Okay? That's not a win for the A220 lmao. You asked and I told you. They're not like for like replacement. The A220 is not going to replace the A320 family.
Except that's exactly what's happening with JetBlue.
AC has 33 A220s in service & will get at least 60. It's been used everywhere in AC's network
If you are using AC as evidence that A220 can't fly all the routes economically, you are doing terrible job
No you can't, because they're not like for like replacements. You might as well tell every airline to stop buying any A320s or A737s, but you can't. Airlines determine aircraft acquisitions based on route operational costs, not one aggregated number.
I hope the AirBaltic "endorsement" as proof that the A220 will replace the A320 is a joke.
JetBlue is not a big enough airline for you? It has replaced A320s with A220s everywhere. Anyone that has looked at JetBlue can tell you A220 can entirely replace A320.
Here is a lesson for you. when you can get same cost with a smaller aircraft, the smaller aircraft is always better, because you can increase frequency and get higher fares from that.
See, A321 beating widebodies on transcon and beating widebodies on TATL routes. So yes, when you have the option of A220 and A320, you pick A220
Ah yes, it's really opening all these new long haul narrowbody routes for airlines and redefining the industry, that's why it's being bought in droves. Obviously not. The A321XLR is an attractive option because it's an A320 with more range. That's it. That's why all A321 versions are successful. It is a plane that fits neatly into existing operations with minimal fuss and simply gives the airline more options.
These airlines are not getting the A321 XLR specifically because they fly tons of long-haul narrow body routes over 4,000 miles. They're getting these planes because they're A320s that can fly these routes if they need to.
550 orders and it has not even entered into service. It's huge success by any measure given the amount of investment airbus made.
The A321 XLR is not a true NMA aircraft. It does not fundamentally change airline operations. An NMA aircraft would actually give airlines new options. So no, the A321 XLR is unlikely to get a huge fraction of that market.
That's because you are stuck thinking in the old days. XLR is replacing the need for twin aisle aircraft.
Go look in the history. How many routes were flown with widebodies in the days across America have now been replaced by narrowbodies.
AA, UA, AC & B6 all have major orders for XLR exactly to serve TATL markets and certain south American markets. What do you think they will be replacing?
On top of that, B6, EI & TP will also have LRs doing exactly the same thing. Heck B6 has been flying your standard A321NEO from BOS/JFK to LGW for much of last year.
Keep being stuck in times.
I mean you could use the XLR for NMA routes, it'd just be... inefficient, because it's simply smaller.
Who told its inefficient? If it's inefficient, then why did AC order XLR after already picking MAX over NEO?
Why did UA pick XLR without any prior NEO orders?
Do you understand that fewer seats -> high revenue per seat?
Do you know that UA finds the trip cost of 777s to be about 2x that of 737-900 and it picks 737-900 to do those routes? why does it do that? well you see when you can schedule 2 flights instead of 1 for the same cost, you generate more revenue, because your schedule improves.
And we all know why Boeing gave up on the NMA I don't know why you think it's because the business case is not viable. Boeing gave up because Boeing does not have the resources at the moment.
i had the same discussion with people all throughout 2018, 2019. People kept thinking they would launch NMA and they never did, because the business case was really weak.
They knew that XLR would kill part of the demand & airbus launching A322 would kill more demand.
7 seat aircraft is just inherently not efficient, because you have 2 aisles for 7 seats. whereas A321 would have 1 aisle for 6 seats.
The NMA wouldn't be able to efficiently fly routes like Bangkok-Auckland or Bangkok-Peking. Because,
A. Either these routes are too far
B. These routes are better utilized by true widebodies.
congratulations, you named 2 routes and 1 of them is easily flyable with A321NEO.
The NMA is designed for the crossatlantic market. It would create entirely new routes like Newark-Berlin which cannot be properly serviced by smaller capacity narrowbodies like the A321XLR. It can fly low-capacity flights that A350s, A330s, or 787s would be wasted on, while also being able to efficiently serve some narrowbody routes. Of course this is again, down to the specific operational requirements of individual airlines.
B6 with fly from JFK & BOS to Germany with XLR, so that alone defeats your argument.
UA will have 50 XLRs. I would be shocked if it doesn't get used on routes like EWR to Berlin. Again, I've actually spoke with people in UA about this. Go look up what UA said when it ordered XLRs.
The only airline that kept harping about NMA was DL, because they kept going on and on about widebody comforts. But even they got A330 for that purpose now. Give it another 5 years, DL will also order XLR.
Though to demonstrate, I mean if you think that Qantas would rather run a diverse fleet of various A321XLRs, 777, A330s, and A350 and god knows what else, instead of having fewer airplane types that can handle capacity better and more flexibly, than sure. I suppose the NMA really is pointless.
But no, for the case of Thai Airways, this is an airline that could desperately use the NMA to consolidate its fleet into owning fewer aircraft rather than more. But I find that airline to be a train-wreck anyway. A perfect plane wouldn't save them from themselves.
your argument doesn't work here, because the purpose of A321XLR is the ability to serve additional market efficiently while not adding additional fleet type costs.
It's exactly why the aircraft is perfectly for an airline like B6 (and also AA to a smaller extent)
The fact that both UA & AC have also ordered XLR (despite not having NEO previously) just show how efficient it is for that role.
Yeah. I mostly brought it up because while reading your back and forth I remembered one of the reasons for not developing NMA was because Boeing thought 787-3 could service that market without additional development cost on their side.
Nah, 787-3 was an old concept that never got any interest and never took off. Shrinking an aircraft always means its less optimized and not competitive. So, that's why for something like C919, expect it to be stretched multiple times until it can match A321NEO
funny part about 787 is that it started off as a 767 replacement but then ballooned into something that killed A330 also. These aircraft all get larger. Just look at what 737 started off as and what it is now.
So my suggestion is creating a 5 seat/row for 110 to 140 seat market that will eventually serve 130 to 160 seats as it gets larger.
And then have C919 eventually serve 165 to 240 seat market