three more confirmed cases of coronavirus on Feb. 7, bringing the total number of confirmed cases in Singapore to 33.
All three cases have no recent travel history to China and all of them are Singaporeans.
One of them is a 42-year-old teacher at Victoria Junior College (VJC).
Contact tracing is underway and the sources of infection for these three cases have not been identified.
Case 31: 53-year-old man stays at Tampines St 24
The 31st case of coronavirus in Singapore is a 53-year-old man who stays in Tampines Street 24.
According to MOH, he displayed symptoms on Jan. 23 and visited a general practitioner (GP) clinic on the same day.
He visited the GP clinic again on Jan. 28 and was admitted to CGH on Feb. 1.
He tested positive for the coronavirus on Feb. 6 at about 11pm.
Prior to admission to CGH, he went to The Life Church and Missions Singapore at 146B Paya Lebar Road and visited family and friends during the Chinese New Year (CNY).
He has no recent travel history to China. However, he visited Malaysia on Jan. 6, Jan. 11 and Jan. 17, 2020.
He is currently isolated at Changi General Hospital (CGH).
Case 32: VJC teacher
The 32nd confirmed case is a 42-year-old female Singaporean.
According to MOH, the 42-year-old has no recent travel history to mainland China.
The 42-year-old reported onset of symptoms on Feb. 2 and was admitted to Parkway East Hospital three days later on Feb. 5.
She tested positive for the virus on Feb. 6 at around 11pm.
MOH added that the patient did not interact with her colleagues and students after her symptoms appeared.
The VJC teacher stays at Elias Road and had visited Changi Airport as well as the Singapore Zoo.
She is currently warded in an isolation room at the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID).
Case 33: 39-year-old female been to Malaysia during CNY period
The 33rd confirmed case in Singapore is a 39-year-old female who does not have travel history to mainland China but had been to Malaysia from Jan. 22 to Jan 29.
She developed symptoms on Jan. 30 and went to the emergency department at Sengkang General Hospital (SKH) on Feb. 2.
She tested positive for the virus on Feb. 6, 11pm.
She’s now isolated at SKH.
Along with the announcement of the new confirmed cases, the ministry has raised the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition’ (DORSCON) from Yellow to Orange. MOH has also implemented additional precautionary measures.
A gentleman from Hongkong flew into Tokyo on Jan 17, and then went ot Yokohama where he joined that cruise on Jan 20.
Apparently he had no symptoms. That cruise stopped at a few cities, Keelung in Taiwan, a couple more in Vietnam and then stopped at Hongkong
where he got off on Jan 25. He felt well enough and seek medical only on Jan 30 when they found he got NCV.
He might not have infected all those on Diamond Princess. Perhaps he infected a few, maybe those that cleaned his room, or serving him at buffet.
Who might then gone and infect others. Or again, I be wrong and he infected all those infected on board.
Then what about the cities he visited and people he came across including HongKong from 25 to 30 Jan?
Now look at another hot zone Singapore. Folks had and are cancelling flights and hotel bookings here even if they could not get refunds.
And let us look at these 3 cases ( Many more, but this give you an idea, including the earlier piece I wrote of the call girl from Wuhan. And Geylang is a
very well known red light area)
And you think how contacts can be traced down. Bear in mind that Hongkong gentleman was apparently healthy. Yet he infected others many days before his symptoms appeared
No idea how those three were infected. And likewise, no idea whom they infected before they felt sick enough to be tested.
In the school? Going to church? Visiting for CNY ? taking train and taxis? eating at food courts and restaurants? In waiting rooms of clinics?
Or even going to the Zoo!
Your guess as good as mine.
Exciting times are upon us all.
A few days ago, I wrote about Phase 2.
And like it or not, it is happening.
partial extract
Coronavirus: 42-year-old S’porean VJC teacher among 3 new cases, total cases at 33
The source of infection for all three new confirmed cases has not been identified.
The Ministry of Health (MOH) announced three more confirmed cases of coronavirus on Feb. 7, bringing the total number of confirmed cases in Singapore to 33.
All three cases have no recent travel history to China and all of them are Singaporeans.
One of them is a 42-year-old teacher at Victoria Junior College (VJC).
Contact tracing is underway and the sources of infection for these three cases have not been identified.
Case 31: 53-year-old man stays at Tampines St 24
The 31st case of coronavirus in Singapore is a 53-year-old man who stays in Tampines Street 24.
According to MOH, he displayed symptoms on Jan. 23 and visited a general practitioner (GP) clinic on the same day.
He visited the GP clinic again on Jan. 28 and was admitted to CGH on Feb. 1.
He tested positive for the coronavirus on Feb. 6 at about 11pm.
Prior to admission to CGH, he went to The Life Church and Missions Singapore at 146B Paya Lebar Road and visited family and friends during the Chinese New Year (CNY).
He has no recent travel history to China. However, he visited Malaysia on Jan. 6, Jan. 11 and Jan. 17, 2020.
He is currently isolated at Changi General Hospital (CGH).
Case 32: VJC teacher
The 32nd confirmed case is a 42-year-old female Singaporean.
According to MOH, the 42-year-old has no recent travel history to mainland China.
The 42-year-old reported onset of symptoms on Feb. 2 and was admitted to Parkway East Hospital three days later on Feb. 5.
She tested positive for the virus on Feb. 6 at around 11pm.
MOH added that the patient did not interact with her colleagues and students after her symptoms appeared.
The VJC teacher stays at Elias Road and had visited Changi Airport as well as the Singapore Zoo.
She is currently warded in an isolation room at the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID).
Case 33: 39-year-old female been to Malaysia during CNY period
The 33rd confirmed case in Singapore is a 39-year-old female who does not have travel history to mainland China but had been to Malaysia from Jan. 22 to Jan 29.
She developed symptoms on Jan. 30 and went to the emergency department at Sengkang General Hospital (SKH) on Feb. 2.
She tested positive for the virus on Feb. 6, 11pm.
She’s now isolated at SKH.
Along with the announcement of the new confirmed cases, the ministry has raised the Disease Outbreak Response System Condition’ (DORSCON) from Yellow to Orange. MOH has also implemented additional precautionary measures.
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